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Is Elon Musk hurting Tesla? (Mod Note Post #1)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,433 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Ireland is in an awkward situation in that we are the biggest right hand drive nation in the EU, a collective of left hand drive nations. Prices of new and second hand cars are generally higher here as a result

    With Tesla they are much more transparent with their pricing and as far as I can tell sell new cars for the same price as they do in other EU countries. This has the knock on effect of them being cheaper than the likes of VW here. This means the price is much higher second hand

    In short, unless you're buying new I'd not bother with a Tesla



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,359 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    That's proably not the reason, there's 11,543 VW for sale while there's only 191 Tesal, supply and demand is dicating prices, i'm not sure how you can claim buying new is the only option worth considering.

    The UK/NI is also right hand drive and cars can be sourced from the north VRT free.

    Used prices will drop as supply increases, that could take another couple of years though. The model 3 is one of the most in demand used cars in the UK.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,433 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Tesla cars hold their value better than most others do. Regardless of the reason behind this it makes more sense to buy it new than pre-owned

    Why Teslas hold their value better is only speculation on my part



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,980 ✭✭✭yagan


    Thought I'd give this thread a bump as quarterly earnings for Tesla due out today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 673 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    I wouldn't be surprised if the stock price rises despite a bad earnings call.
    Dan Ives be like "Tesla earnings call was bad, but not as bad as expected, I'm bullish".
    Then there's the added news of Elon potentially leaving politics, so investors will pray that he'll be a super serious, hard working and involved full-time CEO again.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 54,978 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder




  • Site Banned Posts: 33,931 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    How many of the remaining engineers are keeping their mouths shut about the problems they see.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,056 ✭✭✭✭Ash.J.Williams


    I tried to take out starlink with my catapult but failed



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 673 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    It's likely a not so insignificant chunk of Tesla enginners are Elon sycophants, especally on the software development side of things. The likes of 'Big Balls' comes to mind, fairly young talented engineers that he can mould into his manosphere.

    The other weird thing is the draw or attraction of being in relatively close proximity to a man of unimaginable wealth like Elon, because he generally had close oversight of those divisions. If you do a good job and kiss his hole for long enough it could open valuable doors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,980 ✭✭✭yagan


    Sales for the quarter down 9% on the same quarter last year.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 673 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    Revenues yes, down 9%. Total car sales down 20%.

    Net income plummeted 71% to $409 million, or 12 cents a share, from $1.39 billion or 41 cents a year ago.

    Post edited by DrPsychia on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,051 ✭✭✭SchrodingersCat


    IMG_2054.jpeg

    The quarterly results are a train-wreck.
    But the silver lining is the news that the company will be getting more time with its CEO back like it should.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭dloob


    2.1% Operating margin LOL.

    Hope nobody puts tariffs on any of the materials they need.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 734 ✭✭✭PixelCrafter


    In terms of public relations, he's far too late. The band is now very toxic and personally associated with him. I don't think there's any real way of undoing that at this stage. Damage is done.

    He's only partially stepping away from DOGE and I have no doubt he won't be able to keep himself off X/Twitter, so it will just continue to roll on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 521 ✭✭✭pjdarcy


    Musk talking nonsense on the earnings call yesterday as usual. "There will be millions of Teslas operating fully autonomously in the second half of next year". Really Elon, really?

    This lad is the king of over-promising and under-delivering. How do investors still buy any of his outlandish claims?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,353 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Does illustrate how grossly overvalued they are at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,578 ✭✭✭Royale with Cheese


    He's going to cut down his work for Trump to one or two days a week. Eh yeah Elon, I don't think it's your super hardcore work ethic being missing that's causing issues for Tesla. Might be something to do with those nazi salutes you've been doing.

    If he seriously can't see they being associated with Trump in any way is what the problem is then he's even crazier than I thought.

    And of course the share price is up in after hours trading, because... Tesla.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,433 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Maybe he'll give out a few days of a free trial to all Teslas where FSD is available? Because I'm certainly not paying 8k for it

    And of course the share price is up in after hours trading, because... Tesla.

    Share price down 30% since he joined DOGE. Still at DOGE for another month, despite more tariffs and sales plummeting the share price recovers 5%

    Investors are a special bunch in fairness



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,512 ✭✭✭sk8board


    everything is up today, so the Tesla rally is only a few percent, but it’ll be interesting to see who wins the tug of war over the next week as the market digests the financials (and the fact that he’s not actually going back to Tesla, he’s just going to commit more time to it), between the retail musketeers, and the institutions.

    In November, the Q1 eps was forecast by Dan Ivey at $3:31, and yesterday they delivered over 92% less than this and he’s calling it a very net positive day for the SP.

    Id love to know how much of TSLA these guys are holding that’s between $250 and $480/share.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,512 ✭✭✭sk8board


    if Tesla was struggling by just the association with musk, you’d have to assume it won’t do any better in buyers eyes now that he’s even more involved?

    Investors and bagholders will like it, but not buyers.

    Doge is not nearly the only reason that Tesla is dropping sales, that’s just a reason for US buyers.

    There was an article last week that musk ignored the advice of his own people in April ‘24 when they told him the cybertaxi idea might never be profitable, versus a model 2.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,980 ✭✭✭yagan


    I wonder if just thinks a Model 2 is just too boring personally, I think someone mentioned here that the CT was first preference by Musk yet a smaller car in the lineup makes total sense.

    No one asked for the CT.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,433 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Yes, one would imagine that the best way to revive Tesla is to get rid of Musk, not to bring him back



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,512 ✭✭✭sk8board




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,353 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Yep it's basically like a child pursuing his ideas, the amount of people actually willing to buy it on the other hand is substantially smaller though. Noticing how those who promised that sales would go up with the model refresh are pretty silent ATM.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,512 ✭✭✭sk8board


    If Tesla were building production line capacity for the 20-30% annual growth they forecasted, and are e.g -45% in the EU27 so far in Q1, you’d have to think they have big gaps in production?

    Are they still planning the plant in Mexico?

    My limited understanding of car manufacturing is that you can’t ’slow down’ a production line, you run at capacity and then have full downtime, or remove lines



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,534 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I would guess it depends on the design of the line

    VW for example has slowed production in Zwickau by reducing the number of shifts

    This is probably more feasible because VW uses a lot more people in their assembly process and less automation. So the cost is mostly operational in the form of wages

    For a company which uses a lot of automation like Tesla the bigger cost is probably capital expenses for the machinery. So running the line slower doesn't save as much from an operational expense point of view but does mean the cost of depreciation of the factory is spread across fewer vehicles, making for an overall higher cost per vehicle

    Its important to note that this isn't exactly clear cut, VW did incur significant expenses refitting their factories and Tesla does have a large number of people working on their lines

    It's also worth remembering that both companies can't just fire factory workers and masse without consequences. The days of factories being staffed by unskilled labour is long gone, operators in modern car factories represent a large investment in training and losing too many of them will majorly hamper operations in future

    On the flip side, layoffs are a great way to quickly jump the bottom line and if you've a CEO focused on current share price rather than future growth then the mass firing button starts to look very attractive

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 673 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    This is a hilarious list to read




    During the Q&A section of the earnings call one analyst asked about the reliability of Tesla’s cameras when confronting sun glare, fog, or dust. Musk claimed that the company’s vision system bypasses image processing and instead uses direct photon counting to account for “noise” like glare or dust.

    Tesla's are not equipt with photon camera tech. Caught lieing again. A pure conman.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭prosaic


    If I recall correctly, they rewrote firmware for ccd devices to do low level pixel data processing. The off the shelf processing did not provide the low level high frequency raw readout required. You might not get photon counting in the sense of low noise cooled ccd devices but by reading raw pixel data at high frequency you can pull signal out of noise that would be lost by more standard processing.

    Post edited by prosaic on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 866 ✭✭✭Nickindublin


    From my time in manufacturing they are probably running a JIT operation. They probably have contracts with suppliers fo X amount of parts for assembly every month. There probably is clause where they can reduce or increase this by a certain %. But they will probably have to build the cars they have the parts ordered for and let them sit there. This goes for all car makers. If they are overproducing cars they will eventually have to cut prices to shift them. I personally wouldnt buy a Tesla as i dont like them and Elon has just made that decision very easy. But at the end of the day pricing will be the major factor in peoples choices. And if the Tesla is considerbly cheaper peoples morals will go out the door. As they say money talks. Will be interesting ahead. Will money dictate to Elon to keep a low profile in the future.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,512 ✭✭✭sk8board


    I’m not sure they have much more price to cut: a little, but not much, judging by Q1:

    “auto gross margins came in around 12.5%, marking the lowest auto gross margins since Q2 2012 ”



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