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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,076 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Looks like he is about to tariff PHARMA. Trump announces this at the National Republican Congressional Committee Tuesday night.

    "We're gonna tariff our pharmaceuticals and once we do that they're going to come rushing back," he said. "The advantage we have over everybody is that we're the big market. We're going to be announcing very shortly a major tariff on pharmaceuticals."

    https://www.salon.com/2025/04/08/theyre-kissing-my-ass-says-tariffs-are-going-great-promises-duty-on-pharmaceuticals/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,584 ✭✭✭Cody montana


    I’m not overly familiar with the bond market.

    But things look bad.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,805 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/global-markets-tariffs-treasuries-analysis-2025-04-09/

    This is a good explainer article on what's happening and why



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    I don't really get the tariffs on pharma. The drugs are trademarked, the doctors prescribe them, and the insurance companies generally pay for them.

    Why would you move a factory back to America when Americans still need to buy the drug you manufacture regardless of the price. A competing company can't start making the drug in America to undercut you.

    For generics, it's different. But I assume the big money is in newer more expensive drugs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,390 ✭✭✭dogbert27


    And what American's should be asking themselves is why are they the biggest market for pharmaceutical drugs.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,366 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41


    BREAKING: Trump says US will soon announce tariffs on pharmaceutical imports

    President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the U.S. will soon announce a "major" tariff on pharmaceutical imports.

    Speaking to an event at the National Republican Congressional Committee, Trump said the tariff will incentivise drug companies to move their operations to the U.S.

    Nandita Bose, Reuters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,613 ✭✭✭✭Vicxas


    Surely that'll be the straw that breaks the camels back. Pharma make money hand over fist peddling price gouged paracetamol to US citizens. Messing with that will make a lot of their CEO's furious



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    I think we'd all love to see your workings though. You've been claiming this as some master move and it seems more like you can't answer the question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,848 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Financiers for one. The party is run on donations. His stupidity has been harming their interests big time over the past few weeks. He is NOT A GOD and needs to to disabused of that idea, not confirmed in it.

    Post edited by aloyisious on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    How long till he threatens to stop paying back non-US held notes.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,230 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    They'll just announce a silly figure 'we're gonna invest a trillion dollars in US facilities' Trump will claim the win. That investment will never happen because it takes at least half decade to commission a new biopharma facility even if the experienced and trained staff were available.

    And with DOGE and RFK in charge of the FDA they won't have the staff or funding required to validate all these new facilities so no foreign markets would trust those facilities are safe and allow imports.

    Monoclonal antibodies are incredibly valuable drugs but also very dangerous if not manufactured careful. (and the process is incredibly precise) It has happened in the past that some patients had their own immune systems turn against them from receiving a bad dose of a biopharma drug. Cytokine release syndrome

    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6003181/

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,230 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    That would be detrimental to his friend Putins cash reserves

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,791 ✭✭✭✭fullstop


    He isn’t within an asses roar of 2.5 or 2.8. I doubt he’s below 12.5. He takes a gimme for anything inside 6 feet, so you could add 4 or 5 shots a round easily for that. Someone mentioned the round with Bryson…his putting stroke looks like he’s trying to gut a fish. Probably explains the gimmes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,366 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41


    When Trump says "major" tariff on Pharma , what are we looking at 50% more?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,537 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    It's the people using have to pay the tariff, surely they have some voice also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,791 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    So, you haven't done the calculations then?

    And, thus, we can deduce that…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,469 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    YOu can't read anything into "major". That word, along with "beautiful" and a few others, is used by Trump as a filler. It has literally zero meaning.

    Trump has previously suggested pharmaceutical tariffs of "25% or higher", but Trump often suggests things that he does not follow through with. Saying now that the tariffs will be "major" doesn't really give us much more to work with.

    Not directly with Trump; he doesn't care about them. But Republican congressmen will be worried about the mid-term elections due in November next year, and they will be at least a bit attentive to constituents' concerns about the price of drugs. They have so far proved completely spineless when resisting anything Trump wants, but as the election approaches that may change.

    (Congress does control tariffs; the President only has authority to impose tariffs in response to an emergency, and if Congress doesn't like the way he exercises that power it can overrule him.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,805 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    He's also about to turn 79 years old

    I'd imagine he's well above average for his age



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,469 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    There are often a couple of different drugs that can be used to treat the same condition. If one of them secures a price advantage by relocating production to the US and so avoiding the tariffs, they can expect health insurers to encourage/pressure doctors to prescribe that drug in preference to the more expensive alternatives that are still produced abroad and imported. Hence there's the prospect of a competitive advantage for the pharma company that onshores production of at least some drugs.

    But it's an unstable advantage, since at any time another pharma company might onshore the production of its drug. So it would be risky to invest a lot in onshoring production in the expectation of being the only company to do so. And relocating pharma production facilities is very expensive; pharma companies won't do it unless they are convinced that the Trump tariffs are a permanent feature. Since virtually nothing Trump does is permanent, they'll be slow to come to that conclusion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,945 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Also the time it takes to move production is 5+ years so well beyond his term in office and at the moment it doesnt look like the tariffs will last until the summer let alone his entire term



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,644 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    For all his talk of job creation I assume all this is going to have a hugely detrimental effect on the very working class jobs in the docks and shipping.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,571 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    It's always crazy watching US television (eg. during sports or news broadcasts), and the ads they have for different medicines.

    "If you have an itchy arm, ask your doctor if Flimoxitocin is right for you!

    Side effects may include nausea, headaches, migraines, irritations, more itchiness, diarrhea and/or constipation, external bleeding, internal bleeding, dandruff on your kidneys, excess hair growth, ear detachment, smelling like salmon, paralysis, fungal infection, liking pineapple on pizza, ear cataracts, heart palpatations, acid reflux or just instant death.

    Talk to your doctor today!"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,076 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    As night follows day .. pharma stocks getting hammered it seems



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 268 ✭✭Aurelian


    If a factory sells 50% of it's product to the US and 50% globally, it would need a serious incentive to make the capital investment and reshore to the US with higher corporation tax and wage costs. Especially in the context of such unstable government policy where tariffs could be raised, lowered, cancelled etc overnight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭kyote00


    if he ever decides to ‘tariff’ services and EU reciprocate then it is truly chaos…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,469 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    This.

    Im fact only 30-35% of Irish pharma exports to to the US (though that proportion may of course be higher for some pharma companies and lower for others), which makes the cost/benefit analysis of moving production to the US even more iffy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Dow futures are positive but we'll see when China retaliates

    GoFBBHIXwAAYPGZ.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,689 ✭✭✭yagan


    Drugs may be very expensive in the US for end users but that's partly because of the multiple private healthcare companies taking their cut. National drug procurement schemes on behalf of whole nations reduce the cost for their end users significantly, yet for the pharma selling the drug the gate price will be about the same.

    So for many big multinationals a whole bunch of national procurement schemes from all around the world are a lot more stable an income than the US market that's currently heading for a major self induced recession.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 446 ✭✭Will_I_Amnt


    Ive been saying this since January.

    There isn't a shadow of a doubt about it.

    Trumps own assets arent even in a blind trust as they ethically should be. They're in his revocable trust, managed by his sons



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,666 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    The US bond charts are truly ugly this morning, serious trouble is on the horizon. Yesterday's auctions of three year notes had little interest and there is a further auction of ten year notes today and a thirty year note auction tomorrow.

    When there aren't enough external investors buying bonds during auctions the US banks are obliged to step in and support the market. It's completely unsustainable if bond yields surge way beyond historic rates and will result in a banking crisis. I wouldn't be surprised if the bond auctions are deferred.

    It's also looking increasingly likely that investors are having to liquidate their treasury holdings to cover their losses elsewhere. Danger here!



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