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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,578 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    You are again spectacularly missing my point - absolutely nowhere have I suggested Sanders would be worse than Trump. Every single last democrat and 90% of Republicans would be a better leader than Trump. It is completely irrelevant to my point.

    Sanders would be a poor leader of the Democrats right now because his economic trade policies are too similar to Trump's and are well documented (also, cause he's not a Democrat). They need someone who can put forth the sensible economic rationale for why this is all incredibly stupid and just making everyone poorer by choice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,604 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Now think about the tangible impact it has on any of them. They'll pick that money back up at some other point and they're ultimately unimpacted in day to day life. So if this is your definition of the elite suffering, it's not suffering. Meanwhile working class and middle class people will actually suffer. Equally it doesn't take into account how many of those same billionaires are likely profiting from this situation...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,531 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Who else has lost? It's not just the richest people is it?

    It is anyone with investment, pensions etc connected to those companies.
    Next it will impact demand and jobs as the companies tighten belts.

    It is total misrepresentation to paint this as just hurting the richest people so spare us nonsense about "no wonder the media is in melt down".

    And the same Trump administration has been gutting programmes and staff that helped the poorest Americans.

    So don't even try that angle either.

    The media is in melt down because this economic repercussions for Americans of all income brackets, and not just Americans.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,121 ✭✭✭✭Spanish Eyes


    The way I look at it rightly or wrongly, is this…. if a country can produce certain goods within its borders then tariffs are ok to shore up domestic production. If they can't produce domestically and place tariffs on imports - not good.

    But I obviously haven't thought it through like an economist either!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,531 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    It's not just a question of whether you can produce it. You could produce cars in Ireland but they would be very expensive, we can produce pharma in large quantities. We can produce tomatoes but limited in greenhouses. You can't produce everything efficiently. Better off if Ireland produces butter and gets most of its tomatoes eg from the Mediterranean.

    There is a place for specific tariffs (eg new industries, newly developing countries, to target unfair trade practices) but you won't find any credible competent economist that will justify Trump's across the board tariffs based on a supposed trade deficit.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Subscribers Posts: 42,924 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.ndtv.com/world-news/jp-morgan-predicts-us-recession-by-year-end-amid-donald-trumps-tariffs-8092248/amp/1

    Jp Morgan predicts the US will be in recession by the end of the year, largely due to trump's tariffs.

    Well do the orange utan



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,056 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    500 richest people have lost some wealth. No wonder the media is in melt down.

    We have one poster blaming the Dems for Trump being elected, and here we have another claiming that the outrage is caused by the media, and not the people suffering.

    F**king hilarious to see throw blame around without laying it purely and simply where it belongs, at the ample lap of Donny...

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,393 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Getting the tariff formula all wrong made a mockery of the whole thing and probably spooked the markets even more. They know they are dealing with economic clowns now.

    I believe the Trump administration gave the ports a week to implement the new tariffs on their processes and systems so there is a lag there. It will take a while before we see the real impact including delays and bottlenecks at ports.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,907 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Is it true that Russia is facing no tariffs ?

    The US military's main adversary and it's main high spend on tech since WWII has been to counter the Russians.

    Trump is also cancelling "The Voice Of America" radio. Using a radio is a lot harder to track than internet usage in locked down countries.

    Is there ANYTHING Donald has done that has impacted Russia more than other countries because I haven't seen it.

    It's getting to the stage where someone will have to take the USA to the WTO under the "Most Favoured Nation" rules to make it clear to the rednecks that this president is like a dog marking his territory over what the US military has stood for for most of living memory.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,386 ✭✭✭jj880


    Another assassination attempt in the near future.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,725 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    I can't believe that this still has to be explained to some people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,476 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    Where are all these post numbers you keep referencing?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,041 ✭✭✭Dr Turk Turkelton


    If rich people keep losing money this one will be successful though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 119 ✭✭pats22b


    could all of this be based on the theories of a non existent economist -



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,738 ✭✭✭yagan


    This time probably with Wall street money behind it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,199 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    I would expect shares to continue to drop but in the longer run USD to rise. The dollar rising is something the Trump administration probably does not want as it negates some of the effect of the tariffs. On the other hand is mitigates some of the inflationary effects.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 935 ✭✭✭Detritus70


    How would it rise if everyone was trading it for something else?

    I can't see it short to medium term. Fair enough, you did say long term. But that would involve the US coming to it's senses.

    Fully Automated Luxury Gay Space Communism



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,738 ✭✭✭yagan


    I see more downside for the USD in the immediate, medium and longterm.

    It's normal strengthening is associated with it being a safe haven, whereas the US is this time the origin of the volatility.

    Gold is always an obvious safe haven domestically in the US, but even that's being eschewed for other currencies.

    Edit to add all of those are current indicators, but Trump's already signaled he wants to mess with the safest asset there is, the long term T bond.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭Field east


    Are the mid term elections not under the control of each state and not under the control at federal level.?

    So two points if this is the case.
    (1) will the Governers/ administration in the Blue/ democratic leaning states make sure what you are suggesting will not happen - so anyone who wants to vote can vote

    (2) There is a REALPOSSIBILITY that SOME of the governers /administration in red states are not TOO ENAMOURED with Trumps behaviour and what it’s doing to the economy and might not be too happy to carry out trumps bidding re voter suppression, etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,652 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Well, given Navarro's yet another convicted felon, no surprise he invented 'Ron Vara' (obvious anagram) as his phony economic adviser. CFTrump, of course, loved it and it gave him the pseudointellctual cover he needed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,039 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If Trump is dumb by any measurement, then what does that make Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, the Democratic party and the Republican party? Geniuses??

    They've all been defeated by him and yet some people cling to this strange fiction that he is dumb, and rarely question the intellect of those other people, and they say this without qualification.

    The problem with calling him dumb, despite him being the biggest political force in the USA today is that it's dismissive. It just says that "he'll shoot himself in the foot too bad to recover from sooner or later, so I don't really have to do anything". Now, THAT is dumb, because all evidence has been to the contrary. Not only has he not sabotaged himself to that point, but he looks poised to end US democracy entirely.

    How much do I have to say that simply calling him 'dumb' plays entirely into his hands? Because it has.

    And I'll tell you something else - you can go back and watch many interviews of him in the 90s and 80s where he sounds like a completely different man, speaking calmly and with decent articulation. Few these days seem to stop to think that maybe most of the stuff he's saying these days in public is strictly meant as red meat for the base. Why should we think this? Because he's said as much at rallies . He's said before something like, 'I talk about this trans thing and you people go crazy, so I just keep talking about it!' He knows what he's doing in that regard. He knows how to play the rubes. He knows how to stir up the lowest common denominator. He is a political PT Barnum.

    Again, there is a difference between being dumb and being ignorant. Trump is deeply ignorant in many ways, but highly effective in manipulation when it comes to getting what he wants, which is power and admiration.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,578 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    He is dumb. That a significant portion of voters in the US don't realise that or are themselves deluded fools doesn't change that.

    Remaining ignorant of everything, including basic economic facts when you are surrounded by whatever advisors money can buy also makes you dumb.

    He is effective in a very limited way that has been successful. But a large part of that is luck of timing - he absolutely doesn't have a carefully nuanced plan for how he approached everything.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,725 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    No matter what the rich lose, it's still the people on the lower ends of the ladder that will lose an awful lot more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,590 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Tough to know what Europe needs to do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭Field east


    Based on Sanders recent utterings/statements re the state of the economy , the issues that US Senate/ Congress/ Trump should be addressing re the environment, education, health and other sectors with some basic issues to be addressed and that effect the American less well off such as housing , I cannot see why individuals have a problem with him .

    I assume that he knows that what he is proposing cost money and he has plans as to how to source it.
    The only problem that some Americans have with him is that his source of funds to finance the above is to increase taxes paid be the rich companies/individuals



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,725 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Don't be concluding that just because Trump has managed to rally the stupid, the nasty minded, the unpleasant and the bigoted that he's, somehow, engaging in an advanced strategy here. The guy isn't that smart. He's just found himself at the head of driven cult of people that will hang on his every word, no matter how ridiculous they are and they're more than willing to gloss over the ludicrous.

    There's nothing intelligent or wise going on with him. He's just telling dumb people the lies they want to hear and doesn't care how it looks or what the destructive consequences will be. He's a narcissistic sociopath that's surrounded himself with like minded sociopaths and they'll tear the nation apart for their own aggrandisement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,738 ✭✭✭yagan


    I used to have to listen to him on the Howard Stern when I was with a landscaping crew back when he was lapping up the Martha Marples attention. The blue collared loved him, a silver spoon slob that's just like us!

    He sounded dumb to me then, full of what is now known as "main player syndrome", but then a lot people I was surrounded by in the US were entirely self centred. There's nothing smart about Trump.

    His tariff formula removes all doubt that there really isn't anything going on in his head other than me, me, me.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 5,578 Mod ✭✭✭✭spockety


    The system which supports people being very wealthy relies on the rest of the huge mass being relatively happy with their lot in life. If Trump can't keep the middle class comfortable and happy, the billionaires will start to worry about losing the social cohesion that prevents baying mobs from lynching them.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,578 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Because he has a significant history of proposing punitive tariffs for no other reason than encouraging manufacturing back to the US, which is both economically illiterate and an insurmountable historical issue when you need to counter someone doing that exact thing (albeit doing it more stupidly than Sanders would have).

    Also he is stupidly old, and this can't be emphasised enough - not a Democrat!.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,738 ✭✭✭yagan


    And those who'll suffer most would still vote him again tomorrow.



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