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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,373 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Tariffs are the only tool in his box without relying on Congress. But he seems to be using these on-again-off-again tariffs to get some leverage. Very few are implemented. His credibility is already in tatters re tariffs. There was supposed to be a Senate vote yesterday on revoking the proposed Canada tariffs because the underlying reason (fentanyl) was a lie. It got pushed to today.

    I think he will waffle about big tariffs again tonight but I don't see US actually implementing them to any great degree. I am most interested in learning what he actually wants in concessions from EU etc. He may not actually know himself but he might give us more clues into his mindset. It could be a complete anticlimax.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    Yep but pharma industry is probably most important sector for ireland so i would rather EU go that route then tariffing pharma here too along with trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 842 ✭✭✭Baba Yaga


    i dont think he has much understanding of anything unless its to do with himself…i get the feeling most of his "best,biggliest" ideas pop into his head when hes sitting on the pot…


    "They gave me an impossible task,one which they said I wouldnt return from...."

    "You are him…the one they call the "Baba Yaga"…

    yo! donnie vonshitzinpants..you sir are the skidmark on the jocks of humanity!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    I don't Think you understood my post, I'm saying i don't want EU to tariff American pharma companies that have manufacturing in Ireland(EU) like trump will as they would have no reason to stay in the eu if they are getting tariffed regardless of their location.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,313 ✭✭✭randd1


    If the EU put a tariff on US pharma, would US pharma companies keep their European operations open and simply make the drugs here instead, thus avoiding the tariffs as the products themselves would be EU made, and thus not subject to a tariff?

    And judging by news stories, such as China/Japan/South Korea joining together to combat US tariffs, the UK increasingly wanting asking is America trustworthy, Canada and Europe flirting about an improved trade and energy deal, the EU talking about investing more in Africa, all these stories popping up, am I the only one looking at this whole Trump driven tariff war against the world to get the impression that the rest of the world is now looking at America and saying to themselves "you know what, we don't actually need anything from them" and that all these tariffs will amount to is no-one trusting America and moving away from them?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,589 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    There is still hope for the USA.

    Musk assumed he could buy the Supreme Court in Wisconsin with his grubby money and failed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    Yes I'm hoping that would be the case and its not just blanket reciprocal tariff by EU on us pharma even located in the EU and supplying to EU market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,868 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I'm waiting for tonight's Rose Garden announcement from Trump on what will be in his tariffs and whom they will be aimed at. Until he actually says it, and has Karoline give it to the media as a press release in print [maybe], I think it would be good to hold fire in case he does not go full throttle on the tariffs he's been indicating he has in mind.

    Given how he has changed his position on his proposed tariffs recently, he might claim he has gotten enough from the other side in trade discussions - good deal claims from him - that he is able to reduce the percentage rate of the tariffs he is imposing on others, feeling that he can afford to take any criticism from his own side of the house for doing so.

    I can't imagine him blinking before the combination of upset nations worldwide over his proposals but flip-flops are the order of the hour in his world. In his world, he is the best deal maker in the world and he can persuade himself to believe what he says is the God's honest truth, even when it includes flip-flops on how he conducts US trade deals, putting them down as the result of trade concessions from the others. If he flip-flops, the MAGA heads can choke on his words.

    I apologise in advance if my optimism is upsetting to others here.



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 6,996 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Aris


    Not sure I understand your point.

    If manufacturing is in Ireland/EU, they are not imports. So how are they going to be included in tariffs?

    2025 gigs: Selofan, Alison Moyet, Wardruna, Gavin Friday, Orla Gartland, The Courettes, Nine Inch Nails, Rhiannon Giddens, New Purple Celebration, Nova Twins



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Exiled Rebel


    I wouldn't be surprised if he delays the announcement today. He has form.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    Yes that would be fine as long as not blanket tariff on us pharma regardless of base.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,555 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Why on earth would the EU put tariffs on US pharma imports? Also tariffs are on imports, not on "companies", so they'd absolutely benefit from a base in the EU in that circumstance. I don't follow your logic at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,589 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    The last time the USA tried something like this in 1930, it ended in tragedy for it's people. Especially the poorer in society. And it never fully recovered until they ramped up military production for WW2.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    That's my point, as long as EU don't do something stupid like on the company and consider all imports us made due to it being us company. Irish government are pushing for no retaliatory tariffs on pharma for a reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,051 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Look at him talking about giving interest paid on US-made cars as a tax deduction.

    'I think it will pay for itself'. He doesn't know if it will, or even how it would. He made up something in his head and had to announce it. Then he walks away and hopes that someone will work out the policy.

    Everything he does is like that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 842 ✭✭✭Baba Yaga


    not 100% sure but i think i heard on the radio hes pushed it back till tomorrow…not 100% i heard it right though…


    "They gave me an impossible task,one which they said I wouldnt return from...."

    "You are him…the one they call the "Baba Yaga"…

    yo! donnie vonshitzinpants..you sir are the skidmark on the jocks of humanity!!!



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,555 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    That's not how tariffs work and there is zero chance anything like that would be considered - there is no legal framework for it whatsoever.

    Where is the info that Ireland is pushing for no retaliatory tariffs on pharma coming from?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,902 ✭✭✭beggars_bush


    That's because he doesn't know what he is doing



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 6,996 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Aris


    Got you. Very unlikely I would say, any retaliation would be on imports, not a sector irrespective of registration.

    2025 gigs: Selofan, Alison Moyet, Wardruna, Gavin Friday, Orla Gartland, The Courettes, Nine Inch Nails, Rhiannon Giddens, New Purple Celebration, Nova Twins



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,373 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    It's a silly headline and Harris was waffling.

    Here is what he actually said...

    He added: “In theory, over a five-year period, if the EU imposed a tariff of around 20 per cent and the US imposed a tariff around 20 per cent you could, over a five-year period see a very significant reduction up to around half in the amount of pharmaceutical products we’re exporting.

    If my auntie had balls she would be my uncle.

    Let's wait for the detail and actual implementation before wild speculation. We don't need the Covid style fear mongers and theatrics in Ireland.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 286 ✭✭purplefields


    What surprises me about all of this is that Ireland has been getting away with essentially stealing all of this tax from America for so long. If I was an American, I would not be pleased with some other country taking tax dollars which should belong to the USA.

    America must have put effort and policy into encouraging and fostering the growth of such companies. Something that Ireland clearly does not do. Then Ireland takes the rewards.

    This has been FFGs one trick pony for the last 20 or 30 years. It could all be coming to an end soon. When it does, FFG are totally to blame for putting Ireland into this position. It was them what did it.

    Remember that when their PAYE/USC/PRSI goes up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,946 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    How exactly have we been stealing tax? Explain it clearly with examples and facts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 286 ✭✭purplefields


    'Essentially' stealing tax.

    Example: Corporation tax



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,276 ✭✭✭Allinall


    Who's arm did we bend backwards to make all these companies set up in Ireland?

    Should we do the right thing and give back all the corporation tax we have received over the last 20 years or so?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,547 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    You know there is a very lucrative business around global tax laws and the avoiding there of? Right?

    We have not stolen anything - essentially or not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,946 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    What about corporation tax? Ours is lower than theirs but so what? We structured our tax system to incentivise companies moving here specifically for EU office purposes if they wanted to fight that they could have dropped their tax rate to stop us.

    Their income tax is lower than ours, are they conversely stealing tax from us by encouraging workers to move over there with a lower income tax?

    Also while their corporation tax is listed at 21% its effective rate is often times far far lower, Amazon, Apple and Google to name 3 big examples pay nowhere close to 21% corporation tax in the states, Amazon for example paid just 6% in 2021.

    Honestly i don't believe you know what you are talking about and have read some buzzwords and phrases like "double irish" etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,868 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    It's not just Pharma items. Trump unfortunately doesn't see goods produced by U.S. Co's abroad as being free from US tariffs. To him they are foreign imports, items which should instead be made in the U.S. by the U.S. workers of those U.S Co's. It's a wonder that he and Musk haven't tagged their videos with the image of the the U.S. national flag on the grounds of it being the patriotic thing to do.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,555 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


     To him they are foreign imports

    They are foreign imports. This is not (for once) unique to Trump - that is just how import duties work.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,868 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    It's an unfortunate fact that no one twisted the arms of the U.S international Co's operating production lines and other forms of commerce outside the borders of the U.S. while they also operate the same within the U.S. employing people all over the world. Put it down to the U.S. Dept of Commerce and the various U.S. States not being able to satisfy the income demands of the U.S. international Co's.



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