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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,808 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    IMG_1070.png

    The real reason Trump wants Greenland ? Is Peter Thiel dictating all US policy ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,717 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    What on earth? Who will live in it?

    They can't do infrastructure in the US, what's the point in building a city in a country that is mostly frozen. Is he talking about a frontier oil-mining place? You don't need a fancy city for that. What is the sub-text?

    And given the amounts of money thrown about for most things, $525 million isn't going to build much of a city.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,313 ✭✭✭randd1


    I can safely say the tech-bro's are dictating policy in one way or another, Musk being the most obvious.

    As Bill Burr pointed out recently, it's the Revenge of the Nerds on steroids.

    Weirdly enough, all of them seem to be intent on building their own utopian society in their image. Musk wants create a Mars society based on his world view, Thiel wants to build cities in Greenland based on his world view, Zuckerberg wants to build a virtual society based on his world-view vie the Meta-verse.

    It's like they were so awkward and looked at like the weirdo's that they decided to want to build their own world with them at the centre than find a place in the real world.

    And now they have the money, and via useful idiots like the MAGA movement, the power to try.

    If only they'd got the ride and the friends early in life, then they might not have felt like they needed to create a fantasy to matter to people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,588 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Thiel is big into odd sci-fi style projects, was an investor in Seasteading a few years back. A lot of this seems to be an attempt to have his own fiefdom.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Seasteading_Institute



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,284 ✭✭✭ZeroThreat


    The City could be partly subterranean but surface areas entirely enclosed with giant 'bio-domes'.

    The City to be named 'Rapture' and run on purely Randian economic and social policies.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,638 ✭✭✭Rawr


    It’s the ultimate form of the Techno/Crypto Bro vaporware project that will likely go nowhere and is planned upon an entirely fictional need.

    Over the years we’ve seen proposals for New City Mega-Projects (often in Saudi Arabia, but also other places), where futuristic enclosed cities would be built. They would usually run exclusively on Crypto-money (because of course) and public transport would be built upon some nonsense «pod» concept car, or on non-viable modes like Musk’s now defunct HyperLoop.

    The common demoninators of these projects are that they are built somewhere no-one wants to or needs to live (Like for example a fundamentalist absolute monarchy in the desert, the middle of the ocean, or the frozen Arctic wilderness.) and that the entire business case of the settlement is built around something that can barely justify its existence in established civilisation (though minting Cryto & NFTs for example).

    Some of these insane projects do occasionally break ground. But very often they never finish.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,380 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    I know but someone asked what the game plan is and he targetted VAT for whatever reason. I don't think he will apply the threatened tariffs as a counter to VAT or whatever EU taxes he talks about. I think he will threaten them to get concessions. VAT can't be changed because it's individual across EU and not an EU-US tariff so it's hard to know what those concessions might be. He has already pushed NATO for increased military spending so he might double down on that. He will push for the 10% EU tariff on cars to be reduced.

    He threatened Canada because of some illegal drug that wasn't actually relevant to Canada. It's all cloak and dagger.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,928 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    It’s even more stupid than that

    How will these libertarians defend such a city/territory from attack



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,832 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    hmm, not the most auspicious name for a guy into odd sci-fi-style projects to choose

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,638 ✭✭✭Rawr


    You're giving Donnie far too much credit there. I stongly doubt he's put anywhere near that much thought into what he's doing. He want's to sound "Presidental" and "Tough", so he throws out blockheaded Tariffs because that's his current favorite word, but no thought at all is going into the targeting of those Tariffs.

    FFS, he's even managed to potentially get China & Japan to join forces on thier side of a Trade War. That was increadibly stupid and reckless of him, and it happened because I suspect there is no real plan to what he's doing.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 104 ✭✭goldsparkle


    Are tariffs definitely in now?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 104 ✭✭goldsparkle


    I don't get it. I don't know why the Americans voted for him but a lot of what he was sprouting and a lot of his policies that likely got him elected are small minded crap. Does is not have 4 years in office? Why has he rushed so much within weeks of gaining office? Surely he could ah e entered some sort of negotiations stage for a lot of what he's doing but he's very rushed with his small minded bullcrap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,350 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “..because I suspect there is no real plan to what he's doing.”


    I hope so- because that ensures a ton of unintended consequences, most of which will benefit countries other than the USA . From new trade deals to sourcing materials elsewhere to supporting homegrown etc etc- USA could be in for a mighty shock yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,687 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    No.They won't be definitely in even tomorrow. He was putting on tariffs on Canada, then he wasn't, then he was but they were delayed.

    Ironic, for someone with a God complex, but the Gospel according to Donald as of 1.30 on April 1st, might be the mirror opposite of the Gospel of Donald at 2.45 tomorrow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,327 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Am coming to conclusion it is mostly just aggression and hostility from the US IMO. Particularly from some of the more evil people clustered around Trump. I don't think they just want minor changes in a limited arena like the goods trade balance, or military spending.

    On the latter, at this stage the NATO guarantee that the US would step up and defend European countries attacked by Russia or anyone else is looking very unreliable. Maybe they would, but like Ukraine perhaps you'd be expected to beg on bended knee and effectively sell off your country & people to obtain help, or they may not help at all if they don't like your government of the day (too "lefty").

    With Canada Trump let that cat out of the bag early with that "51st state" stuff, which I initially thought was a nasty joke of sorts and dig at Trudeau. However, it has persisted and has been echoed by several others in the admin. around Trump since I think.

    So the trade war on Canada is not an opening position or a way to pressure to negotiate with Canada on something the US wants, it is intended to squeeze and weaken the Canadian economy over time and eventually bring Canada under more direct political control.

    I think it is same thing with the EU at base, intent will be to weaken it with economic warfare and eventually break it up and bring the countries that make it up far more under direct US politcal control e.g. bringing some MAGA "mini mes" that will kowtow to the US/Trump to power etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,380 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    To my knowledge those tariffs with Canada haven't started yet. Not sure, it's hard to keep up and I get bored of the flapping. And the Senate are voting on whether to block/reverse those Canada tariffs. Today I believe.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,327 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Yes it is very hard to keep up and I am not following every move of the Trump admin. too obsessively (it is not good for ones' health).

    I thought some of them had been instituted on certain goods e.g. on metals but should check again.

    Anyway, that was my thought on what is going on but it's still an open question whether Trump admin. will be committed enough to this course to follow through in full, because while they might be able to harm others more if they wage economic war, it certainly won't be painless for the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,832 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    republicans might lose their majorities in house and senate in midterm elections so that's putting some pressure on



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,145 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    We're not thinking like Americans, or certainly a large cohort of Americans. Boasts, threats, braggadocio, insults, mockery, and simplistic solutions to complex problems have a great appeal to a population brought up on reality shows, Jerry Sprnger, wrestling, banger racing and MMA. Subtlety and deep thinking isn't their forte.

    Post edited by ilkhanid on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,367 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41


    If he imposes 20% tariffs on all EU imports to the States , plus potentially Ireland specific tariffs with Pharma. When do you reckon we will begin to see real/significant job losses in 1) Pharma Jobs in Ireland and 2) wider job losses in Ire? Will it initially be no new jobs created first? Then job losses in 1 year or so? Or will it be immediate?

    This is so worrying.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,124 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    Trump hasn't revealed his plan yet, we may get some leaks later today but will most likely have to wait until tomorrow. 3pm tomorrow according to Bessent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,076 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Havent really been tuning into Irish News, RTE etc re Trumps Tarrifs & Ireland

    Ireland is one of what he calls THE DIRTY 15:

    Interesting times for the US Pharma industry and US FDI in general here.

    This is where the gov here gets most of its money from .. the FDI corp tax take. And add to that this "leprechaun economics" our gov has/had going on.

    Possible rough times for Eire PLC coming up?

    I wonder would a seperate TARRIFs and Ireland thread be potentially useful? Call it LIBERATION DAY ( as trump is calling April 2 2025 )



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,947 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Consider how long it takes to plan, build, staff and fully ramp up to production of a new factory in any industry, then think about how much trickier medical stuff is, these companies still need to make their drugs regardless of if they do look to move production back to the US. That long timrframe of that means they may just try to weather the next 4 years or potentially even just 2 years and hope the midterms bring a reprieve. Also the immediate price increases are going to make him extremely unpopular especially with there being no scope to immediately relieve those price increases due to the long time to move and start full production of "X" product so these tariffs might not even last that long if he sees strong negative reactions from his base.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,928 ✭✭✭Beta Ray Bill


    Just thought I'd add some stuff on the Pharma front.

    Generally speaking, it takes 10 years to get a drug tested, approved, licenced and manufactured. (there are exceptions - covid)
    The pharma companies have invested billions here in implementing that process.
    All drugs sold in the EU must be manufactured in the EU.

    Big pharma is playing a long game, they're not gonna go anywhere. This will all be gone in 3.75 years, they're not about to throw away years of work, and billions in investment over some tarriffs.

    The insurance companies in the US will bare the brunt and hence will have higher premiums. This in turn will make it even more difficult to do business in the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,124 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    Everyone seems to be stunned that a politician would actually do Something to benefit the working class and isn't bought out by the billionaires. What a preposterous idea. There defence is so weak now as the middle class has been hollowed out over years as the Government only seems to serve investors and business. But nobody blame the corporations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,061 ✭✭✭Suckler


    and isn't bought out by the billionaires. 

    If only you knew who Trump has surrounded himself with and has given unfettered access to all levels of government information….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,588 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    He's pretty clearly not for the working class if he's fired numerous civil servants on a whim. He's got a propaganda minister in the form of a billionaire. He's about to trigger a global recession that will hit the working class more than any group.… It's outlandish to claim he's working for the working class.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,085 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    If the tariffs last more than a few months then they are here to stay, Trump or no Trump.

    While the pharma companies won't shutter plants tomorrow, they will divert their future investment back to the States. There is always going to be less political risk with domestic manufacturing so the FDI investment tap will be turned off.

    The only hope is that these policies bind up the US economy and force a reversal before they bed in. Once established it will take years to a decade to undo



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 7,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Aris


    I don't expect that pharma or other MNC will completely shut down operations in EU. They will probably redirect production for the US market to US, if they already have facilities there, which will create some downsizing, not sure how significant this will be.

    There was also a discussion a few days ago about trademarks/IP licenses residing in EU. I'm not sure I understand how any import tariffs would affect IP residing in this side of the Atlantic. For that to change, I reckon a change in US tax law would be needed to make it attractive for companies to move these intangibles back to US.

    2025 gigs: Selofan, Alison Moyet, Wardruna, Gavin Friday, Orla Gartland, The Courettes, Nine Inch Nails, Rhiannon Giddens, New Purple Celebration, Nova Twins



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,350 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    The problem about these Tariffs is- applying “logic” doesn’t necessarily help matters - I think we’re mostly agreed that a lot of what MAGA is doing right now isn’t logical anyway - is it spite? Is it movement to a new world order? Is it a realisation of just how much technology or AI can and will change what humans do that they’re getting the jump on the western world and pivoting toward that?
    something else?

    I haven’t seen an insightful article yet that attempts to take a medium to long term view of the Trump administration in terms of the direction they’re taking and what success might look like to them.
    whilst most of what they do isn’t appearing logical - it is consistent - so it’s heading in a certain direction for a certain purpose. If we can identify that, it might help us all a bit more



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