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Boards weather forecast contest, April 2025

  • 29-03-2025 09:37PM
    #1
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,057 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the "IMT" or Irish Mean Temperature which is the average for night and day at these five locations: Casement, Mullingar, Claremorris, Oak Park, and Shannon. (In April the normal IMT is 8.4 C). That is worth a maximum of 25 points. You lose one point per 0.1 deg error.
    2. Predict the MAX which is the highest reading at any of the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website. Worth 20 points, same error.
    3. Predict the MIN, lowest reading, otherwise same idea. Worth 20 points, same error as the first two.
    4. Predict the PRC which is the rainfall plus liquid equivalent of any other types of precipitation, as a percentage of normal for the average at eleven locations in Ireland. Those are the five listed in 1 above, plus Malin Head, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle (in Wexford), Cork, and Valentia. (worth 15 points, you lose one point for each 3% error).
    5. Predict the SUN, hours of sunshine also as a percentage of normal, from stats gathered at six locations around Ireland (Casement, Dublin, Cork, Valentia, Shannon, Belmullet). The average duration of sunshine in April is about 5 hours a day. Worth 10 points and the score is reduced for each multiple of 5% error.
    6. BONUS for April __ Predict the maximum temperature for Easter Sunday (20 April) and its location. Points will be 7 for temp, and 3 for location, with superbonus of 1 or 2 points available. Will fit scoring to a good spread of points but to get maximum location points you will need to guess correct location (of the regular reporting sites on met.ie website).

    M.T.Cranium _______ 9.0 _ 22.1 _ -3.2 _ 075 _ 115 __ 15.2 Oak Park

    NormaL ___________8.4 _ 21.0 _ -3.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 14.0 loc'n score by climatology



«13

Comments

  • #2
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,984 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen _______ 10.2 _ 22.6 _ -4.0 _ 080 _ 120 __ 17.1 Shannon Apt

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • #3
    Artane2002
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,076 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002 ___________10.0 _ 22.7 _ -2.1 _ 075 _ 120 __ 18.5 Mount Dillon



  • #4
    waterways
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 393 ✭✭waterways


    waterways ______ 8.7 _ 22.3 _ -2.4 _ 67 _ 123 __ 14.4 Shannon



  • #5
    dasa29
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 592 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29 ___________9.0 _ 20.5 _ -2.5 _ 070 _ 110 __ 15.5 Mullingar



  • #6
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,499 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry ___________9.5 _ 21.8 _ -3.1 _ 072 _ 112 __ 17.1 Shannon



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  • #7
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    WolfeEire ___________9.6 _ 21.5 _ -3.5 _ 75 _ 115 __ 15.5 Valentia

    www.weatheire.com



  • #8
    Bsal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal ___________9.7 _ 21.5 _ -2.0 _ 70 _ 120 __ 17.0 Ballyhaise



  • #9
    kindredspirit
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 357 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 9.5 ___ 21.8 ___ -3.0 ___ 85 ___ 110 ___ 16.5 Shannon.

    https://coolwatergarden.com/



  • #10
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,004 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH _______ 9.3 _ 21.2 _ -3.2 _ 073 _ 113 __ 16.3 Newport



  • #11
    esposito
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,550 ✭✭✭esposito


    Esposito _______ 10.2 _ 21.9 _ -2.8 _ 070 _ 120 __ 19.7 Valentia



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  • #12
    Jpmarn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,501 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn ___________10.1 _ 21.8 _ -2.5 _ 60 _ 125 __ 17.5 Shannon.



  • #13
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,497 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gonzo _______ 10.3 _ 21.5 _ -2.6 _ 072 _ 127 __ 16.7 Shannon



  • #14
    John mac
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,166 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac ___________9.2 _ 23.0 _ -3.1 _ 95 _ 109 __ 15.0  Newport



  • #15
    Cornerstonelad
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 56 ✭✭Cornerstonelad


    Cornerstonelad: 10.1_23.2__-2.9_75__130_14.0 Valentia Is



  • #16
    appledrop
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,751 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Appledrop 9.8___21.5___-2.0__73___122___17.0 Shannon



  • #17
    sunflower3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 203 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3.....10.2__20.8___-2.2__70___120___19.0 Shannon



  • #18
    mr.stonewall
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,135 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Mr stonewall__9.9___22.1__-1.4__95___110__17.2__shannon



  • #19
    Joe Public
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public _______ 9.9 _ 24.2 _ -2.1 _ 80 _ 120 __ 18.1 Casement



  • #20
    Tae laidir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 761 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir _________ 9.7 _ 22.2 _ -1.5 _ 58 _ 122 _ 17.0, Mullingar



  • #21
    adam240610
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭adam240610


    Adam24061/ _______ 10.0 _ 22.9 _ -3 _ 060 _ 130 __ 17.1 Shannon



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  • #22
    dacogawa
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa_____ 9.9___22.0___-2.3___65___142___16.8 Shannon



  • #23
    mrskinner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 409 ✭✭mrskinner


    Mrskinner.___10__21.5__-2.8__60__120__17.8 Valentia



  • #24
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,004 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    High of 18.1c at Belmullet yesterday (01st).



  • #25
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,057 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Table of Forecasts for April 2025 

    FORECASTER ______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 20 Apr, loc'n

    Gonzo ___________ 10.3 _ 21.5 _ -2.6 _ 072 _ 127 __ 16.7 Shannon

    sryanbruen _______ 10.2 _ 22.6 _ -4.0 _ 080 _ 120 __ 17.1 Shannon

    Esposito _________ 10.2 _ 21.9 _ -2.8 _ 070 _ 120 __ 19.7 Valentia

    Sunflower3 _______ 10.2 _ 20.8 _ -2.2 _ 070 _ 120 __ 19.0 Shannon

    Cornerstonelad ____ 10.1 _ 23.2 _ -2.9 _ 075 _ 130 __ 14.0 Valentia

    Jpmarn __________ 10.1 _ 21.8 _ -2.5 _ 060 _ 125 __ 17.5 Shannon

    Adam240610 _____ 10.0 _ 22.9 _ -3.0 _ 060 _ 130 __ 17.1 Shannon

    Artane2002 _______10.0 _ 22.7 _ -2.1 _ 075 _ 120 __ 18.5 Mount Dillon

    MrSkinner ________ 10.0 _ 21.5 _ -2.8 _ 060 _ 120 __ 17.8 Valentia

    Joe Public _________ 9.9 _ 24.2 _ -2.1 _ 080 _ 120 __ 18.1 Casement

    Mr Stonewall _______9.9 _ 22.1 _ -1.4 _ 095 _ 110 __ 17.2 Shannon

    Dacogawa _________ 9.9 _ 22.0 _ -2.3 _ 065 _ 142 __ 16.8 Shannon

    ___ Consensus ____ 9.9 _ 21.9 _ -2.8 _ 072 _ 120 __ 17.0 Shannon

    Appledrop _________9.8 _ 21.5 _ -2.0 _ 073 _ 122 __ 17.0 Shannon

    Tae laidir __________9.7 _ 22.2 _ -1.5 _ 058 _ 122 __ 17.0 Mullingar

    Bsal ______________9.7 _ 21.5 _ -2.0 _ 070 _ 120 __ 17.0 Ballyhaise

    WolfeEire __________9.6 _ 21.5 _ -3.5 _ 075 _ 115 __ 15.5 Valentia

    Pauldry ___________ 9.5 _ 21.8 _ -3.1 _ 072 _ 112 __ 17.1 Shannon

    Kindred Spirit ______ 9.5 _ 21.8 _ -3.0 _ 085 _ 110 __ 16.5 Shannon

    DOCARCH _________ 9.3 _ 21.2 _ -3.2 _ 073 _ 113 __ 16.3 Newport

    john mac __________ 9.2 _ 23.0 _ -3.1 _ 095 _ 109 __ 15.0 Newport

    M.T.Cranium _______ 9.0 _ 22.1 _ -3.2 _ 075 _ 115 __ 15.2 Oak Park

    Dasa29 ___________ 9.0 _ 20.5 _ -2.5 _ 070 _ 110 __ 15.5 Mullingar

    waterways _________8.7 _ 22.3 _ -2.4 _ 067 _ 123 __ 14.4 Shannon

    ___ NormaL _______ 8.4 _ 21.0 _ -3.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 14.0 loc'n score by climatology

    11 of 23 predict Shannon (Con 3), 4 Valentia, 2 Newport and Mullingar (Con 2), 1 Oak Park, Mount Dillon, Casement, Ballyhaise (Con 1)

    Con Sensus score if correct 3, 2 or 1 as indicated. If any non-listed loc'n is warmest, Con scores zero. Forecaster loc'n scores will be based only on ranks of predicted locations except no 3/3 if non-listed loc'n is warmest.



  • #26
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,004 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low of 0.6c at Mount Dillon yesterday (02nd).



  • #27
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    19.1c at Shannon

    www.weatheire.com



  • #28
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    19.4c at Shannon

    www.weatheire.com



  • #29
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,596 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    minus 0.8c at Dublin Airport

    www.weatheire.com



  • #30
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,499 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Unofficial -1.3c Mt Dillon



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  • #31
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,004 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Dunsany -1.5c yesterday and Mount Dillon 19.5c yesterday (07th).



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