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Boards weather forecast contest, April 2025

M.T. Cranium · 2025-03-29T20:37:07+00:00

* Predict the "IMT" or Irish Mean Temperature which is the average for night and day at these five locations: Casement, Mullingar, Claremorris, Oak Park, and Shannon. (In April the normal IMT is 8.4 C). That is worth a maximum of 25 points. You lose one point per 0.1 deg error. * Predict the MAX which is the highest…

M.T. Cranium

Predict the "IMT" or Irish Mean Temperature which is the average for night and day at these five locations: Casement, Mullingar, Claremorris, Oak Park, and Shannon. (In April the normal IMT is 8.4 C). That is worth a maximum of 25 points. You lose one point per 0.1 deg error.
Predict the MAX which is the highest reading at any of the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website. Worth 20 points, same error.
Predict the MIN, lowest reading, otherwise same idea. Worth 20 points, same error as the first two.
Predict the PRC which is the rainfall plus liquid equivalent of any other types of precipitation, as a percentage of normal for the average at eleven locations in Ireland. Those are the five listed in 1 above, plus Malin Head, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle (in Wexford), Cork, and Valentia. (worth 15 points, you lose one point for each 3% error).
Predict the SUN, hours of sunshine also as a percentage of normal, from stats gathered at six locations around Ireland (Casement, Dublin, Cork, Valentia, Shannon, Belmullet). The average duration of sunshine in April is about 5 hours a day. Worth 10 points and the score is reduced for each multiple of 5% error.
BONUS for April __ Predict the maximum temperature for Easter Sunday (20 April) and its location. Points will be 7 for temp, and 3 for location, with superbonus of 1 or 2 points available. Will fit scoring to a good spread of points but to get maximum location points you will need to guess correct location (of the regular reporting sites on met.ie website).

M.T.Cranium _______ 9.0 _ 22.1 _ -3.2 _ 075 _ 115 __ 15.2 Oak Park

NormaL ___________8.4 _ 21.0 _ -3.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 14.0 loc'n score by climatology

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sryanbruen

sryanbruen _______ 10.2 _ 22.6 _ -4.0 _ 080 _ 120 __ 17.1 Shannon Apt

Artane2002

Artane2002 ___________10.0 _ 22.7 _ -2.1 _ 075 _ 120 __ 18.5 Mount Dillon

waterways

waterways ______ 8.7 _ 22.3 _ -2.4 _ 67 _ 123 __ 14.4 Shannon

dasa29

Dasa29 ___________9.0 _ 20.5 _ -2.5 _ 070 _ 110 __ 15.5 Mullingar

pauldry

Pauldry ___________9.5 _ 21.8 _ -3.1 _ 072 _ 112 __ 17.1 Shannon

WolfeEire

WolfeEire ___________9.6 _ 21.5 _ -3.5 _ 75 _ 115 __ 15.5 Valentia

Bsal

Bsal ___________9.7 _ 21.5 _ -2.0 _ 70 _ 120 __ 17.0 Ballyhaise

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 9.5 ___ 21.8 ___ -3.0 ___ 85 ___ 110 ___ 16.5 Shannon.

DOCARCH

DOCARCH _______ 9.3 _ 21.2 _ -3.2 _ 073 _ 113 __ 16.3 Newport

esposito

Esposito _______ 10.2 _ 21.9 _ -2.8 _ 070 _ 120 __ 19.7 Valentia

Jpmarn

Jpmarn ___________10.1 _ 21.8 _ -2.5 _ 60 _ 125 __ 17.5 Shannon.

Gonzo

Gonzo _______ 10.3 _ 21.5 _ -2.6 _ 072 _ 127 __ 16.7 Shannon

John mac

john mac ___________9.2 _ 23.0 _ -3.1 _ 95 _ 109 __ 15.0 Newport

Cornerstonelad

Cornerstonelad: 10.1_23.2__-2.9_75__130_14.0 Valentia Is

appledrop

Appledrop 9.8___21.5___-2.0__73___122___17.0 Shannon

sunflower3

Sunflower3.....10.2__20.8___-2.2__70___120___19.0 Shannon

mr.stonewall

Mr stonewall__9.9___22.1__-1.4__95___110__17.2__shannon

Joe Public

Joe Public _______ 9.9 _ 24.2 _ -2.1 _ 80 _ 120 __ 18.1 Casement

Tae laidir

Tae laidir _________ 9.7 _ 22.2 _ -1.5 _ 58 _ 122 _ 17.0, Mullingar

adam240610

Adam24061/ _______ 10.0 _ 22.9 _ -3 _ 060 _ 130 __ 17.1 Shannon

dacogawa

Dacogawa_____ 9.9___22.0___-2.3___65___142___16.8 Shannon

mrskinner

Mrskinner.___10__21.5__-2.8__60__120__17.8 Valentia

DOCARCH

High of 18.1c at Belmullet yesterday (01st).

M.T. Cranium

Table of Forecasts for April 2025

FORECASTER ______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 20 Apr, loc'n

Gonzo ___________ 10.3 _ 21.5 _ -2.6 _ 072 _ 127 __ 16.7 Shannon

sryanbruen _______ 10.2 _ 22.6 _ -4.0 _ 080 _ 120 __ 17.1 Shannon

Esposito _________ 10.2 _ 21.9 _ -2.8 _ 070 _ 120 __ 19.7 Valentia

Sunflower3 _______ 10.2 _ 20.8 _ -2.2 _ 070 _ 120 __ 19.0 Shannon

Cornerstonelad ____ 10.1 _ 23.2 _ -2.9 _ 075 _ 130 __ 14.0 Valentia

Jpmarn __________ 10.1 _ 21.8 _ -2.5 _ 060 _ 125 __ 17.5 Shannon

Adam240610 _____ 10.0 _ 22.9 _ -3.0 _ 060 _ 130 __ 17.1 Shannon

Artane2002 _______10.0 _ 22.7 _ -2.1 _ 075 _ 120 __ 18.5 Mount Dillon

MrSkinner ________ 10.0 _ 21.5 _ -2.8 _ 060 _ 120 __ 17.8 Valentia

Joe Public _________ 9.9 _ 24.2 _ -2.1 _ 080 _ 120 __ 18.1 Casement

Mr Stonewall _______9.9 _ 22.1 _ -1.4 _ 095 _ 110 __ 17.2 Shannon

Dacogawa _________ 9.9 _ 22.0 _ -2.3 _ 065 _ 142 __ 16.8 Shannon

___ Consensus ____ 9.9 _ 21.9 _ -2.8 _ 072 _ 120 __ 17.0 Shannon

Appledrop _________9.8 _ 21.5 _ -2.0 _ 073 _ 122 __ 17.0 Shannon

Tae laidir __________9.7 _ 22.2 _ -1.5 _ 058 _ 122 __ 17.0 Mullingar

Bsal ______________9.7 _ 21.5 _ -2.0 _ 070 _ 120 __ 17.0 Ballyhaise

WolfeEire __________9.6 _ 21.5 _ -3.5 _ 075 _ 115 __ 15.5 Valentia

Pauldry ___________ 9.5 _ 21.8 _ -3.1 _ 072 _ 112 __ 17.1 Shannon

Kindred Spirit ______ 9.5 _ 21.8 _ -3.0 _ 085 _ 110 __ 16.5 Shannon

DOCARCH _________ 9.3 _ 21.2 _ -3.2 _ 073 _ 113 __ 16.3 Newport

john mac __________ 9.2 _ 23.0 _ -3.1 _ 095 _ 109 __ 15.0 Newport

M.T.Cranium _______ 9.0 _ 22.1 _ -3.2 _ 075 _ 115 __ 15.2 Oak Park

Dasa29 ___________ 9.0 _ 20.5 _ -2.5 _ 070 _ 110 __ 15.5 Mullingar

waterways _________8.7 _ 22.3 _ -2.4 _ 067 _ 123 __ 14.4 Shannon

___ NormaL _______ 8.4 _ 21.0 _ -3.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 14.0 loc'n score by climatology

11 of 23 predict Shannon (Con 3), 4 Valentia, 2 Newport and Mullingar (Con 2), 1 Oak Park, Mount Dillon, Casement, Ballyhaise (Con 1)

Con Sensus score if correct 3, 2 or 1 as indicated. If any non-listed loc'n is warmest, Con scores zero. Forecaster loc'n scores will be based only on ranks of predicted locations except no 3/3 if non-listed loc'n is warmest.

DOCARCH

Low of 0.6c at Mount Dillon yesterday (02nd).

WolfeEire

19.1c at Shannon

WolfeEire

19.4c at Shannon

WolfeEire

minus 0.8c at Dublin Airport

pauldry

Unofficial -1.3c Mt Dillon

DOCARCH

Dunsany -1.5c yesterday and Mount Dillon 19.5c yesterday (07th).