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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)
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I can assure you that Norway would be apoplectic if Ukraine tried to pull something like that. Norway’s territorial situation in the far north is pretty tenuous as it is, and having ballistic or cruise missiles coming in from Norway to take out a key strategic asset would give Russia all the pretext it needs to straighten out its border and remove the salient around the border town of Kirkenes. I was up in Norway’s far north back in November 2024 and was able to get a glimpse of just how close things really are up there. Take the photo below for example:
I took this photo aboard the coastal ferry Havila Castor whilst we were tied up at the pier at Kirkenes, the end point of a coastal supply route known as the Hurtigrute. See that body of water in the background? That’s Elvenesfjord. It leads right up to the Russian border, which is hidden behind those mountains you see at the far back of this image. That’s less than 16 kilometres. That’s not a huge distance, and I highly doubt that the GSV Ranger Batallion, based at Kirkenes airport, would be able to mount an effective defence of the town in time. At the same time, if Russia limited itself to that, I have my doubts that Norway would be able to get an Article 5 request through the NATO council.
And then, there’s Vardø. Ostensibly a small Norwegian fishing town, and another stop on the Hurtigrute, this town is notable for three things:
Those domes sitting above the town itself are a part of GLOBUS, a Norwegian radar system that is officially meant for the tracking of orbital objects and space debris. However, it’s just 40 kilometres away from the Kola Peninsula and has a direct line of sight to many of the fleet and air bases on the peninsula. It is generally understood that the system is meant just as much to monitor nearby activity as it is to monitor orbital activity, and the presence of three separate radar dishes (hence the three radomes) indicates that the system might be able to monitor all three domains (sea, air, space) simultaneously.
Russia is obviously aware of this system, and has protested against it multiple times, claiming that it is a threat to their national security, a violation of disarmament treaties and part of a plan to attack Russia. There’s a cruise missile unit on nearby Sredny peninsula that’s been put in place to counter the Vardø radar, and you can bet that the Kremlin would just love to get an excuse to take out that radar installation.
(Never thought I’d be able to put my holiday photos to use in this thread, but here we are 😉)
Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!
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Well, thats put the tin hat on it
MORE: From interview with Tucker Carlson
- Witkoff can't even remember the names of the Ukrainian oblasts (Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Crimea) that Putin wants.
- He then uses the Russian name (Lugansk) for one of them.
- He cites a sham vote organized by the FSB as "evidence" that people in these regions want to join Russia.
- Witkoff also fails to mention that Russia doesn't even have full de facto control of these regions.
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