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Irish Rugby peaked in 2023 and is now in steady decline. A Very Barron decade ahead

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,722 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    Has anybody analyzed statistically over an extended period how we perform in tournaments and between World Cups? My theory is that we’re well coached because our national team essentially plays for one club team so we perform well between World Cups. However, at a World Cup this advantage diminishes as teams like South Africa and Argentina become reacquainted with each other and our relative lack of depth is exposed by injuries during the tournament. I even wonder whether the same thing happens in the 6N? Some nerd needs to look into this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,885 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    A lad this tall is surely the future in the second row

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,232 ✭✭✭dmakc


    5 years rule for foreign players is only right TBF, and should serve to incentivise development locally.

    It made a cod of the idea of a nation, and creates odd situations like the recent WC QF with our try scorers playing against their own country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    The issue is we seem to always get a NZL,SA or FRA in a QF…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    Or you could just point to Ireland from 4 years ago. An XV that was even older than this one on a Lions year ended up being number 1 in the world 12 months later and stayed that was for another 18.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭kerry_man15


    Definitely in decline. Shadow of 22/23. Poor against Wales, France and Italy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭Paul Smeenus


    I completely agree with this and have said it for a long time. Every 6N we get a head start with our cohesion and the extended run-up time before a RWC means that we have much less of an advantage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18 geoff2204


    I know I will get battered for this but I really believe if we spread the wealth so that everyone in the national squad starts for a province where possible we will be in a much better position. It is what New Zealand do. We need to be much more dynamic with managing our resources. It will also help bring younger players through sooner.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,536 ✭✭✭OldRio


    How the hell could you possibly do the above?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,749 ✭✭✭typhoony


    I think it's better to have star under 20's players than win u20's. England have 2 or 3 genuine stars who can step up from u20's to senior almost immediately. Pollack and the guy from their front row are examples. Gleeson and Prendergast are not comparable in my opinion. We're going to struggle against England and France for the next few years



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,828 ✭✭✭fonecrusher1


    Yeah the number 1 team in the world who exited the 2023RWC in the QF again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 799 ✭✭✭Rugbyf565


    ..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,425 ✭✭✭almostover


    it would have to be an NFL style draft system. It would be hugely unpopular with most provincial fans. Essentially you would be pooling all the schools players together at Academy contact time and distributing them based on the previous seasons performance. Don't think it would work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,425 ✭✭✭almostover


    Interestingly England went to pot in the 6N after that RWC win. Yet they managed to get a very average team to the RWC final in 2007. Contrast that to us, we flopped against France in the QF in 2003 and did well in the 6N for the next 4 years and went to RWC 2007 with a very good squad. Then we flopped and nearly lost to Georgia in the pool and didn't even make the QF.

    Us and England are polar opposites at RWC time. We keep going with good squads and underperforming. They tend to go with average teams and seem to eke out results.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭niallm77


    Tha keeps getting mentioned but if a few years ago it was in place and Munster lost say Casey, Ahern, Hodnett to other provinces would they be any better off now? An academy draft means all players at that level are moved around, not just those in Leinster. I think that is the reality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 773 ✭✭✭StormForce13


    Socialist policy.

    Let's spread the cream thinly across four cakes and risk having have four dissatisfied bunches of supporters instead of three.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,425 ✭✭✭almostover


    I agree fully, it would never work. It would involve the best young talent not playing for their province which may alienate the fan base. A guy born and bred in Dublin would most likely love to play in blue, ditto for Galway, Belfast and Limerick/Cork. We're too parochial in this country for it to work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,425 ✭✭✭almostover


    It's funny you mention socialism! The most ardently capitalist society in the world has the most Socialist approach to sport!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 773 ✭✭✭StormForce13


    But I think that those professional teams can sell off/trade their option to draft the best players!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭niallm77


    You should watch draft day on netflix and see if it's socialism?

    Players get traded all the time, without ever being asked, draft picks get traded etc.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭Perks


    lol @sxt is that you Sexton??

    Who won the 2025 triple crown?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    England also get to play Fiji and Australia in QF’s whereas Ireland get to choose between NZL, SA or France…


    Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than to be good.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,576 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Ireland's 3 best players by far in this six nations this year were Nz born, Ireland will not be able to replace these players with the same quality ever again

    Not sure we needed a dedicated thread to rehash the same tired old cliches but just on this point, only Aki arrived in Ireland even remotely as good as he turned out to be.

    Gibson-Park arrived here in 2016, four years later he was still the understudy to Luke McGrath and very few people saw this as an issue. We could have picked him for the 2019 RWC, we didn’t, and no one protested.

    Similarly, to say that Lowe was the unfinished article when he arrived here would be a massive understatement. He wasn’t half the player he is now.

    (I would really question if Aki was one of our best players in the 6N btw.)

    These guys are always held up as evidence that we can’t develop players. Someone with a more positive perspective might say they’re the opposite.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,067 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I would agree that we generally have an advantage because of coherence, but our failures at the WC have all been unique to themselves. I don't think they due to other teams catching up to us. 2007 was a **** show from the start. 2011 Kidney was a diabolical coach and we played arguably the best Welsh team of the professional era. 2015 5 key players were crocked for Argentina. 2019 the wheels came off, in a not dissimilar fashion to 2007. 2023 Kelleher got held up and Murray gave away a braindead penalty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,488 ✭✭✭sprucemoose


    yes, the coach who won 2 heineken cups and ireland's second ever grand slam was 'diabolical'

    he wasnt at the level of schmidt or farrell obviously but he wasnt complete rubbish either



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,067 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    He was our worst coach in the professional era. Wasted some of the best teams we've ever had. Our worst finishes in the 6Ns. He was shite.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,488 ✭✭✭sprucemoose


    his overall win percentage is bad yes, but he was the first one to actually win silverware and win coach of the year. kidd and ashton didnt even make double figures in terms of games from what i remember too so the percentage part is slightly skewed too

    Post edited by sprucemoose on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,674 ✭✭✭Downlinz


    We definitely are in decline and need new energy in both the squad and coaching setup. The stats from this Six Nations are far worse than you would expect from 4 wins, we're bottom in a lot of categories and not top of anything positive. We only really won the Scottish game with any comfort so another year of decline and a confidence drop could see results nosedive very quickly.

    If Easterby and POC are joining Farrell on the Lions then it will only postpone the necessary rebuild until next season.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,991 ✭✭✭TRC10


    Let's see the average age of the teams that take to the field against Georgia and Portugal and see if we're still "Needing a major refresh" afterwards.

    Well obviously the side will be younger during the summer. The majority of our starters who are nearly all 30+ will be on the Lions tour. This isn’t some kind of “gotcha”. They’ll all be straight back in come November

    But even at that, I guarantee we’ll name the most conservative team imaginable with guys like Ringrose, Henshaw, Henderson, Herring, Stockdale, Blade all playing.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,067 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    This is the moment that will test Farrell the most. Decisive action is needed, and he's been too sentimental in the past imo. If he was to look to rejig the coaching ticket, I'm not sure what candidates ought to be brought in.



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