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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,556 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    This is a very naive way of looking at American foreign policy. Until recently the US never wanted the EU/Europe to have a strong military of any description… for numerous reasons. The US actively took steps to ensure this.

    Your post seems to imply that Europe went cap in hand to the US and begged for them to "protect" us.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,648 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain


    Busy thread the last couple of days. Worth watching this in case anyone skipped over it trying to catch up. If I was an American I'm be very very depressed.

    Then you have MAGA laughing and heckling Europe and Ukraine. It's like teasing someone that just had their teeth knocked in while you yourself have just been immunocompromised and are starting to succumb to multiple serious infections.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,957 ✭✭✭political analyst


    What I find puzzling about the 2022 invasion is that the Russians just took over Kharkiv and Kherson straight away but besieged and bombarded Mariupol? Why did the Russians single-out Mariupol for especially harsh treatment? I'm aware of the Ukrainians at the Azovstal steelworks but it's not like the Ukrainians in Kharkiv and Kherson were pushovers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,786 ✭✭✭yagan


    I think you're giving Trump and his followers way too much credit. I lived in the US once many moons ago and the version of what they get told about the world via their media is shockingly masticated beyond being of any use.

    There is still a belief there that they are the best country in the world, many would say Gods chosen, the national myth of a promised land to which the world looks.

    Europeans might be shocked by Trump's brashness, but if you're an Afghani, or a Palestinian you'll have been in no doubt about US brutishness.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,006 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    A couple of key factors.

    Kherson was flat and open, few natural defenses, the Russian forces quickly moved on it from Crimea. Ukraine was focused on defending the capital and other areas so they simply didn't have enough defenses for Kherson.

    In contrast Mariupol had better natural defenses, and a massive fortress in the form of the steel plant. Forces there were more dug in. Which is why it held out for longer.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 662 ✭✭✭Private Joker


    I spent the weekend wallowing in a pit of anxiousness about the whole situation. I am having a serious look at what i consume, media, software, hardware and i'm going to make a conscious effort to pivot away from all US goods. I have already cancelled all streaming services but it'll be hard to get rid of android and all google services. any suggestions are welcome.

    Here's what i am taking out of all this. As most perople, i have concluded that the US no longer sees Europe as a strategic partner and more of an economic and political rival. Project 2025 is now in full swing, with america now pivoting their interest towards China. He has told the Russians that they wont interfere in Europe if they stick to Ukraine. Although I don't think Putin could be trusted, but it won't matter because the US wants Russia as an ally against China.

    Its a scary new world order that America wants to rule.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,083 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    @political analyst Because Putin was after his "NAZI's" and the Azov Special Forces Regiment of the Ukrainian National Guard who were the main force fighting in Mariupol, fitted the bill perfectly.

    In announcing Azovstal's seizure, the Russian Defense Ministry's chief spokesperson referred to the Azov Regiment's fighters as Nazis and said their commander was taken away in an armored vehicle because of residents' alleged hatred of him "for numerous atrocities."

    https://www.voanews.com/a/explainer-who-were-mariupol-s-last-defenders-/6584122.html

    Then raise Mariupol to the ground possibly as an example and/or for "supporting" the Nazi's.

    Also this raizing business meant a greenfield site where Putin and CO built NEW apartment complexes, a new city and shipped Russian citizens there .. I think ( similar to crimea )

    https://ig.ft.com/mariupol/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,083 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Interesting … How will Putin view this one wonders .. a step too far, then threaten Nukes, but thats it

    "Britain is prepared to close the skies over Ukraine to enforce a peace deal! Prime Minister Keir Starmer announces readiness to deploy troops and aircraft for monitoring. Several European countries are also gearing up for a peacekeeping mission."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭poop emoji


    The mayor or local commander in Kherson was also a Russian asset and didn’t blow the bridge when ordered

    Also he didn’t coordinate defences despite people showing up

    BBC Ukrainecast early episodes had good deal of info why Kherson was different

    Interestingly there was a very strong defence towards Odesa where the mayor turned out to be a hero routing Russians



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,786 ✭✭✭yagan


    Seeing a good few comments stating that the Oval office ambush on Friday will do as much damage to the US's standing in Europe as Elon's Roman salute has done to Tesla.

    Trump's first term was treated as a blimp, but his reelection confirms that the US doesn't respect anyone.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,596 ✭✭✭McFly85


    It’s mentioned a lot, but I don’t really understand in practical terms what “turning their full attention to China” really means, especially as an excuse to drop Ukrainian support.

    They are providing funding, but the funding is a drop in the ocean compared to the newly risen debt ceiling. They are sending obsolete weaponary too. Supporting that should barely register on the US at all. They’re not asking for troops, or for the US to shoulder the entire burden, just to honour their security guarantees. How is that too much to allow their supposed primary goal on focusing on China to go ahead?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,555 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    He'll ignore it. Britain will be free to close the skies over Ukraine when a peace deal is done because by it's very definition, a deal requires Putin's consent.

    Before that deal is done is when the RAF would be of most use.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 662 ✭✭✭Private Joker


    Its a repostioning of their geoploitical agenda, they want a friendly russia if when they go up against the Chinese.

    Its not that they cant afford to fund it or supply obsolete material.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭amandstu


    It is all aggressive disinformation.They have a continuous liar as head and a cabal of project 2025ers bury themselves in his head and anus.

    They will continue their work until (if ever) there is pushback.

    They hate Zelenskyy because he is a good person , a good strategist and knows what is going on.

    So they attacked him in public and in numbers to discredit him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,596 ✭✭✭McFly85


    That makes sense alright from a Trump point of view anyway - it’s just usually framed as him wanting to get out of Europe as if that was some sort of blocker.

    It’s a poor strategy anyway as Putin is in no way sympathetic to the US and will completely screw Trump over continually if it suits him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,115 ✭✭✭bilbot79


    America pivots to China

    Russia pivots to Europe

    America and Russia have done a dirty deal



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    It's not. The Soviets and Russia since has tried it and many, of not most nations support such things(even with lip service) if a movement is in step with their own views. The point is large scale homegrown push for change in a nation is almost never a planned coup by outside sources, it's a reaction for or against such movements by outside sources. Ergo calling something like Maidan a CIA coup is a nonsense.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 104 ✭✭Quango Unchained


    Is Europe misunderstanding Trump’s position on Ukraine?

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/mar/03/europe-trump-ukraine

    …………..

    If Ukraine and Europe continue to push for strong US security guarantees, they have a small chance of succeeding and a larger chance of creating a permanent rupture with Trump. The president could conclude that his allies refuse to listen and, worse, keep trying to entrap him. Throwing up his hands, he could take the very actions that Ukraine and Europe most want to avoid: cutting off all US support for Ukraine and making a dirty deal with Putin. The damage could extend throughout Europe if Trump removes US military forces and assets from the region.

    Can this worst-case scenario be avoided? A route is still available. The sooner Ukraine and Europe stop fixating on a US security guarantee, the sooner they can coalesce – with the United States – around a viable plan that contains two main provisions.

    First, postwar Ukraine would maintain a large and technologically advanced military, trained and supplied by its western partners. Second, the US and Europe would commit to arm Ukraine heavily if Russia invaded again. Because they are doing so now, this commitment would be highly credible, unlike a heroic pledge to wage war on Ukraine’s behalf. Nato allies could also sign a legally binding document and stockpile specific weapons systems that could be surged to Ukraine in case of a renewed attack.

    …………..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,648 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain


    At least we can fall back on a bit of satire, which oddly isn't as off the wall as the real thing. I need to see more Mike Myers as Elon Musk. Also, I see Bill Burr had his near inactive twitter account flagged after he ranted about the "twitter guy" on his podcast.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,779 ✭✭✭oceanman




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 104 ✭✭Quango Unchained


    Is the solution proposed funny? Is that what that means? If so, what would be a more serious solution?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,836 ✭✭✭Nermal


    What would you call it? In what terms would you describe the US intervention?



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    China, they are on board with. If you read the National Security Strategy produced in Trump’s first term, there is not doubt that they envision a pivot to the Pacific. It’s part of the reason they’ve been so hot on NATO spending levels. The US removed their requirement to have an armed force capable of fighting two full scale wars at once a couple of decades ago, the Army just can’t do Russia and Korea or Taiwan at the same time (Fortunately, Taiwan is more a Navy thing, but that doesn’t help Korea or the MidEast.

    Rubio certainly considers China the main competitor, and nothing I have heard from Trump or Hegseth this term has indicated they are moving China from the “treat with caution” to “friend” columns.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,039 ✭✭✭Big Ears


    Maidan was a movement to remove Russian coercion and corruption from their political system. Yanukovych had been leading Ukraine towards closer ties with the EU, until Russia strong armed him at the last minute to pull out of the deal.

    Ukraine after two decades of excessive Russian influence post independence (and hundreds of years before independence), finally said enough is enough and rose up in protest.

    Hence Euromaidan began.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,006 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    There was no "US coup" in Ukraine (the notion that there was is Russian propaganda)

    There were mass protests due to Yanukovych's actions, he had a hand in escalating the violence, ultimately had responsibility for the deaths of protesters (they were fired on by his security services), is still wanted in multiple countries, ultimately he fled to his paymasters (and those who shot protesters also fled to Russia and were given passports). He left behind a trail of evidence validating the protests. Ukrainian parliament unanimously voted to remove him after the fact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,080 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Starmer: Coalition of willing to guarantee Ukraine peace

    Speaking at a news conference shortly after the meeting of leaders, Starmer said four points had been agreed:

    • to keep military aid flowing into Ukraine, and to keep increasing the economic pressure on Russia
    • that any lasting peace must ensure Ukraine's sovereignty and security and Ukraine must be present at any peace talks
    • in the event of a peace deal, to boost Ukraine's defensive capabilities to deter any future invasion
    • to develop a "coalition of the willing" to defend a deal in Ukraine and to guarantee peace afterwards

    That is Starmer's four step plan for Ukraine.

    There's a very clear problem in this plan. Everything is contingent on both sides coming together and signing a peace agreement.

    I don't see how such a thing is even remotely possible in the short, or even medium-term. If Zelensky will reject exchange land for peace, and Putin will reject anything other than Crimea + the four claimed oblasts, then there simply isn't the prospect for an agreement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭poop emoji


    In a war with China US would need to keep its economy going, that depends on trade to fund the military

    Guess who the top three import/export destinations for US are?

    That’s right: Europe, Canada and Mexico account for over 3/4 of US trade

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_trading_partners_of_the_United_States

    US would also want the same to at least not trade witch China at same time

    Trump could have done a pivot without pissing off and 💩 ing on what used to be US allies



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,615 ✭✭✭swampgas


    This is not about national interests. This is all about the personal interests of oligarchs and billionaires.

    Trump and Musk's interests are not those of the US.

    Putin's interests are not those of Russia.

    Xi's interests are not necessarily the interests of China, but this is harder to see.

    The EU's interests are, however, much more reflective of the interests of the people of the EU.

    Looking at US or Russian policy from a national interest perspective is mistaken, you have to look at the personal interests of the dictators and their regimes instead. (And I think Trump can be considered a dictator here.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭Gerry T


    Seems straight forward. On the 4 points

    1. Europe will stand by UKR and contine & hopefully increase funding their millitary. Plus push harder and harder with sanctions.

    Thats it, done. We don't get to 2,3 or 4 unless UKR surrenders, which will never happen or if Putin crawls back into his hole, which he's done before.

    Do you notice how Europe hasn't put a gun to UKRs head unlike Trump, talk about kicking your friend when hes down, in this case kick and rob him blind.

    UKR has the natural resourses to pay back what they borrowed, and thats not considering the bleeding out of russia and the payouts expected from them when tbey fail. Trump is an idiot, he could have raped UKR and walked away, but he had to be the big man.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,309 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    Hes not from 'nowhere' and it's completely implausible that a social media campaign would get you 20% swing votes in matter of days. Especially if he was out of nowhere. The claim (of the Russian funded social media campaign) has not been conclusively substantiated either in fact there is an investigative platform in Romania reporting that it had indeed been funded by the National Liberal Party. If this (annulling election results) happened in Russia we'd all be screaming 'dictatorship!'.

    I dont know how coups work tbh but frankly I dont think neither do you unless you have 20 years of CIA experience or something. But what I do know is that western politicians were going in and out of Maidan making speaches and rallying. Imagine there was say an extinction rebellion march in London with like I dont 50,000 people and next we have Lawrow speaking there.

    The way we casually apply different standards to everything just because we imagine 'we' dont do such things and 'they' do is staggering and I am dumbfounded how people just dont see this. Especially with plenty of evidence throughout history that 'we' do indeed do such things.



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