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General Premier League Thread 2024-25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,892 ✭✭✭Did you smash it


    id say the risk of both those leaving is far smaller than people realize. Trent is obviously going to Real.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 825 ✭✭✭IrishOwl...


    My own personal opinion I can't see both Salah and VVD leaving, but that's for another argument.

    As for FSG spending money, maybe Liverpool fans can correct me on this. But I don't think FSG have ever spent any of their own money on players, but they allowed the club to spend all revenue generated, they don't take anything out, unlike the Glaziers. The Athletic reported a few weeks back, that due to Liverpool's inactivity the last 2 windows, and the potential windfalls heading their way, they could have upwards of 250m + to spend if they wish this summer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,630 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    how much of that is the players and how much is the club. As we've seen repeatedly at United - we buy a talented player, he looks sh!t in a United shirt, we let them leave and they look good again (McTominay, Rashford, Wan-Bissaka, Elanga, Pereira, even Antony looks rejuvenated by leaving OT). Chelsea are another chaotic club, it can't be good for form or morale.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,892 ✭✭✭Did you smash it


    it perhaps is the club but Liverpool were going to spend 80-100 million on one or the other but now it seems they had title winning options at half those prices



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 825 ✭✭✭IrishOwl...


    I think there's still a player in Caiceido, and any top club would take him on if offered.

    But Lavia has been a complete injury bust, crazy spending 50 odd million on him, and even crazier for the player and his agent to force that move through to Chelsea at that time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,892 ✭✭✭Did you smash it


    is Caiciedo an 100 million sterling player? The best DM in the world if you go by the money hes on what and what the bidding war priced him at. Unlikely I’d say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,920 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    The fallacy here is that there's the same calibre of player as this season's Salah out there. There isn't. We're talking about the favourite for the ballon d'Or.

    Even if there was, Mbappé for arguments sake, there's zero chance of signing him even if you threw money at it.

    So the starting point has to acknowledge that if Salah goes his output can't be instantly replaced regardless of what you spend.

    Instead, you go down the list and get the younger undervalued player who your data models rate as closest.

    The risk with Salah is clear when you look at this season's Son Heung-Min (same age) or Kevin de Bruyne (1 year older)

    To be clear, I'm not saying I expect the same decline, but it's happen to those elite players rapidly and it will happen at some point

    I have no doubt we want to keep him, but we will absolutely have priced that risk into the package we offer him. And PSG will offer him more regardless.

    He wants to stay too, I believe that. But his valuation of himself is what's going to conflict because we've seen what happens giving a de Gea or Casemiro massive deals and what it does to the squad so have to be careful.

    I absolutely wouldn't be surprised if he leaves, and PSG is where he'd go



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 250 ✭✭Lauras Law


    Correct me if I'm wrong but did Liverpool not outbid Chelsea for Caiceido, but the player had no interest in joining Liverpool?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 342 ✭✭Dano650


    Trent is replaceable so I wouldn't worry about losing him



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,680 ✭✭✭Talisman


    Having been relegated Southampton were very keen to cash in on Lavia. There was no guarantee that Man City were going to take up the buy back clause before it expired in June 2024. The story in the Belgian media at the time was that Southampton were touting the player to would be suitors without any consultation with the player or agent.

    Todd Boehly believed that Chelsea would be shafting Liverpool by signing the player and offered a ridiculous contract. In reality Klopp wanted Gravenberch, Lavia was the backup option and Liverpool were prepared to wait until the transfer deadline to sign either player.

    If Southampton didn't want him and Liverpool didn't appear to want him, accepting Chelsea's offer would have seemed like the only real option. On paper the signing of Caicedo and Lavia gave Chelsea a midfield lineup that could dominate teams for the foreseeable future.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,892 ✭✭✭Did you smash it


    Not sure but it doesn’t really matter to my point, caiciedo would have went to Liverpool had Chelsea not come along to blow Liverpool’s personal terms offer out of the water



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,417 ✭✭✭Ottoman_1000


    Liverpool outbid Chelsea's initial offer and the deal looked on, but Chelsea countered with a higher bid (5m) and a nice 75k more a week than Liverpool's deal in wages. I'd imagine that would turn most peoples favour.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,680 ✭✭✭Talisman


    Yes. Liverpool had made an offer of £115M which Brighton accepted and forced Chelsea to match it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 345 ✭✭FreshG


    That's not necessarily the case. If any club have proven that you don't have to spend 50+ million on a good player, it's Liverpool. They didn't buy Caicedo or Lavia and instead bought Gravenberch and Endo. For about a third of the money.

    While Caicedo and Gravenberch have been the 2 of the best central midfielders in the league this season, it just proves that higher transfer fee does not mean higher caliber player. Whats the better deal - Gravenberch for 40m or Caicedo for 115m? I love having Caicedo at Chelsea but when it comes to value, there is one clear winner there so far. Liverpool's transfer business is a lot smarter than neutrals are willing to admit. It's why some clubs try and copy them. Some with success, some fall flat on their face.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,593 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    I have no doubt Caicedo would be playing much better if he was at Liverpool. He'd be playing with better players and under a better manager. I still think Caicedo is a seriously good player. Lavia was a blessing because of the injury problems.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,920 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    I think Liverpool's was £111m, for some reason that figure is in my head.

    I think it was a blind auction thing and they figured Chelsea might go to £110m

    We already had Mac Allister so idea was to recreate the partnership he had with Caicedo and ended up having to try Endo instead.

    Caicedo is still a quality player I think and he'd have done well.

    Lavia is the dodged bullet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,920 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    He'd also given his word, Chelsea were after him a long time. We had just came in last minute

    Completely fair enough tbh. If he was the type of kid to turn his head for another offer last minute after giving his word he likely wouldn't be the sort of character Liverpool would want under Klopp's unwritten "no-assholes" policy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 342 ✭✭Dano650


    Well if you want to get someone close to Salah who will get u 20+ goals a season you are going to have to spend 50+ million. Isak's name has been mentioned and he won't go for any less then 100m



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 56,535 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    No he isn't. But Chelsea broke the transfer market for fees for midfielders (almost 100 for Enzo and then 115 for Caicedo) so that's what you have to pay nowadays.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,451 ✭✭✭✭TitianGerm


    Newcastle won't let Isak go for less than £130m.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 342 ✭✭Dano650


    And they would be right not to let him go for that. He is having a brilliant season for them



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,673 ✭✭✭✭~Rebel~


    Caicedo's been brilliant this season, miles better than last year. Top of the league in the tackles and interceptions stat. Given his age at the time, that price wasn't too far wrong tbh I think. I'd have him at Liverpool in a heartbeat with the rediscovery of form he's found for most of this season.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 201 ✭✭Toranaga


    And if Fergie had his team from 1995-2005 in the 1970s or 80s he'd have won the European cup 10 years running.

    That's as relevant of a point to what you've said there.

    You've to beat what's there, not what used to be there. Slot has come in and is beating what's there. It has been a grind at times for them but they are getting results. That's the game and fair play to them. Wasn't what was expected but the consistency in the makeup of the squad has been their biggest strength.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,920 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    This is correct by the way, FSG have never directly funded transfers, it's always been funded by the club's revenues

    The only time they put on debt was for the Man Stand expansion in 2016, FSG gave Liverpool a £110m loan for that infrastructure work and the club subsequently paid it off over 6/7 years

    They do, of course, have oversight of the transfer budget, but it's not their own money and never has been



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,920 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Gravenberch cost £34m after Chelsea signed those midfielders.

    There's definitely value out there. City just signed Nico Gonzalez for less than half of what Chelsea paid for Caicedo. Douglas Luiz and Koopmeiners went to Italy for the same amount, Palhinha to Bayern, Ugarte to United....

    There's only been Bellingham and Rice who've cost £100m outside of the 2 Chelsea players. You can say they "broke the market" but those are the only players anywhere close to the Caicedo fee

    I'd say £50-60m is more the going rate and £100m+ is still the outlier



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 250 ✭✭Lauras Law


    I can never understand people trying to compare the impact of Ferguson leaving Manchester United with Klopp leaving Liverpool. Ferguson managed United for 26 years and won 13 league titles. Klopp was at Liverpool for almost eight years and won one league title.

    From the year Ferguson won his first title, United finished 1st 12 times in the next 20 seasons, 2nd five times, and 3rd three times. In contrast, after Klopp’s title win, Liverpool finished 2nd once, 3rd twice, and 5th once in the following four seasons. In Fergusons final four seasons he finished 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st. Ferguson left United as Champions, Klopp left Liverpool after finishing 3rd.

    In some ways, Liverpool might have needed fresh energy from a new manager. United under Ferguson, however, had absolutely no such need.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 342 ✭✭Dano650


    Don't be comparing the Klopp era to the Ferguson era. When Fergie was manager is was a lot tougher back then. Bigger and tougher centre backs and forwards to deal with. Hard as nail midfielders. It wasn't easy to win a game. Imagine the players these days trying to deal with Keane,Viera,Wise,Drogba,Shearer,Ferguson,Wright,Ruddock,Pearce,Batty,Keown,Adams or Hughes etc. They wouldn't have had it easy. That's why I think its easier to get 90+ points now than it was 15/20 years ago. Lads would walk off the pitch battered and bruised



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,597 ✭✭✭McFly85


    The Fergie/Klopp transitions just highlight how important it is to separate responsibilities within football clubs.

    Ferguson and his team did it all, coached and managed the team, dictated the style of play, decided on recruitment, and built several title winning sides. Hugely impressive and why he’ll go down as the best PL manager - but because he did everything trying to ask someone else to come in and do that and be successful is basically an impossible ask. And the club never moved on from that process in a meaningful way, which makes it very hard to see how they manage to become consistently successful.

    Moving on from Klopp was more seamless - he had gathered more influence over the years he’d been there but Edward’s coming back in was a clear sign the club wanted to go back to overseeing certain aspects. So Klopps main role was coaching the senior team. With the club overseeing recruitment they were in a far better place to review who’s be the best fit for the team they currently have and how they want to play.

    I do wonder if United would have been better off long term had Ferguson retired when he was going to in 2002. Obviously United fans wouldn’t trade those extra years for anything but it might have been an easier transition as the football landscape hadn’t really changed, and maybe the glazers wouldn’t have gotten the club either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 345 ✭✭FreshG


    I think that they are talking about more of the state of the team left behind after they left. Not comparing what they had done.

    SAF left behind a Man Utd squad that featured Rio (35) & Vidic (32) as the main CBs. Evra (33) was still the clubs main LB and Valencia (28) was the main RB. Carrick (32) Fletcher (30) Giggs (40) Scholes (38) were still prominent in midfield and up top RVP was the last big signing who just turned 30. Rooney was an old 28 with lots of miles on the clock. Nearly all of those players still had years on their contracts. 8 of those 10 players started for Man Utd in Moyes first game, such was their stature in the team and how much future building had been done.

    When Klopp left Liverpool, they had already phased out a lot of the older players such as Henderson, Milner, Fabinho, Firmino, Sadio Mane, Oxlade Chamblerlain etc and already brought in some youthful replacements Gravenberch (21) MacAllister (24) Szobozlai (22) with the complete midfield rebuild and all contributed in the title race in Klopp's last season. Gakpo and Nunez (23) were also phased in The only players over the age of 30 that were prominent players were Alisson (32) VVD (33) and Salah (32) and Robertson (30). I would expect to see a couple of them phased out this year.

    One of those squads was ready to maintain a top 4 place in the league and the other was not. SAF really did have 'The Final Dance' with his core group of players, they all won the league together and it cemented SAF's legacy. The players didn't have much to give after that final season. And to be fair, he didn't have to care about rebuilds etc as his legacy was that 20th title with that group of older players. Klopp on the other hand wanted to help rebuild up the team before leaving and that work is being seen this season.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,417 ✭✭✭Ottoman_1000


    The comparison gets made because of the cultural influence he had on the club. Like Ferguson before him, Klopp completely restored the identity and direction of the club. Brough back pride, and most importantly trophies to the Liverpool fan base. He was such a huge presence and influence within the club. Like it wouldn’t take a genius, to come to the conclusion, that someone like that moving on could have catastrophic consequence if not adequately replaced!



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