Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

I just wish they'd dehumanise themselves with a bullet to their own skulls and save a lot of anguish for the poor Ukrainians. They are going to die for nothing anyway, but why inflict further suffering on their Ukrainian cousins?

Russian Orthodox church commandment…

Thou shalt always lie. For the kingdom of heaven is a stupid place and God is a stupid being and Russia is all. So when the maker is met lie and feign humbleness and godliness.

Sweet. 😁

I can see how you might think that way, but I'm more interested in what is true. I do review quite a bit of information regarding the conflict, and give greater weight to information that is shown to be true. After three years of the conflict during which pro-NATO narratives (Russia will run out X in Y weeks, Russia's economy will collapse in X weeks, NATO wunderwaffen will rout the Russian rabble, the great 2023 counteroffensive will win the war, 10 thousand North Koreans in Kursk, etc, etc, etc) were shown to be incorrect, then from a pro-NATO perspective that believed these things any truthful, realistic analysis will seem objectionable. But it's still true, regardless.

At the end of the day my views are based on the evidence that even pro-NATO sources are now - through gritted teeth - reporting about how badly the Ukrainians are suffering. If the evidence changes, my views will change. I'm not sure that is true for everyone.

Meanwhile on the other side………

Maybe they're reluctant because they'd like a donkey like the Russians get as standard issue.

The Russians forcing “walking” wounded back to the front to become a meat-wave, while the AFU take care of thier troops, keep them motivatied and even turn some injured troops into literal cyborgs (I kind of love that).

This is part of why many of us support Ukraine. They appear to have considerably more humanity in thier desire to fight. They fight to protect their homes, loved ones and do what they can to look after those who do fight for them. And then we have the Russian way of doing things.

One of these approaches gives us hope for humanity…the other does not….

When you think about it.

Kursk holds strong 6 months later😂

Russia is a mess. Sooner the better it’s put out of its misery.

We have reached this point a lot faster then I expected I don't know about the rest of you. I was setting 2026 as the date when this would become common place. This is based off the analysis of when Russian armour stockpiles would dry up.

If the war was paused for 2 years Russia would be able to patch up and get working a decent amount of the dwindling stockpile but the reality is the degrading equipment takes time so we're only seeing a drip feed nowhere near enough.

Russia either scale back the number of attacks or continue using civilian vehicles and take heavier losses. My money is on option B.

I’m starting to think, hear me out, that Putin underestimated the Ukrainian resolve and capability when he decided to invade Ukraine.

Russians making ground in Chasiv Yar, albeit incredibly slowly. The area they recently made advances in was completely destroyed by their own shelling, which isn't new. They had started to move through water pipes and accumulate a force of 100+ near the frontline when their movements were spotted by drone operators, who had started tracking their movements. A bunker buster was called in and killed most of them. They then decided to burn the basement full of bodies which made the city stink if burnt flesh

Trying to think of what Trump peace plan might look like, Kellogg seems determined to end the war and Trump wants to be called a peacemaker

There would have to be sticks and carrots for both sides (sadly as one side is clearly in wrong to have started the war) and as the saying goes the sign of a good deal is when neither side is happy

Ukraine Sticks:

• termination of us military aid
• Loss of intelligence provided by satellites and us drones (aside flights over Black Sea resumed)
• No NATO membership

Ukraine carrots

• EU membership
• Seized Russian assets used for reconstruction
• Zaporizhe NPP to restore destroyed grid capacity

Russia sticks

• increased military support to Ukraine
• Ratcheting up of sanctions especially around oil (which Trump might do regardless as directly helps America first drill baby drill agenda)

Russia carrots

• Keep areas they captured
• Some sanctions removed (tho not all)
• No nato membership for Ukraine

Trump wild cards:

• he demands Crimea as 51st state and for his resorts where Russians can continue to holiday and hence be a form of reparations
• Few more oil related infrastructure and refineries especially in far east supplying China mysteriously explode
• A mix of European and ex USSR states troops move into buffer zone to separate both sides
• Companies connected to Trump get access to minerals in Donbass in perpetuity

Trump is highly transactional and if he can make a few bob out of this for his crime family and wider oligarch network he will

If only my soldiers would stop dying then I'd get what I want!

More Ukrainian advances, this time in the south.