1st January 2025 - 8th January Snow Potential, Freezing Conditions - Discussion

From a Dublin perspective, is there likely to be guaranteed lying snow everywhere above say 200 metres (ie the Dublin mountains) or is that overly optimistic?

It is the pub run after all 😎

Out to 72 hours, great for the south and a downgrade elsewhere up to 72 hours anway. From that

To this

It’ll miss cork altogether at this rate..

So GFS went from the worst option at 12z, to being even further south in terms of cold air than the ECM.

As live data and readings keep coming in from this low, subtle changes to come one would imagine.

You really wouldn't want it to go much further south than the GFS there. It's almost perfect, boundary of cold/warmer skirting the south coast is ideal. However, those in Ulster will suffer with these adjustments.

Arpege says you might be bad at rugby Munster but here's a helping hand!!

That doesn't look like a happy face at all

It will be in France by tomorrow night.

To be fair you're more than welcome to share your happiness if it shifts north.

Makes no difference to me either way as here on the east coast it's going to be pissing rain wherever the front decides to go.

Looking at my location Cavan/Meath boarder looking promising enough at the minute for snow but as always I'd be equally happy with cold, dry and bright. The dogs miss the forrest walking on roads ain't the same for them.

The far south will still see a sleety/snow to rain, back to snow (if the front is still active as cold air digs back in). The Euro views can obscure where the boundary of cold/less cold is, better to zoom in. See below, that's rain for Cork and co. Also, scroll through some of the charts being posted, the Arpege for e.g. just now by JS. There's a quite clear coastal rain strip below the hatched snow markings for Cork.

Looks like with that big shift south us in Donegal are definitely going to miss out now but at least it's going colder!!

The way this is trending south those of us further north could end up missing out altogether. A robust low is more likely to end up further north but with it comes the the risk of a slush fest. It could be a good call from those posters saying it would trend further south in the end . There will be a better dig in of the cold airmass that way which could be beneficial in the event of another potential frontal snow event. Although if I miss out on this one I won't have much energy for another chase