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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Of course they do. Why do you think housing costs are a factor in attracting companies to a location? All these things affect salaries indirectly if not directly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    If soneone is working for Google as an engineer for example, they wont qualify for social housing.

    Private rents and costs are a factor, but that is it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Google engineers don't go around the offices at night emptying the bins and hoovering the place.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Agreed. And so Google staff costs arent affected by the cost of social housing in the locality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    If the average is only €500k by 2027, that would be a really great outcome and likely a significant price reduction in real terms given how quickly wages are currently increasing.

    Sadly I suspect the average be significantly more in 2 years.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Of course they are.

    Did you not know for example, that if you are one of your Google engineers in Dublin and they move you and your role to New York, that you will be paid a lot more? Have you ever lived outside of Ireland? Lots of places are much cheaper to live, and lots are much more expensive. The salaries paid will reflect that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Agreed. The CSO already has Dublin prices at average 600k, based on sales data.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    And would the engineer qualify for social housing in the US, when they moved to Manhattan on their higher salary?

    We arent talking about the private market here, we are talking about the cost of social housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    I don't get why you are on about google engineers and social housing. Social housing, and the money pumped into it, may (usually will) affect the overall housing market. Is that the link you're missing?

    It would affect it less in a society which was more segregated. But that isn't what we have here. We don't have any more Ballymun Towers etc. What we have is a State which intervenes (with its bottomless pockets) on behalf of social tenants, in competition with those same engineers for the same scare housing.

    Am I misremembering that you yourself might have been posting about selling a house to the council at one point and ended up getting 30% over asking? It's only a vague recollection. But if I am remembering correctly, then surely you know the effect that public money has on housing prices from first-hand experience. The hypothetical well-paid Google engineer would have been still outbid by the LA in that case!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I agree.

    I think the confusion here is that I was responding to a poster who said private employers should pay their staff more, so that the state doesnt need to subsidise social housing in the area that the employer is located.

    My example of Google is that firstly, Google staff (broadly) dont qualify for social housing, so the cost of it is irrelevant to their staff.

    Secondly, if Google were to pay their staff a higher salary as the poster suggested, the cost of social housing in Ringsend/Irishtown and Grand Canal Dock would actually increase, not decrease, as DCC would now be competing with higher paid private employees for limited housing stock, primarily delivered by private landlords.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Ok. I thought you were saying that the social housing costs wouldn't have any knock on effects to the Google employees and hence Google.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Google is a massive red herring here - social housing is for lower incomes, and the employers who get subsidies indirectly are those employing people on lower wages. Think shops, cafes, bars, restaurants and factories.

    Social housing and HAP mean these low paid employees can afford to live and work in these areas, and the employers no longer need to be competitive on pay. Its a subsidy for bad employers



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    If the employers in the cafes and shops all increase salaries to the point that all employees can now pay 2k a month rent at minimum, the cost of social housing is going to go up, not down.

    Assuming the council is renting social housing from the private market, which it is.



  • Posts: 29 [Deleted User]


    There is no doubt that HAP has caused a rise in rents but those who are calling for its abolishment are dreaming. The state do not want to provide social housing or low cost rentals directly as the costs in doing so are huge. Under HAP schemes the state have no building/purchase costs, interest payments, maintenance costs, insurance costs, management fees and can get up to 52% of the HAP & rent payments back in taxes. They also don't have to deal with problem tenants as they become the landlords responsibility.

    The biggest mistake the state made was giving those without means to expect the same or a better standard of accommodation as those who have worked for it. The state should only provide hostel level accommodation for those who cannot afford to put a roof over their head.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    You do understand we live in a relatively small city in terms of size. You would swear we are expecting people to travel for hours and hours every day to get to work. A two hour commute each way is not the end of the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    If the employees are fairly compensated they do not need social housing in the first place, and the state no longer need to provide social housing for them. Which is expected in the most affluent areas of the city really

    A two hour commute each way is not the end of the world

    A 4hr commute daily is nightmarish. Presuming that you instead meant a 2hr commute total (1hr each way), that's still on the high side.

    But the original point being argued was that if we got rid of HAP in desirable areas, that instead of rents dropping due to no more state subsidies, rent would remain as so many people want to rent in these places (e.g. Blackrock as poster mentioned), and then those working low income jobs in that area would lose out. In reality, the employer loses out as they can no longer offer poor wages - either wages increase to make up the increased housing costs or they go out of business. That's just like, the free market man



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    I don't think there is a need to get builders from other countries.

    In any community groups I am in, any single small job people request done, they get swamped by responses from tradesmen. I am talking even really small jobs. Tradesmen are competing for any jobs now. No shortage. Plasterers, painters, plumbers etc don't seem to be very busy. Similarly I see carpenters looking for work.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Is there other European countries where employees get subsidy for housing? I don't think so. Only single mothers in Scandinavian countries.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well you must be living somewhere completely different to me any time I need any tradesmen there always seems to be a delay as they are out the door busy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    I live in a desirable area with properties selling for circa €450k to €500k and I travel 1 hr each way on public transport for work.

    My point still stands that we live in a relatively small city and a bit of travel to work is not the end of the world.

    Would I like to live close to where I work? Yes of course I would but I can't afford too that's life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    1hr each way though common, it is not "a bit of travel to work".

    2hrs of your day 5 days a week is a significant amount of time. You would want to be getting paid more to justify the commute



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    10 hours a week of commuting is approaching 10% of a weekly waking life (only about 110hrs a week).

    Going to complete waste - you're not doing something you enjoy, you're not doing something healthy, and you're not getting paid for it. Its just costing you time, effort and money.

    That would be quite bad somewhere like NYC or London, but even more-so in a "relatively small city". Thats not a commute anyone should be doing in a small city with any sort of functioning housing market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    We mean govt subsidies, not subsidies from the employer themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Very good point. I used to spend 90 mins a day in the car to and from work. I used the time to listen to podcasts and things that would be useful, but there's only so much that can be done.

    These days, I work from home most of the time. However, that presents its own issues as I spend all day alone in the house, which is not good for the head. There are a lot of people who are in very unhealthy working situations due to the housing/population problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    An 18 month old IDA client assesment of Ireland. An interesting template for a government with Ireland's best interests as a priority where they might get ideas for competiveness improvement.

    Time for government to at least stop being a major part of the problem in planning, hosing availability and affordability

    20250103_004407.jpg

    https://x.com/GTCost/status/1874912505572839482?t=DuAsqNrBlfDYcmQUBHMM-Q&s=19



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    "The only real way out is to build…"

    With respect, I think that this line is simply years out of date. There are building sites up and down the country, and just trying to get a builder to do a job is very difficult. In spite of this, only around 30-40k houses are built each year. It would seem to me that this is simply the limit that can be delivered.

    I don't like to keep saying the same thing, but to me, the only viable way to improve the housing situation is to address immigration, and that probably isn't enough anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Incentives could also be used to re-route some construction capacity from office and other commercial projects to housing, if the government were so inclined. And the same for re-routing capacity from home improvement construction work to house building.

    And the planning (and particularly objections) process could and should be streamlined ASAP.

    That combined could probably increase housing numbers by 25-35% or so anyway, and get us up to about 50k per year very quickly.

    But beyond that yeah, reducing demand by reducing our out of control rapid population growth is the only (comparatively) easy solution that could be done that would have a near instant, and significant, impact on the housing crisis. While also not costing a cent (actually saving billions of tax payer euros..), as a bonus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,557 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Quite right to point to immigration as something that needs addressing but the poster, I think, is correct in suggesting more efficient building methods and tax incentives to assemble modular homes in Ireland. A balanced approach is what is needed, imo.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    How would you address immigration though? What policies would we bring in to give us a balanced immigration level?



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