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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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Comments

  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I had a similar question, but it’s possible there was a SIGINT intercept which provided the confirmation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,171 ✭✭✭jmreire


    yeah, and if they thought that the Chechens and Afghans were bad, they have a whole new experience awaiting them..so bad in fact, that they will cry for the Afghan or Chechen times back again!



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,298 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    In some ways it could be argued Afghanistan had it "easier" because they didn't have an official army or an arms industry. They were/are near letter perfect insurgents. Massive nation with extremely rugged and mountainous terrain, loose borders, taxes and identities are or can be vague, very decentralised, electricity and other modern conveniences rare and not required to live never mind survive, dozens of local warlords, who are mostly independent but with an overriding cultural and religious bond against invaders. Take out their infrastructure? What infrastructure? Root out one area and others are still there, so you move to them and the original one comes back. The guys you got on with yesterday could be saving up IEDs for you today. Like playing whack-a-mole. Never mind that Afghanistan didn't have much in the way of invader loyalists and the invading country sharing a massive border.

    Ukraine is a modern western industrialised with a modern western infrastructure and a need for that to survive. It's not easy to subdue, but it's a lot easier to subdue than somewhere like Afghanistan.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,255 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    All which sounds reasonable, and yet…..The Ukrainian resistance after the Second World War was largely confined to the west of the country and surely had only a fraction of the support that Ukrainian resistance could count on now. It laboured under other serious disadvantages. The western allies had no desire to support it for a long time (and when they did their efforts were undermined by Soviet agents in British intelligence). The Soviet security organs were even more ruthless than Putain's FSB and army are now and probably more efficient, with no compunction about deporting the entire population of uncooperative villages or even districts to Siberia, and I doubt they had any scruples about taking hostages or engaging in reprisals against innocent parties. They were much more numerous with enough personnel to blanket the entire country and a large number of collaborators. And yet, it was not until 1955 that all resistance had been suppressed.

    Post edited by ilkhanid on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,651 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Kurakhove stronghold has fallen following the capture of the industrial and power plant outside the residential area.

    kurak1.jpg

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 880 ✭✭✭junkyarddog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,637 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    A disinterested Trump is better than an Trump interested in stopping the war.

    I said it before, the next 4 years will be little different from his last presidency. There will be enough of a circus in Washington to keep Trump distracted and whatever promises Biden made will be kept.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,161 ✭✭✭relax carry on


    We can only hope he will continue his form of promoting infighting in his painfully unqualified inner circle; Kim Jong-il's level of golfing level prowess, issuing contradictory statements every 5 minutes and whining ceaselessly on social media. That way US support will hopefully continue owing to his own faults and failings. Putin will hopefully have wasted a lot of effort helping elect a largely useless turd instead of a functional puppet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 723 ✭✭✭engineerws


    Anyone check out nuclear war a scenario? It's currently on Spotify.

    https://open.spotify.com/show/0V5ukw6aNNscj0KfZnrZ8o?si=lNH1a_oQSMyMlYXOJgCEYgI'm at the part where they describe the USA 1963 secret meeting on nuclear war against USSR as a planned genocide by the USA.

    The two biggest nuclear powers duking it out in Ukraine. It seems like absolute madness.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,237 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 723 ✭✭✭engineerws




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,637 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    There's nothing to suggest this time will be any different than the last.

    Sure look at the nonsense around immigration visas in the last few days. We have 4 years of this sh"t to look forward to.

    No doubt Harris would be a staunch ally, but a disinterested Trump honestly isn't that bad. Better he leaves Ukraine to his advisors than tries to directly intervene.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 895 ✭✭✭Avatar in the Post


    Yo do realise NATO never mind the US are not fighting in Ukraine.

    I know it’s the holiday season, but do try to put more effort into it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,171 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Its not like Ulraine to "waste" munition…..if they target something,they've done their homework



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Why? The US is not even in the fight

    In meantime 150 dead orcs recorded in one day on drone footage alone, with each one carefully recorded and referenced

    I’m starting to think the daily figures reported by Ukraine are accurate (both US and UK intelligence repeatedly confirm that Ukrainian daily figures are not too far from theirs), every day 150-200 recorded on drone footage alone making their way to Russian hell

    the Russians are just insane to feed their men and equipment into woodchiper and here is the best bit… … NATO is not even in the fight

    now that should be concerning for zhopniks!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,044 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    I think I recall in late November I linked to an article where the Ukrainian soldiers in Kurakhovo were saying they were waiting for orders to retreat, that holding the town was hopeless and too costly given the Russians were outflanking them. It was topical then, because I recall there was some view advanced that - based on straight up lie by Zelensky - Ukraine always prioritised the lives of their soldiers and always withdrew soldiers in a timely and effective fashion where further fighting was pointless. Which is clearly nonsense. Even the US military thinks Ukraine hugely overinvested in hopeless resistance in too many places.

    At the time I remarked the Ukrainian soldiers in Kurakhovo would be waiting an extremely long time to get any orders to withdraw from a hopeless position. And so it proved. The Russians advanced around them to the north and south, and routed them a month after soldiers on the ground knew it was hopeless. A timely, organised withdrawal might have saved lives. As it is, right now, there is likely disorganised groups of conscripted men in their forties and fifties with just 3-4 weeks of training and no direction from commanders trying to flee while being hunted on three sides by Russian drones and artillery.

    The only positive I can take is that apparently the town of Kurakhovo itself wasn't badly damaged so the rebuild for civilians will be reduced.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Does it concern you that Ukrainians can’t negotiate with anyone in Russia as they don’t have a democratically elected government and a couple of hours ago we passed exactly 25 years of Dear Leader Putin dictatorship?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,898 ✭✭✭✭Mr. CooL ICE


    I think I recall in late November

    A stopped clock is right twice a day



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 237 ✭✭strathspey


    Are you ruZZian or of ruZZian origin? You certainly have a bias towards them. Can't for the life of me understand why anybody not of ruZZian origin would big these c*nts up, like you constantly endeavour to do.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,838 ✭✭✭macraignil


    I understand what you are saying about there being advantages to Afghanistan in defending itself from invasion but Ukraine also has advantages that mean invading has not been such a pleasant experience for putin's terrorists. Ukraine has factories producing weapons that have been shown through years of killing putin's terrorists to be effective and it has an army which not only kills moskovytes but tries to protect its own soldiers so they continue to have the experience needed to survive and be effective at eliminating moskovyte invaders of their country. I do not know where you get your conviction that Ukraine is easier to subdue than Afghanistan but there are lots of dead moskovytes that might disagree with your opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,135 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The 'we're all going to die thing' is apparently yet another Russian load of BS to strengthen their hand to act freely by scaring everyone who want's to stop them.

    the analysts argued that the Soviets found it politically beneficial to trumpet concern about nuclear winter

    No surprise the Russians were involved in the European anti-nuclear peace movement up to their eyebrows.

    https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP85M00364R001001530019-5.pdf

    The long nuclear winter won't happen. Scientists were very worried at the consequences of Saddam Hussein lighting hundreds of of oil well fires in Kuwait as that was expected to be catastrophic along the lines of acting like multiple nukes going off.

    The burning oil wells in Kuwait, no doubt, created the world's largest oil field fire in history. The environmental implications of the oil fires generated tremendous media and scientific interest. - Pre-war predictions of the environmental impact of Kuwait oil fires were extremely gloomy. It was suspected that a large quantity of soot particles would be produced by the fires that will remain suspended in the stratosphere for several weeks and eventually moved up to the troposphere, thus enhancing the greenhouse effect. Atmospheric warming and modification of the earth's radiation balance could change the global climate, weakening the Indian monsoon, and adversely affecting other climatological sensitive regions of the world. 

    The Iraqi's lit 780 or so oil fires and the result was next to nothing compared to earlier concerns of some. Turns out neither the oil fires or nukes will loft stuff high enough to have disastrous impact envisaged by some. Carl Sagan's famous nuclear winter prediction required the material lofted to stay up for years and almost never come down, based on no science. There is no mechanism for that to happen.

    So an all out nuclear war would be utterly terrible, but it won't cause a nuclear winter that will snuff out life on Earth and humankind.

    The Chernobyl exclusion zone, ironically in Ukraine, is proof that the downsides of radiological contamination have been grossly exaggerated. No scientists ever predicted the place would turn into the most biologically thriving habitat in Europe. It turns out an irradiated biosphere has far less effect than a few greedy and meddlesome humans.

    Just a guess, but I think the next glacial period will be an order of magnitude worse for humanity than setting all the nukes off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,130 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Happy New year lads. It's been a depressing year of all out Russian attacks which have been going for 14 months now. There's probably a few more months to go but eventually the Russians will either pause or capitulate. This will be the year they burn through most of their remaining soviet stockpiles. I just hope Ukraine have another large attack force in reserve ready to do more damage.

    2022 we had Kherson/Kharkiv. 2023 wasn't so great and 2024 we had Kursk. Here's to a good 2025.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,962 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    The 2 biggest nuclear powers duking it out ?

    You mean probably the world's biggest nuclear powers , trying to swing it's weight around with Ukraine ,a 4 th or 5 th tier military.. non nuclear..

    and failing miserably..

    It's a complete shame that NATO didn't institute an air war - while warning Russia that any miiitary fire coming from Russia towards Ukraine would be a target ..

    A hard line and an unlimited NATO air war , and the war would have been over 2 years ago .. 100s of thousands of Ukrainian military and civilian casualties, would have been spared …

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,761 ✭✭✭✭josip


    In Ukraine, the Russians can shell a village or town to oblivion. The Ukrainians will all retreat and the line will slowly advance. Much slower than locusts but otherwise not dissimilar. It"s flat, featureless largely with nowhere to hide.

    In Afghanistan, the artillery was much less effective initially. Also the terrain is just so well suited for guerrilla fighting, they just melt and disappear, further up the valley, across to the next valley, back to the original valley... Here's a professional's analysis:

    https://ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu/cbr/cbr00/video/cbr_ctd/cbr_ctd_51.html#:~:text=Soviet%20artillery%20missions%20in%20Afghanistan,Counterbattery%20was%20often%20ineffective.

    Post edited by josip on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,741 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    YouTube is banned in Russia now. Putin gave a cock and bull story about YouTube not maintaining its ‘ equipment’ in Russia . Showing how utterly clueless he is about all things tech. How Russians eat and swallow this **** is shocking. I suppose it’s easy to spout absolute bullshit and look in command when you have a private security detail of 450,000 troops at your disposal. And fellas here think Putin is bona fide.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,150 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    "Hey other person who celebrates is concerned about Ukrainian setbacks"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    You obviously didn’t

    This book, which I read, is about North Korea firing an ICBM (1mt) at Washington DC and second submarine launched nuke at nuclear plant in Californian coast

    There is nothing about Ukraine and it only goes tangentially about 1960s Cold War us and ussr plans (what little is declassified)

    And yes you should be concerned about shithole regimes getting their hands on nuclear weapons

    If you actually bothered to read the book or listen audio book version (you should) you wouldn’t be spending so much time defending absolutely basketcase of regimes who daily threaten you and your loved ones with nuclear annihilation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,130 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Russian gas officially not going into Europe through Ukraine anymore. Is the Belarus pipeline still operating? The turkstream is but that's probably already at capacity. This will speed up the economic collapse.

    Ironically the tap on the Russian side of the pipeline is located near Sudzha so Ukraine can turn it off inside Russia as well.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,092 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    What does this vatnik nonsense have to do with Ukraine?

    But let's bring it back to Ukraine.

    Ukraine gave up nuclear weapons in the Budapest agreement.
    An agreement Ukraine honoured.
    An agreement Russia repeatedly violated.

    Something you have never held Russia to account for.
    Proof positive you have no real regard for steps to reduce nuclear weapons.
    An act by Russia that clearly signals to other countries that without them they are vulnerable to Russian aggression.

    Demonstrates the absolute hypocrisy of the 'concerns' expressed here about nuclear weapons.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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