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Beef price tracker 2

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Comments

  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 1,937 Mod ✭✭✭✭Albert Johnson


    I think Bass has a point tbh, if you're keeping stock the 12 months of the year it doesn't make much difference if there around for a few months extra. Yes a stronger animal should spend less time on farm but they cost more initially where as a smaller longer keep type will cost less on day 1 but accrue more cost on a longer period on farm. It costs money to keep turning over cattle (mart commission, haulage ect).

    I think lads get over concerned about it being a "long wait for you're money back". It's less money up front for a start to buy them initially and those small cattle aren't that expensive to keep until they start getting bigger. Once you get the system up and running then you'll have a yearly return the same as with any other stock. I've started to realise that time and tide waits for no man and regardless of what you do or don't do the time marches on just the same. In 2 years time (provided you live and the stock live but if you don't then all bets are off) you'll be 2 years older irrespective of whether you bought runners or forward stores. If you bought the small cattle today and done the job half right they'd be getting bigger and you never find the year going round.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,128 ✭✭✭kk.man


    I'm an advocate of stacking them high and selling them cheap..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 141 ✭✭Farm365


    Would most of those type of cattle finish at 24mths approx?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The Light HEx heifers or the Fr bulls no. The rest would. However I can winter cattle cheaply and can keep the winter to an average of 120 days. I can get to grass early and those cattle that I buy in early can be gone in June mainly and July.

    Length of time is immaterial it's profit that counts. If you can make as high or higher profit/ day on the farm a long time to wait for you money is immaterial if you are selling every year. It's to get over the first hump.

    Yes @kk.man system is probably more profitable but requires more time spend buying cattle. However it takes very little to carry animals from 8-14 months at the stage I buya lot anyway. However there is great security in having 30% ish of you stock bought under 12 months of age. Those poor light cattle do some thrive

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu


    he is struggling to buy stock cheap and has to buy very light now

    the rest is fluff

    its not a once off extension of time on farm its every animal that is bought light so his output will be cut by a significant amount over time even if he maintains a consistent margin



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,560 ✭✭✭DBK1


    Gave a neighbour a loan of a tractor about an hour ago, his own is out of action. Procurement manager rang him this eve looking for cattle for the morning so he’s bringing on a load. €5.75 flat price for friesian bullocks. Looks like the hunger for stock isn’t dwindling.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,708 ✭✭✭Anto_Meath


    It's some sign of the pressure they are under if they couldn't secure the required numbers for about 3 days kill this week. Like cattle killed this week are for processing the end of January when demand would be well back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭Grueller


    Not convinced here that output benefits anyone bar the processor. It's margin that matters.



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu


    margin is critical

    losing 20% of output to just maintain margin is a disaster



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭Grueller


    Not if the margin is 25% higher on the remaining 80% of output



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,128 ✭✭✭kk.man


    Laat twelve months your youngest child could buy cattle and make money. It don't always happen like that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu


    buying cattle that cheap when prices are so strong means they have to be really poor with restricted potential

    no mention of age which tells its own story



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭Grueller


    Absolutely agree with that. However the owner of the local mart here, Carnew, has a property auctioneer as well. He has a man that he calls to take the rough cattle left at the end of the sale. He says he also calls the same man whenever there is land for sale. That man has a similar outlook and system to bass. I'm not sure who is right or wrong but different systems have their merits. I

    still stand by my point, output benefits processors. Look at the position they're in now when cattle are scarce.



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,319 ✭✭✭Sheep breeder


    In all fairness we go to Carnew at certain times of the year to buy cattle and all goes through the ring are either sold or home, no messing around, he has customers for all types of Cattle on the day and no horse trading at the end of the day. As for the land sales it’s not one man buying all the land, pub talk. David only talks business with one person and that’s the wife,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,128 ✭✭✭kk.man


    Totally agree no finer business man no bull. The results speak for themselves.

    'Bad' cattle are good in 2020s, gone are the big arse charlaois, different world, different game and far bigger margins for the small man. You won't compete with the factory man or feedlot, I did it bought the t shirt and it hurt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    You obviously did not read my post I said the age of the young stock I bought over the last while. At present we have 80+ for slaughter next year, everything from CH heifers to Fr bullocks. I will give you the benefit of the doubt because you are relatively new on the forum. I am farming 20+ years and from a standing start have bought well over 100 acres of land. I have other property interests purchased since as well. Farming has made me serious money over the last 10+ years I had a decent but nothing exceptional of a job.

    After buying a farm this time last year we had to stock it we put in approx 55 young cattle for 20k during mainly December and January last year. I am happy enough with those cattle so I am picking a few up rather than tying serious money up on older cattle. Traditionally I purchased from May to September mostly Friesians which I finish the following summer. I have slightly adapted my system to accommodate the need for a higher stock numbers.

    I am stocked at near 170 kgs per HA not this year as we rebuild numbers I am not that high.⁸. However the big issue from now on is you cannot use slurry exports to adjust your nitrates at year end from now on. Heifers are part of the answer to the issue as there N rating has been reduced sub 24 months. Some of those little Fr bulls are May/June born.

    If you understood economics the first key of any business is buy value. Those little Friesians could hit 1600 euro June 12 months @ 300kgs DW. At 5/Kg it's 1500 euro, at 6 it's 1800. At 4/ kg I still have a margin of nearly 300 euro at presentpurchaseprice replacement cost will dependon the market. I do not like having capital tied up in machinery or stock maybe I am an idiot. I run a low input business, yes the land I have means I can, however I bought it so I suppose I can accept that much credit.

    There Is not f@@king mart in the country that dose not get caught with cattle. Even the co-op marts puff them a bit. I saw my own cattle pushed by a mart agent earlier this year, I still took them home and to the factory a week later they average 50/ head more there, there was a single I should have left go there. Mine were the only cattle that made that close to factory price that day I had rang the agent and said there was no point in me putting them through the ring.

    Yes and no KK. A lot of cattle bought in the spring died in debt. The back end if you kept long enough had been good to lads that did. Personally not even an average year for my system no weight gain in February and March, cattle in too long. Drought from July to September. Had to offload cattle in late September because of silage and grass situation. However well set up for next year. Cattle did some thrive until housing in mid/late November. Ready to rock next year.

    Post edited by Bass Reeves on

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,128 ✭✭✭kk.man


    I bought a serious amount of cattle in the spring and the net margin was 310 and small cattle at that ( more per acre). But I agree with what alot of what you say. I agree with last winter, I finished cattle with a margin of 80e per head. It wasn't worth it. This year will be different not because of the good prices but simply I bought different cattle.

    As for Woozie you can lead a horse to water and all that jazz.

    Post edited by kk.man on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,563 ✭✭✭weatherbyfoxer


    What's your plan going forward bass?,do you think your will be able to to stay purchase those cheaper animals in numbers to stock your farm with cattle getting scarcer and more exspencive going forward?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The numbers on them speak for themselves. Last year we bought those light Friesians bulls @200 euro even witha long winter by early summer they were on average 300kg+ bullocks and 20-30kgd heavier by mid summer. Early in the year was not a great thrive time on the farm but such replacements were costing 600 ish and hard to buy at that price if we had to buy 30+ more the average would have jumped 50-70. Those little bullocks were not costing us 400 at that stage inc purchase price. Heaviest going into the shed were touching 500kgs, accross the lot the average was around 450.

    Will see what way it goes this year.

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 185 ✭✭Aly Daly


    Wooziewu,I like yourself am relatively new to this forum & as you may have gathered there are a couple of very strong characters regularly telling us of there exploits in mastering the art of making money in the dry cattle job,there was a fairly recent debate on whether to focus on gross profit or net profit & gross profit came out on top,if you go head to head with these guys or even ask for some advice you will be bombarded with sarcasm,fuzzy logic & misspelling,having said that the forum is excellent generally for the casual observer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,619 ✭✭✭morphy87


    These cattle you bought did you fatten these off the grass?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 683 ✭✭✭Fine Day


    I drove past one of Larry's plant earlier and it's business as usual l. Car park full and trailers coming and going. Next town after there is a large MN medical device plant and it has been shut since Thursday. I have never seen that plant closed so early before.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 141 ✭✭Farm365


    In fairness to Bass he is very open about his system, costings, profitability etc and will always give advice when asked. Not everyone agrees with him and that’s fine too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,619 ✭✭✭morphy87


    I thought most factory’s would be closed today, they must be desperate for cattle but in my opinion there’s no need for them to open till next Monday, the workers working there deserve a bit of time off like most people



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 683 ✭✭✭Fine Day


    Its not a public holiday I suppose. Goes to show the demand that's there currently for beef. Be interesting to see if they be opened again on Friday.



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu


    it doesn't knock a stir off me, the same lads in your local pub would be asked what sort of top trumps they were reading off tonight



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu


    free advice is worth about as much as you pay for it

    I have never known someone with a golden goose to advertise how to emulate it



  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭WoozieWu




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,736 ✭✭✭Jb1989


    Doesn't need to. We all Know what the base price is, rough purchase price and per day cost. Not much figures he can twist.



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