Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

Sinn Fein and how do they form a government dilemma

1360361363365366392

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    You have to hand to SF. Being so brazen. No I know why these same people can defend and stand over the murder of women and children.

    They utterly missed the point of this election.

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,117 ✭✭✭StormForce13


    Having just heard the latest seat projections on the RTE lunchtime news, may I be the first to congratulate Francie on Sinn Féin's hysterical, sorry, historical victory in the 2024 General Election?

    As an OAP, I'm really looking forward to Mary Lou backdating my State pension to age 65 and paying me the arrears. I'm also looking forward to Pearse refunding me the LPT on my four bedroom detached home in Foxrock and abolishing the USC.

    Post edited by StormForce13 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,777 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Have you been out of the country? Unwell?

    Weird take on the GE I voted in and watched anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 691 ✭✭✭rdwight


    While the brave Shinners were heroically saving the country from the flag waving, ballad singing Celtic supporters they pandered to for so long, the sneaky Soc Dems snuck in and stole their middle class vote.

    Politics is cruel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,712 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Win the battle or not, their core voters dont agree with them!

    Thata the point you keep missing.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 691 ✭✭✭rdwight


    Weird indeed that peo0le like MacLochann (who I heard this morning) and yourself are trying to claim this was in any way a good election for Sinn Fein.

    Big drop in vote numbers and percentage. Percentage of seats down. Maintaining number of seats only because of increase in size of Dail.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Markodaly is not a fan of SF, but this is just plain aul straight advice and help to them.

    Take it ffs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    As for being distracted by battling the far right, being a bulwark against far right.

    Jesus fuc78ing wept.

    A tiny fringe movement ffs, battling it was ego driven, more about pretending to be fighting fash in the hills of Spain, while singing the Internationale in a pub in tallaght. The pretension of it.

    There are reasons why the working class stayed home and SF can address that or it can continue to be shi77y to life long supporters at their own door.

    Easier to have all the answers and the voter base be considered suspect or wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    The Soc Dems will split the first chance they get, its a social club more than a party.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,777 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




    Finished on 19% and brought back 38 TD's.
    It's a simple point and not that hard to grasp. If you offered that a month ago (before the election) they'd have bitten your hand of. therefore they can rightly claim they have had a good campaign/election.
    Take the curmudgeon specs off for a minute.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,036 ✭✭✭mikep


    To me this election shows that the 2020 SF result was a total outlier as many of the candidates who got massive fist preference votes saw that first preference evaporate this time around.

    Perhaps 19% is their core vote now..

    2 elections saying much the same thing no progress made...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,117 ✭✭✭StormForce13


    Good to see Matt Cooper endorsing Francie's astute views on SF's great electoral success!

    "How can Sinn Féin claim to be happy if its percentage share of the vote is down on 2020?

    It can’t be, no matter what face it presents to the public and how happy individual candidates are about being elected.

    It has engaged in an enormous bluff over recent days in trying to pretend this is good result.

    This election has been a failure, by the only measure that counts. It has lost about a fifth of its share of the first preference vote by comparison with 2020.

    For much of the intervening period it has prepared itself to be in the incoming government. Many of its key spokespeople have put enormous effort into preparing the party for government, for which they deserve considerable praise.

    But to be unable to convince the electorate of its suitability to lead a new government by winning enough seats it has failed. That’s the only measure that is important, not the comparison to the polls of recent months, or the results of the local or European elections last summer.

    It is down and can’t make a credible claim to putting forward a path to forming a government and that, by its own stated desires, constitutes failure."

    (Business Post, 1/12/2024)

    I suppose the only question that remains to be answered at this point in the debacle is as to whether Mary Lou will swagger off the stage or will have to be dragged.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    I think it's yourself and your fellow FG lovers who are missing the point. SF certainly didn't win the election that's for sure. But what is also certain is that, between them the TWO government parties only accrued about 40 odd percent of the national support. That means in some form or another, whether through sf, lab, soc dems, ind, far right, 60 odd percent of the country does not support the government and wants an alternative in some shape or form. 40% support for any government in any country is not a success nor a winning mandate. Hell the Democrats in their election achieved more when losing to Trump



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,467 ✭✭✭easygoing39


    Let's hope MLMD does'nt disappear like poor Jean McConville.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 490 ✭✭letsseehere14


    Its a tough one considering.

    Over 31 elections stretching back to the 1920s, this was:

    FG's 3rd worst ever election 1st preference % wise, with the two worst happening in the 1940s.

    and

    FF's 2nd worst ever performance first preference % wise. Worse than 2016!

    And still they hold power. All be it, sharing power together. The 2 major parties performing historically poorly and they still cling to power by simply sharing it.

    With FF and FG now working together, once that continues in a balanced way there is no path for any other party to form a government.

    While a disappointing election for SF, it was still their second most successful first preference % wise ever.

    The future path to power for a party like SF in my mind now relies on a FFG coalition with one of the two a clear junior party. This government will be the start of that with FG acting as a more junior partner. While maybe not publically, behind closed doors definitely. They have lost so many senior TDs and have such inexperience in their leadership, they are undeniably the junior partner in that coalition.

    FG they may now meet the same fate as other junior partners have and see a very poor election in 5 years. That may be enough to open a door for SF and a growing SocDems.

    However it is also just as likely any votes lost by FG will just go to FF and we will be back to the Haughey, Reynolds, Ahern eras of FF dominance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,075 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    I don't think you can say that so clearly.

    What about people who voted for the various shades of independents who are "gene-pool", you have to assume they go back to FF or FG so would have a preference there? Or say a 1st preference for Labour or Soc Dems or whoever, but then a 2,3,4,5 for FF/FG.

    It's not so clear cut. We can say 40% directly favour FF/FG government. Beyond that it's a bit murkier.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    ...e



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Not sure you know how an election works

    The government had to deal with covid when an early bump in support was quickly followed by huge disapproval as people got pi**ed off with it. This was all predicted and one of the reason why SF ran and hid after the last election

    They had to deal with a war in Ukraine and fuel prices going throught the roof

    Then inflation which has gone on all around the World

    This should have been a slam dunk election for SF

    Spin all you want but that's it

    Which government across the World have survived covid or an election after it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    They had challenges to deal with and have stayed surprisingly more stable than you'd expect. And as I said its far from.a victory from SF but it is you and ffg who are spinning. Both parties combined share of the vote has been decreasing election on election for decades now. Several decades back ff or fg on their own could achieve a majority. Or a majority with one smaller party or few independents. Now they have to marge to even stay to cling to power and even that is declining election on election. The majority of voters voted for an alternative to FFG government in some shape or form. That is a fact.

    signal-2024-11-30-19-48-18-450.jpg

    Granted the exit poll wasn't 100% accurate but it was approx



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,777 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Not sure which bit of 'a curates egg of an election' you cannot grasp or the longer piece on the election I wrote above.
    But anyway, make stuff up if you want, seems to keep you and others happy.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    This is splitting hairs. The outgoing government will not reach a majority on their own. Whether that's share of vote, first preference, total seats etc. So whilst SF alone haven't won for sure it's also clear majority of the country does not support the joint desperate merging of FFG despite how you may spin it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Sorry you are spinning

    Another glorius failure for SF

    Several decades ago how many parties ran in an election? in 1965 for instance it was 5

    1992, 9 parties

    2024 - 20

    I love how shinners try to constantly claim their opinions are facts when they are not

    Spin it is a great result but it's a total failure for SF and another poor election for MLMD who hasn't ran a good campaign yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    You're either intentionally being obtuse or can't comprehend a simple message. Where did I say I am a sf supporter?I didn't and I'm not. Where did I say it was a victory for sf? I didn't and it wasn't. Read my posts and my points again because you've missed them entirely.

    I'll ask you, have the two government parties combined received the majority of support or votes or seats in this election? If not then the majority of the country wants change or an alternative in some form.



  • Administrators Posts: 55,839 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    I have to say I do think this looks a bit desperate from Mac Lochlainn.

    I also am curious to know what sort of mental gymnastics are going on in SF HQ to go from "vote for change, nobody wants or supports the government, get the government OUT!" to "FF, will you please let us prop you up in government instead of FG?"



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 11,102 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    And in the real world it does not mean anything of the sort. The intention of our voting system is to produce a representative legislature and it does a very good job of that, but that is all. In a PR system people vote for parties and independents because they want those policies implemented in order of their preferences. Your logic only works in a two party election. If the only choice for change was say an extremely right wing or extremely left wing alternative then that 60% might turn in to 10% or 20%. All you can say is that outside the three main parties, people's preferences are very fragmented.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Its been done many many many times, all the same SF spin and then claims "Im not a SF supporter"

    I gave you the information, like it or lump it.

    This is a SF thread and it was a disaster for SF. End of story. Trying to paint it as anything else is just spin

    As I said, another glorius failure



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,777 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I think two parties campaigning on two different sets of promises and then coalescing regardless skews any voting system.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    I certain very regular poster on here who support SF said they would never support SF if they are willing to be mudguards for FF and FG

    So is that person now not supporting SF anymore? @FrancieBrady



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,777 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    SF never offered themselves as mudguards.

    If they were going in like the Greens or Labour then no, I know I wouldn't support that.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    With that statement SF are going to lose more voters

    What happened to all the 100 year BS they have come out.

    They are so incompetent it is hilarious



Advertisement