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Sinn Fein and how do they form a government dilemma

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    If they are hiring staff here and selling services, surely thats a good thing for Ireland, as they are creating employment for irish citizens, as well as skilled staff from abroad; all of whom pay a lot of income tax, in addition to any corporate tax receipts banked here via the business.

    The more MNCs we have, the better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They are coming back as strong as they were and from a bad place when the election was called. Better on candidate selection, better on transfers.

    Ff will take you folk into power on their coa tails again, don’t worry but there will be a strong opposition waiting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    What it tells us is that SF and Hutch fish for the same species in the same pool.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    2002 was historical for FG, but they were not riding 10% above FF in the polls 2 years prior were they?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    2002 wasn't historical because of what was happening in opinion polls in 2000?

    Alright. 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,407 ✭✭✭Seadin


    It goes to show that SF made a worse bags of this election than the last one. People will never want them to run the country. This was their chance and they won't be the most popular party. FF and FG are going to have more seats than them. Mary Lou should now retire, she isn't the answer for SF to get into government.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    They are very VERY experienced in selling a loss as a win.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,407 ✭✭✭Seadin


    2002 for FG was like 2011 for FF. But both parties are back again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    This is Brendan Hughes talking about how SF has left it working class roots.

    He also goes on at length about how Gerry Adams was a major player in the PIRA.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    In fairness there is a BBC journalist of the same name I thought the poster was referring to.

    Not interested in the Boston Tapes TBH nor do I care a jot whether Gerry was in the IRA or not. Never did see what difference it made.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,893 ✭✭✭StupidLikeAFox


    No, you may be nonchalant about the result tonight but it doesn't change the fact that party activists like yourself have been adamant that the people want sinn fein in government ("change") and that is simply not the case.

    Sinn fein logic has gone from "Mary lou is a leader in waiting" to "well we did ok"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Ain't nobody standing on their head trying to pretend a decline is not a decline.

    SF lost the election, fact. Somebody has to and FG FF and all the rest have been there before.

    Like any party that loses an election they need to take stock, figure out where they went wrong and what they did right. And in consideration of what they did right they did very well from where they started from when the election was called. Much better than other parties did who are now considered winners because of the nudge and wink antics of two parties who never had any intention of not going into power even if they only treaded water which is what they have done basically.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,075 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Sinn fein need to be able to campaign well (which they seem to be able to - and have gotten better at) during an election. They also need to be a serious opposition (which they do too, to be fair). But their key issue is they need to build an obvious alternative government. So far their approach seems to alienate anyone who isn't a sinn fein supporter. With the days of single party governments long in history now, they need to reach out beyond their own party if they want to lead the opposition as an alternative.

    Nothing they have done so far tells me they will be able to do this. There's a reason there's a cohort out there that don't want to vote for FFG but also don't want to vote sinn fein, and that's a problem for them too. They need to behave more like a normal party. They need to move on from having former IRA members still in the dail. They need to work with other parties. They need to be constructive with government too. If they do all that, they could be in a stronger position in 4/5 years time. But I doubt they will.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    It seems that the SF supporters on here are rejecting the claim that this was the worst opposition in Irish political history by claiming that they were only the second worst. Something something FG 2002 is their answer.

    They should step back and think about why that is even a question. Some self-reflection is badly needed in Sinn Fein.

    Their housing policy flopped badly with banks, builders and experts before the public saw through it.

    They should have seen the way that FG has replaced a whole generation of TDs with fresh faces while they still have the likes of Dessie Ellis, David Cullinane and others whose public appearances remind the older generation of the intimidating side of the party. There is no more Richard Bruton, Leo Varadkar or Simon Coveney, all replaced with new faces.

    How can they sell a message that this place needs massive change, but at the same time sell this place to Unionists as a paradise? It is one of many inherent contradictions in their public stance. Toning down the United Ireland rhetoric is necessary to win people over.

    One of the other conflicts is that their nativist approach to a united Ireland attracts the type of person who has a nativist approach to immigration. Once again a policy that everyone is welcome unless you are British is completely self-contradictory. Now some will claim I am misrepresenting them (and we will get the rubbish about SF rejecting this vote, contradicted by the support for Hutch from their voters) but it doesn't matter how they and their supporters see themselves but how they are seen by others.

    They also need to be brave and learn the art of compromise. The Greens have shown that over the last few years the main reason to get into politics is to be brave and to get at least some of your policies implemented. Standing on the sidelines on your principles will get you nowhere. Sinn Fein have never learned this lesson.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Well, of course you dont. Any negative questions towards the Dear Leader have to be ignored. The Boston Tapes are to be ignored because the truth of what was on them is very difficult to bat away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,893 ✭✭✭StupidLikeAFox


    I counted -there are 44 words in that last sentence. A mish mash of deflection and party spin



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 56,089 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    Hey FB.

    You do get my respect putting up with some of these lot in this thread and still having the courtesy to reply to them…

    Anyway back to serious talk :)

    Where do you think the party went wrong?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I think anyone reviewing this election and not starting with the size of the Independent's running column is just spinning the result.
    That's where SF's main electoral battle was IMO

    SF are the bulwark against the rise of the far-right, not FF or FG or the Greens. A lot of their energy/attention was sapped up fighting off the challenge from there. The Independents fancied the space (or some of it) occupied by SF and other parties of the left. and indeed targeted it. You can see that battle in their fall in support and their rise towards the end of the campaign, in the polling.
    Personally delighted that they saw them off in the main and that they didn't chase that vote. That is key to them maintaining their challenge to FF FG imo. They can build on that real support now and were getting some real momentum going in the campaign. (Hence my opinion they had a great campaign)

    Where they went wrong?
    Not holding the government's feet to the flame hard enough I suppose.
    Eoin O'Broin is a competent strategist/policy maker, but is not the public communicator thy require in Housing. He failed to get the message across quite simply. He needs some of MLMD's communicator skills IMO.
    Whatever or whoever is responsible for presenting the various policy docs has to be commended, and they need to do more of that. They failed in not getting the messaging on that across too, they have the policies. I think though the improvement in their transfer rates is down to that.
    They will be satisfied finishing ahead of FG on seats and disappointed they didn't undermine MM more.
    All in all a curates egg of an election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,478 ✭✭✭pureza


    Gerry was in enough trouble without admitting he was in the IRA

    Sometimes choices have to be made

    In the round he made the right one, both in direction of travel,bigger picture etc

    The ‘socialist republic’ idea was always going to have to go, not a runner

    As where SF have landed,I think they’ve landed in a decent place

    Ok not in government lower vote etc but 5 years of the new government is another stab at cliche or not rebuilding

    Headwinds yes in terms of theres bound to be a lot of housing built in the next 5 years etc etc

    But against that we will see who outwits who next time

    I suspect this thread has limited shelf life left



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I suspect this thread has limited shelf life left

    It's a bit more relevant than a 'wuz Gerry in the 'RA' one. Let @markodaly etc go off and open a thread and see if anyone is still interested never mind bothered if he was or not.

    I will quote him though, 'SF have not gone away'. They haven't been decimated, they are past masters of dusting themselves down and roaring back.

    Looking forward to the next term confident in the various abilities of FF FG to mess things up.

    There is an argument to be won, if Labour and the Soc Dems stay out you could see the beginnings of an alliance. When the dust settles will this election go down as the tipping point to Ireland finally getting a discernible left-right divide?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    dusting themselves down and roaring back

    Losing 20% of your vote is roaring back?

    Labour and the SD's are going to eat SF's lunch I think. They are all dining out on the left wing vote, and there is not as much of it there compared to the more centrist vote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Typically you chop off a bit of the point made to alter what was said and to hear just what you want to hear. Tiresome tbh,

     'SF have not gone away'. They haven't been decimated, they are past masters of dusting themselves down and roaring back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,048 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    In July 11,000 people marched in protest at the conditions in UHL

    In November that same year FFG candidates topped the polls in Limerick's 2 constituencies

    The mind boggles



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/elections-2024/ellen-coyne-ignore-the-bluster-mary-lou-mcdonald-and-repetitive-sinn-fein-are-at-real-risk-of-going-stale/a590321075.html

    The opinion pieces keep on rolling in.

    "Because as she stepped into the RDS, the leader of the alternative government seemed to enter an alternative reality of her own construction."

    Ouch.

    "The party must ask itself if it’s sustainable to keep defining itself by what it’s not – Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael – in the face of an electorate that seems to have returned both of the Civil War parties to government.

    Ireland is the only nation in the developed world that had an election this year that did not see the outgoing administration get a hammering.

    Sinn Féin has a choice now: is it going to keep pushing the binary divide in the Irish electorate between those who are happy with Fine Gael-Fianna Fáil and those who are not?

    Or is it going to make a greater effort to be a party that has an identity of its own, independent from opposing the other two larger parties?"

    These are great comments and questions. Sinn Fein is at a crossroads. Ivana Bacik is determined to forge a moderate left combination of Labour, the SDs and possibly the Greens. A merger of SDs and Labour could be on the cards down the road. They could have 25 seats by the next election through picking up a few during the Dail. That will be a challenge to SF's "left" credentials.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,980 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    Past masters at roaring for sure, “roaring back” Hmmm…….don’t think so pal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Any opinion or opinion piece that ignores the significant challenge a lot of Independents threatened is not worth consideration or the paper/screen it is written on.

    I'd also add an opinion piece not factoring in the almost unique blocking alliance of the FF FG merger is slanted in the extreme.
    A well written dance on a presumed grave really isn't what you think it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    The vote is down due to working-class people deserting SF and younger people moving to parties of the left like the SD's.

    SF are just far far too negative.

    They need to stop the social media witch hunt online, they need to be more pointed in their criticism of the government.

    Every 6 months they held a motion of no confidence, which was always defeated.

    SF are just very very slow learners when it comes to politics here in the south.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,776 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The vote is down due to working-class people deserting SF

    Due to the factor opinion writers of a certain ilk will not address. SF were necessarily distracted by a battle with independents of the far right they had to win and did. Those independents were not challenging for FF FG space.

    Haven't seen the data on where the young vote went, so cannot comment.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    I think MLMD done more harm than good with the alternative reality she was boasting about. Everyone was looking at her just baffled with what she was waffling about.

    I suppose she couldn't come on again with the same speech about having to listen to the people etc etc etc like she did after the local election.

    SF still have a bag of spanners for policies, they have no idea what the party is supposed to represent anymore. It's incompetent from top to bottom. Some of course never got past the free for all budget waffle and voted for them. The rest slowly and quietly moved away

    Will they continue with the online crusade against the people of ireland who don't sing their tune becuase that is clearly not working and hasn't for years



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