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Irish General Election - Friday, November 29th *Read OP for Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    FF ruled out government with FG before the 2020 election. They will form a government with SF if that's the only option - and it could be if FG lose seats and a stable government couldn't be formed with them



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,348 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    FG only copies Ind Ire policies in the last week. Because they sounded good.

    I don't vote SF.

    A link to these centres please.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    I do want this rotating nonsense dispensed with, its too cushy… One for everyone in the audience… Literally deemed by the electorate, to just be the least bad option, no incentive to improve, they wont lose power, dont have to perform and can also rotate Taoiseach? Maybe thats another thing that needs to be done away with, the party that forms government, with the largest seat count, holds the Taoiseach role! PERIOD!

    They have now found the solution to doing nothing, retaining power and having 2 Taoisigh…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    I agree, hence I hope FF win clearly more seats than FG… This rotating Taoiseach thing, is another step too far.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    you cant be worse off, paying the marginal rate of tax. Unless they decreased the threshold that it was paid… The difference is, what they tax that euro at, for simplicity sake, maybe 25 cent in the euro up to 40,000. Then for every euro over that forty thousand, they take 50c in the euro…



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    It won't be a step too far for FF/FG. Five more years of FF/FG with a rotating taoiseach will plant the seeds of a massive SF victory in the future as we are not going to have FF/FG in government divvying up the job of taoiseach (and other jobs) from now to perpetuity.

    By acting as basically a single political party (FF/FG more or less merged in 2016) they are ultimately damaging themselves in the long run.

    I also honestly believe that this election wouldn't even be close if MLMcD had adopted firm stances on immigration and woke politics. But she didn't. So basically we are having a rerun of the Feb 2020 election in Nov 2024.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Well what a surprise, FG support dwindles, and I outline why they have lost my support. You said you were a party to reward work , if you are now more interested in rewarding the long term unemployed… Well… Reap what you sow…

    I want to check this out, but until I do, I would be near certain it has to be correct. For a "first world country", Ireland has the lowest entry point to the marginal and what must be the highest rate… For the last few decades, what has this money been spent on ? Our military? LOL… Infrastructure? LOL…



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,654 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I don't know, point I am making is I think it will be FF in the driving seat and setting terms rather than FG.

    Or to put it another way the only party I'd bet on being in government next time is FF.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    in one way, FFG greatest fear , is SF getting power. Because if they do and the country doesnt implode, like they claim it will and if I were in FFG , I would be making that same claim… (Fear is a great motivator). Effectively the cushy power swap for 100 years , or now bed buddies, could come crumbling down… Then this leads me to think, should we wait five years, many of us reluctant to vote SF, BUT like you say, longer term, it could be the better outcome. Its a shame there isnt a larger fourth credible party. But this farce cannot continue indefinitely



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Agreed, strongly reckon this is how its going to pan out. Its a good thing…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 260 ✭✭a2deden


    Could never see a way it wasnt rotating between MM/SH/ML myself

    Feel it will be a while before we dont have a rotating, which in reality ive zero issues with, doesnt really make a difference, might even drive them to improve stuff knowing they only have a couple of years



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    seeing as SF numbers wise are the only viable force 3rd force in Irish politics, lets hope that come next election, maybe they have a new leader and increased support. Why the hell, did they ever back the woke position on immigration?!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,434 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Because they are socialists. They like to promise the Sun, Moon and stars to everybody on everything using other people's money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,566 ✭✭✭DataDude


    I’m intrigued on your voting preferences. From a few posts I’ve seen from you I’d say I pretty closely align to your economic views. Tax system far too penal for mid to higher income workers. Government spending out of control etc.

    Just generally a country that has moved too gar left economically.

    If I’m interpreting your position correctly, what party do you actually want to get in? Or will you just vote independents?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,434 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I don't know where folk are getting this 'FF in the driving seat' from.

    FF are still in a very weak position in the Dublin and commuter constituencies. Without a good showing there, you'll be at nothing.

    FF will need to finish within 5 seats of FG to have any hope of including a rotating Taoiseach in the deal, and I just don't see it.

    FG look likely to come in with between 46-50 seats, inclusive.

    FF 36-43 inc.

    It will very much depend on where both land within those margins as to whether the rotation occurs. Obviously both finishing at the upper or lower end together is unlikely, as they eat each other's lunch somewhat in tight races.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 438 ✭✭briangriffin


    I would find it very difficult to take anything Labour and Bacik say serious. Labour will at best retain what seats they had in the previous election and that is with the decimation of the Green vote, there will be a big protest vote to independents and if people mange their vote for independents well we could have the highest number of independents in our history.

    In the lifetime of the last FG FF and Green government

    We have gone from a rejection rate for asylum claims of 80% to a acceptance rate of 80%.

    IPAS numbers going from 3500 and a white paper on solving direct provision which had a capital cost in 2020 of around 3/4s of billion for accommodation for 3500 asylum seekers double that capital cost now to 1.5 billion for the same with any state involvement.

    How much does this capital project cost now for 20,000? No figures have been published? How much net is it costing per calendar year ? Is Banty McAntee going to be a billionare on the backs of the Irish taxpayer?

    How much has accommodation cost in the past 3 years? How much has social welfare cost? How much social welfare is spent in the following years on housing?

    What are the long term prospects for asylum seekers getting on the property ladder if Irish people are emigrating because of the housing crises? WHen IPAS is processed where are these people going to live? Are they going on council housing lists?

    The IPAS figures have gone from 3500 to in 2022 15,000 2023 15,000 and 2024 projected 20,000. This is before there is any reunification requests of which in 2024 there has been 4,000 apllications. Applications not numbers there could be multiples of that figure in real numbers.

    SO how are they tough on asylum immigration?

    The government Help to but scheme has helped 50,000 applicants to the tune of 1.1 billion since 2017. They will have spent more on IPAS accomadation in this calendar year that the entire HTB scheme.

    The HTB scheme helped Irish citizens by refunding them the tax they have paid in the previous 4 years…… surely, surely there has to be some level of self awareness from politicians that as much as we are a tolerant and giving nation when we see our own sons and daughters emigrating because they cant afford a house there has to be some accoutabilty on how all our taxes are spent.

    You had pull factors despite Roderics insistence he didn't tweet out that own door accommodation would be available the evidence is there to be seen published in the national newspapers

    On top of that we had the first amnesty on illegal migrants in the country again a significant softening of immigration policy from Helen McAntee's department.

    You have leaked memos from the department of justice saying the majority of the claims are economic migrants and not genuine asylum claims.

    You have Helen herself on the national airwaves saying that people were fleeing poverty to come to Ireland - firstly there are over 2 billion people living in poverty in the world - nearly a billion living in extreme poverty - if that were a condition for granting asylum then we and every western country would have to prepare for a mass influx and the collapse of their entire budget housing health and society in general. Our politicians moral obligation is not to the world it is to the citizens (all citizens including recent migrants) of Ireland. Having a secure strict border 10 years ago wasnt far right it was a perfectly acceptable form of governance the problem is weak ideological far left wing nonsense that has invaded every aspect of the current government.

    We are so profoundly captured by virtuousness, progressivism left wing ideological nonsense that our last 2 ministers for children have not been parents - now anyone who has had a child will understand how your perspective on everything changes when you become a parent that would surely be an important factor in the ministry for children.

    And yet there are people here saying FF and FG are right wing parties. If they are right wing god help us if Labour SD Sinn fein or PBP get in. The only alternative to the mess that is there at the moment is to vote independent. There is no viable opposition to the larger parties they proved that during the referendum in March.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,751 ✭✭✭✭L1011




  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,654 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I think it is unlikely that FG finish ahead of FF full stop, never mind finish far enough ahead to kill the rotating Taoiseach deal.

    I just think the combination of a long spell in government and so many long standing TDs retiring is going to hurt FG.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,222 ✭✭✭creedp


    Why Is it beyond ridiculous? Because it doesn't suit the narrative? I'm always amazed how some are so adept at link dumping to support their own argument but seemingly less so to refute something that spoils the party line.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,804 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    FF will need to finish within 5 seats of FG to have any hope of including a rotating Taoiseach in the deal,

    There are no rules written into the Constitution about how this plays out; if FG are ten seats ahead of FF and still want to offer them a rotating taoiseach deal that's entirely their call. And I believe they would; anything to keep FF out of the arms of the Shinners…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,208 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    We have labour shortages across huge sectors of the economy, nobody in Ireland should be long term unemployed. Give em 3 months to find a job or be cut off.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra,

    I'm raptured by the joy of it all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,208 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    I'm partial to your abracadabra,

    I'm raptured by the joy of it all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,208 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    It can happen if you cross a PRSI threshold though.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra,

    I'm raptured by the joy of it all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,208 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Jesus, now instead of providing anything at all to back up your ridiculous claim, you're now asking other posters to prove a negative. 🙄

    I'm partial to your abracadabra,

    I'm raptured by the joy of it all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,751 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    No full time PS role pays anywhere near low enough for that to be the case - the lowest weekly pay scale is 80 euro above the rate at which you start paying 4.1% on all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,374 ✭✭✭✭suvigirl


    No idea what you're trying to say here, but you made the claim that EU workers get medical cards in Ireland, regardless of income. You back it up, or be shown for a.liar.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Indeed. Doesn't contradict my point though.

    I wonder if FFG will consider extending the working contributions for IPAs getting social housing to irish citizens.

    Not enough social homes to accommodate everyone, but you get to the top of the queue if you work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Thats the kind of comment that only comes from a SF supporter; and one that doesnt understand that SF are a left wing socialist party ffs!

    Of the 3 major parties in Ireland, SF are always going to be the most pro asylum party, because they are the most left leaning.

    Every non-SF voter knows this and understands why SF avoided the question on asylum immigration for as long as they possibly could, because they knew their core vote base wouldn't like their answer.

    I think the penny has dropped for most SF voters by now, but clearly not all, judging by your post.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I didnt say FG were especially strong on asylum immigration.

    I said they are as stong as any other irish party on the matter, including independent ireland.

    I agree with you that the independent vote will be strong this election, but a merry band of independent- independents, raises very little political capital.

    It may be the case that by election 2028/29, there is a stronger independent alliance; a 4th major party, in effect.

    That change wont happen in time to impact this election, however.



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