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Kerry Co Op Shares

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,297 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    of the 25million needed annually for reinvestment will Kerry group be coming up with some of it?? seeing as they have a 30% stake in the business…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Using your logic so do you want Kerry getting 30% of the profits too up until as far away as 2035? In all honestly, people’s best bet is to go to the information meetings.

    I think the reinvestment figure of €25m is certainly a cause for concern and it should be asked at one of those meetings how long will that level of reinvestment be required for.

    Something I can’t stress enough is how bad the communication has been from both the co-op and the PLC so far. From their perspective this is by far away the most important thing that’s happened for either of them since the 1996 vote.

    People are somewhat satisfied with the “cash for shares” scheme that’s there already but they’ve zero concept that there’s literally a “ticking tax time bomb” with that cash for shares scheme which will go off in 8 years with literally 88% tax. It’s regarding participation exemption. The co-op ought to be explaining all of this to their shareholders rather myself here, a former shareholder trying to explain it. The only way to avoid the 88% tax is either vote for what’s on the table on December 16th or theoretically liquidating the co-op but for reasons I’ve already said liquidation isn’t going to happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,297 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    The shares side of it doesn't affect me as I don't have any in either the co-op or plc.. I'm looking at this deal as a milk supplier only..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    To make this deal more attractive to plc/coop milk suppliers...Maybe the coop should have redistributed more coop shares to coop shareholders/ milk suppliers with low shareholdings by redistributing a % of existing coop shareholdings to minimum xxx amount to them...any shareholder/milk suppliers above this minimum gets nothing more



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    The logical thing to do would be to give shares to milk suppliers based on their financial contribution of 1 cent per litre for 5 years. It would keep milk suppliers on board.

    The whole thing smacks of sour grapes by the PLC over the leading milk price debacle.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    That's up to coop/plc board ...the coop are looking for goodwill supply of milk from existing milk suppliers....i don't think the dry shareholders would begrudge them another % of their shareholdings as a leaving gift



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    Plc shares or new coop shares for per litre contribution?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    Good question. I suppose its the joint venture the suppliers will be handing over their money to. But I don't thing the PLC will be giving out shares so must be the CoOp.

    Any way it would be in the CoOp's long term interest to keep milk suppliers sweet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    I see what you’re both saying about getting shares for the 1c/L contribution

    It would have to be shares in the new JV which will essentially be Kerry Co-op 2.0

    I don’t think anyone has an issue with suppliers getting shares in KCC 2.0 in exchange for milk produced and contributions made

    I’m not sure how widely known it is but basically some of the biggest “non dairy farming” shareholders in the co-op allegedly went and got legal advice to try stop this whole JV because they didn’t want 15% of their shares used to fund this new JV

    I think shares will for 100% certain be issued to milk suppliers as time goes on but plans for it haven’t been released yet for fear it would “rock the boat” too much

    I’ve heard talk of future schemes in place where shareholders could redeem their shares in the co-op if they wanted to, the idea would be that you’d end up with the co-op being largely owned by the milk suppliers themselves



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    Why didn't the coop plan on paying the 350 m in one go from coop shareholding ...the 70% part of JV....and be done with that part of it...as all shareholders, we'd all own that part of it..



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,626 ✭✭✭straight


    There's about 400 milk suppliers with one share. It's important to look after these guys as they are the only hope for the future. Everyone should get the 5.4% topup on milk volume supplied and forget about quota bullsh1t. It would cost 5million to fix it which is 1% of the overall deal. How much have the lawyers, etc. got so far....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    I completely agree with what Straight said—the 5.4c should have been paid on all milk. That’s a fair point.

    As for capinhand’s question about why the 70% wasn’t paid for upfront: for that to happen, the share ratio would have had to be around 4.85, and let’s be honest, no one would have voted for that. The 5.3 share ratio is as low as it could possibly go while still having a chance of passing the vote. Most voting shareholders are B shareholders who aren’t milking cows anymore, so it’s always going to be a balancing act to satisfy everyone.

    Thinking about it more, this deal reminds me of the Good Friday Agreement. No one’s going to be out celebrating, but it’s a solution that most parties can live with. Sure, the quota milk situation has been mishandled, but let’s not forget the disaster we’d be in if the 2021 JV had gone ahead at an €800m valuation. This time, we’re getting it for nearly half price and at least there’s 5.4c on the table now—there was nothing last time (if I’m remembering right).

    At the end of the day, it’s a classic case of “no risk, no reward.” As I once read, “the biggest risk you’ll ever take is taking no risk at all.”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    It looks to me like this deal was designed by the PLC. They pushed as far as they thought they could get away with.

    In my opinion there is no way they would sell the dairy processing to a complete outsider. They would loose access to the dairy ingredients and it would be a complete PR disaster.

    They saw the CoOp as a soft touch.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    Maybe the coop board don't want all this current coop shareholders to be majority shareholders in the new coop so keep them at 49/50%

    Post edited by cap.in.hand. on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,312 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    The PLC are grabbing as much as they can get away with off everyone, to the benefit of no-one in particular.

    All gone up in the funny money world of hedge funds etc.

    Maybe the management will get a big fat bonus if the share price hits a target or there's a takeover after the dirty cow farmers have been scrope off the sole of the plc's boot, who knows?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26 oakwork


    If this proposal is rejected, does that mean the only alternative would be a full liquidation? Would that not be a better and fairer solution to all. Distribute to every shareholder what they are entitled to and leave the decision with those individuals whether or not they wish to invest in the new entity. I feel co-op shareholders have contributed enough to the existing co-op where group dividends have been retained down through the years to cover the cost of a co-op structure.

    Has anyone got any information on what contracts will be put in place between the new company and Kerry Group? I would hope they would be fair and pay market value for the produce of the new entity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,251 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The chances of a complete liquidation are miniscule. You need 75% of A shareholders to vote for it so highly unlikely.

    On the present deal some do not seem to be aware of a few other facts. KG are giving approximately a 50 million loan as well it's KG that is buying tge 15%of co-op share to fund this deal and they are cancelling them. This should prevent a share collapse if 150 million euro worth of shares had to hit the stockmarket in one go. You could expect a 5-10%price hit on that type of sale.

    I expect that milk suppliers will be given KD shares for there cent a litre. The KD investment per co-op share will be approx at 90-95 euro per share. Allowing for improvement in share value could a new KD share be allotted for every 10-12k L supplied during the levy period. At 12K/ share it woukd be nearly 42 shares per 500k L supplied every year during the levy period. Over 5 years 205-210 shares.

    I imagine any negotiation on future milk price will be linked to an EU or world composite benchmark price

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,630 ✭✭✭kerryjack


    They were plenty of lads back in the day that were skeptical about putting money in to the co op, I remember conversation going on in my own house where the father wasn't too bothered and the mother was pushing it all the way that was back in early 80s lucky for us the mother got her way and it payed off big time but the ould lad took full credit for it and though he was some kind of financial guru telling us all to buy eircom shares which were a flop. We got lucky with Kerry we were in the right business back in the 80s with the right people behind it, can it happen again, it's worth a chance in my opinion and I am happy to give my 15% towards it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    it doesn’t stack up financially ,

    The pool of milk won’t be there to support the projections ,

    When doing a business plan you have to factor in the different scenarios , the good , the bad and the ugly ,

    So let them put these 3 scenarios on front of us , and not just the sugar coated option ,

    Stop the smoke screens .

    Farmers need to demand this .
    it’s the next generation that will be saddled with this decision



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,312 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    Brosnan is long gone, and Friel after him. The PLC managers since have got us into this situation and what's left will be gone anyway, we're being left with a 90s business ran by middle management answering to our co-op board, chance would be a fine thing.

    Maybe a Messiah will appear.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Excellent post, KerryJack. One of the best and most balanced contributions I’ve ever read on Boards. Well done.

    Now, onto a related matter. One of the producer group members is going around telling people about a major supplier who admitted that an extra cent per litre as part of the JV would be make-or-break for their business. If someone has expanded to the point where one cent could sink the ship, that’s entirely on them. Blaming the co-op, the PLC, or anyone else for poor financial management is deflection, plain and simple.

    As for the producer group itself, I don’t see it taking off at all. But if it does, I genuinely hope they secure the best milk price in Ireland, because from what I’m hearing, some of their members will need it badly.

    For the average shareholder, voting no to this proposal would be completely irrational. For the suppliers with just one share, they’ve got nothing to lose and everything to gain. Not only are they getting a 5.4c top-up, but they’ll also receive shares in a new €500m business. If they had even a hint of what’s going on behind the scenes, they’d be the first in line to vote yes.

    I’ve made it my business to discuss the proposals with a very wide variety of people, the JV has been incredibly well-received. There’s always going to be a few who are angry at the world and oppose progress for the sake of it. We saw the same crowd trying to hold everyone back during the 1996 and 2011 votes and they’re at it again now 😂😂

    But let’s be clear: this is a generational opportunity. The deal is fair, it’s balanced, and it benefits the vast majority. There is no doubt in my mind that it will pass, and rightly so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    Well if that isn't the pot calling the kettle black I don't know what to say. Wasn't it you or your dad shouting at all those meetings criticising everything that was being proposed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,098 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Not a continental f**k is given about the future of milk suppliers that haven't a couple of hundred k of a share spin-out to get, the fan boying over a half a billion euro milk processor been a printing press for money when 1-2% is considered a good return and industry norm from gross sales the mind boggles, why had tipp co-op to merge with Arrabawn over circa 50 million of outstanding debts on a 250 million litres milk pool if the milk processing job is so profitable



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Hi Ginger22,

    I don’t know about you, but neither I nor anyone I know was ever in favor of locking in a rule that we’d have to pay income tax on our shares. Call me crazy, or the kettle black, or whatever you like, but I have no intention of paying income tax on my shares when it can be avoided.

    Back in April 2021, during the last JV proposal, there weren’t any meetings because of Covid. That said, I wasn’t in favor of it anyway after the “Seafield documents” were leaked—it was clear just how bad a deal it was.

    This time around, the JV is being valued at nearly half of what it was in 2021, so whoever raised concerns back then deserves credit for that improvement.

    As for your suggestion that I’d have been against the 1996 and 2011 spin-out votes, you might as well accuse me of being an axe murderer while you’re at it! 😂😂

    In my opinion, we had a very weak board for a few years that came up with some outlandish proposals. That aside, I’ve always believed the co-op has been run by great people overall.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    I don’t know why ftm is getting so emotional about the shares spin out and the milk suppliers.

    First of all the vote will be carried and he will get his windfall . And rightly so .

    The milk suppliers are left then to make the Jv work with the pool of milk they have . So that is a decision for each of them to decide at that time , if they believe in contributing to the project .

    On the issue of these bigger suppliers , rather than running them in to the ground because of their decision on expansion , I believe it’s a business decision , and the prospect of donating 50k a year from a milk cheque is a lot of money over 10 years , so rightly so , people should be allowed their views .
    everyone is entitled to their view and democracy should carry the day , both with the spin out and the choice that of milk purchaser .

    It is disingenuous to categorise anyone ,

    People are entitled to their money , all around



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    The previous joint venture proposal was complete and utter madness, this one is an improvement but that doesn't make it a good deal.

    As another poster has pointed out here the PLC are desperate to get rid of the milk processing while retaining access to the dairy ingredients.

    Now there is no doubt in my mind that they could not give the milk processing away to anybody. They are packaging it up with the remaining food brands that they couldn't find a buyer for to make it look viable.

    Anyway if they sold the milk processing to an outsider they would be "stoned" out of Kerry, it would be like a receiver selling a farm.

    Then our CoOp have a vested interest in making themselves relevant again so cannot make rational business decisions.

    Now having said all that I believe that this deal will go ahead but it is a long way from a good deal for Kerry farmers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,251 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Nothing h wrong with the eircom shares made about 30% on them within a months. Shares are all about timing. What happened after was a disgrace Shane Ross and Eamon Dumphy did a hatchet job on the company and at the wrong part of a telecoms cycle got the company split and the mobile company was sold for share in another company . Rumour has it the Kerryman on the board Dick Spring was against the deal but the FF aappointees were under pressure because of the flack by Ross and Dunphy. Was it not peculiar that Ross's employer was part of the consortium that bought Eircom.

    When you buy shares or a pension you have to remember values go up and down. Look at Kerry group shares presently down 30% off peak at present and they were nearly 50% off peak. As Warren Buffet says the stock market is the only place when when there is a sale on buyers are not interested.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    it’s a bad deal for the guys who remain for the new contract .

    but sure that each individuals decision , based on their business decisions ,

    Me personally will rather supply another purchaser even if I have to give a cent a litre ,

    Bet on a proven proof rather than a promise .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Talk about deflection 101 “kerrycow” 🤦‍♂️😂 I don’t think making valid points with facts and figures etc is what most people would consider emotional. I think whether or not anyone agrees with me I think we’ve all been receptive to one another’s contrasting views. It wouldn’t be very interesting if we were all coming on here to agree with one another, would it? 😂😂

    Look as for those comments regarding the producer group etc I’ve no problem telling you who said it. I think it was poor form on their behalf. I’d wish anyone else the best of luck with everything always. The person that said it has plenty of their own business to be minding.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭kerrysoul


    Why is Kerry Coop 2 paying €7.5m per year for 5 yrs to Kerry PLC, should the annual payment not be 30% of its profits



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