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Kerry Co Op Shares

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    I see what you said about low share prices regarding the income tax scheme but the thing is… the “cash for shares” income tax scheme becomes LESS tax efficient the HIGHER the share price becomes…… also for the sake of the examples we had to go with todays share price for each of the examples, otherwise it couldn’t work

    For an average shareholder (260 shares) with a below average income even if they wanted to cash the shares in via the “cash for shares” scheme over a few years it’s still probably the very worst option on the table.

    When I sold my own co-op shares on the grey market I managed to get the equivalent of 4.95 of a ratio, the vast vast majority of those that sold on the grey market got a ratio less than that and nowadays it’s more like 4.5

    With the deal that’s on the table now people will be getting 5.3 PLC shares for every 1 co-op shares & they’ll own the“new co-op” shares as well & the plan is that they’ll eventually be able to be redeemed as well so they won’t be worthless.

    If you still don’t believe me that this deal is the way to go then I urge you to ring your accountant tomorrow morning and discuss it with them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,314 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    I'd be hoping that something better than either of those two options that the co-op boards have come up with would be achievable.

    I've no idea why you haven't clarified the 0.67 mentioned in your reply and where it is due but maybe this isn't quite the bonanza claimed? I could be wrong too.

    Anyway once this deal is done, there is no going back, no deal and we come up with a scheme that's in the shareholders interests.

    To do a Paisley on it

    No 15% confiscation.

    No purchasing of old ropes and white elephants.

    No hog-tying milk producers with levies and poor prices.

    As I said above, I could be wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    With all due respect I think I perfectly well answered all your questions already and by answering anymore we’re just taking over the thread. The whole thing is going over your head. You made it clear you don’t want to speak to me on the phone so like I said, ring your accountant. I spent enough time trying to explain it to you already and at this stage I just don’t think you’re willing to take any of it on board.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,314 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    Au contraire, I had only one question which I had to reframe repeatedly to try and get an answer, but you're wriggling out of it again, or else you genuinely don't see the holes in your proclamations.

    I haven't a notion of ringing you, whoever you are, so you can be sussing me out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Castlekeeper, I wasted an hour yesterday spelling out every scenario in detail. Let’s be real – you don’t have a clue when it comes to financial matters, and frankly, I’m done trying to drag you up to speed. This vote is sailing through regardless, and your grasp of it won’t make a difference.

    Call your accountant if you’re that lost. And the bit about me “sussing you out” – don’t flatter yourself. The idea that I’d spend a second wondering who you are is laughable. I don’t care who you are or how you vote.

    I’ve laid out, in black and white, exactly how this JV lines your pockets better than any alternative. Yet, you still come back with idiotic questions. Either you’re completely out of your depth, or you’re just here to stir the pot.

    So, by all means, vote no. You clearly don’t get it and probably never will.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭kerry_man15


    The 0.67 is because you would have to pay 33% CGT if you want to transfer them to your kids, leaving you with 67% of their worth, hence 0.67.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,274 ✭✭✭alps


    I'm amazed at the number of suppliers who want nothing more to do with Kerry. They have absolutely no trust in management. The way that the leading milk price and arbitration findings have been dealt with seem to be red line issues.

    It doesn't auger well when suppliers have no clarity over their future input and ownership of the new business. It's surprising that the authors of this deal have not come with a complete picture for the continuing supplier. Their goodwill is paramount to the success of the business going forward.

    Pass or fail, you have to think the future of this business is precarious due to the risk of maintaining supply.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 44 CasePuma


    I think it was a big reason people voted in the merger between arrabawn and tipp, there was transparency from the beginning.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,100 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    When you see the attitudes of the fan boys for it, if that's the mindset of the co-op board they are fully convinced the windfall from the shares will placate the majority of suppliers and they'll happily keep supplying kerry no matter the milk price....

    It's a odd game of chicken to be playing when they'll likely lose their largest/youngest suppliers who might have no shares to start of with and a good milk price is alot more financially important to their business into the future, looking at the figures the new entity will have a debt burden of double tirlans with currently a third of the milk been processed by any metric that can't be a viable business



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,314 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    I would have thought so, so in effect when you include the confiscated 15% the new deal equates to 43.33% tax if you want to transfer the shares in your lifetime, but some mightn't want that to be the message. Now that doesn't include retirement relief as mentioned, which is applicable in all scenarios.

    Another "fair deal" scheme for the nursing home clients is all this is.

    Tax free my eye.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,314 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    You'd be surprised what I have a clue of, but regardless your failure to understand or clarify the reality that once again this is not a good deal but for a very small cohort is disappointing, but not surprising.

    In fairness , I gave you a great chance to put forward and clarify your position which you came on here to post first day, how you dealt with it reflects more on you than me, but I learnt a lot and thanks for your time.

    If you don't understand the question it is hard to give the answer, and when it comes to figures, top table bluff and bluster tactics won't cut it.

    The vote will go whatever way it will and we'll all be fine afterwards, the more information that's out there the better



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Just so everyone else here knows - it seems to be news to Castlekeeper that you’ve to pay CGT when you sell assets. He’s really struggling with it. If anyone could help him out. He does clearly need help.

    As for the guys talking about the debt level of the new JV… there’s projected to be €100m of debt and it’s making €70m profit annually.

    It’s like giving a guy earning €70,000/year a house mortgage of €100,000 and saying he won’t be able to pay it back



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,100 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Why are you using 2022's figure and not 2023?

    Isn't their 25 million a year needed out of this pot to get keep plants going, what where kerry plc spending previously to this on maintance, did they simply run everything into the ground to maximise profits?

    Another 7.5 million goes to Kerry plc yearly for their remaining 30% share til the co-op buys it out, why did you leave that out of your above analogy, doesn't suit your argument does it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    Well in fairness there are legitimate questions being asked regarding the sustainability of that 70 million profit figure going forward.

    First of all 10 million of it is due to not paying the leading milk price and then there is the risk of a large drop in milk supply.

    It is very likely that some of the bigger suppliers will be cherry picked by other processors and Kerry will be left with the smaller more inaccessible suppliers.

    Then lads are concerned about the CoOp being limited to one customer, Kerry Group.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,335 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    You are the only one spouting that CGT need not be paid ,just all you need to do is clarify ,will 33% CGT be due on the proceeds of the sale of Kerry Co Op shares



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    As far as I was aware it was €70m, I made it clear repeatedly that I was open to correction on the profits.

    Kerry PLC will still own 30% of the dairy business which amounts to €170m - do you think they should receive nothing in exchange for that?

    Also how long will the €25m towards the plants be for?

    If you think that young farmers won’t have the ability to repay €100m when it’s made €53m last year then you must have us all down for being total delinquents



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Oh Jesus cute George 🙈🤣 this proposed spin out will work the exact same as every spin out that ever happened before up to and including the 2013 spin out. I can’t make it any more simple than that. Can’t figure out how anyone on here ever got the idea that any share in Ireland gets different tax treatment over another share

    Most simple way to put this is that it’s the same as the spin outs pre 2013. Now if you can’t even understand that just forget about it 😂😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,298 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    the problem with the 25million is that with inflation that figure is guaranteed to rise and in 10 years time will be 35million… plants will need investment in them for as long as they will be processing milk and making ration..

    the CGT thing is avoidable if pass shares onto children but if want you to sell them yourself.. between the 15% and the 33%CGT you will lose 48% of the shares.. not a great deal looking at it that way..



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Well if the plants need €25m per year every year then they can throw their hat at the whole thing. I’d be guessing it just for a few years, if it went on for 10 years it’d just be cheaper build 1 big new plant today.

    It’s not 48% that you lose though… let’s say you’ve a €100 in your pocket, you’ve to give your friend €15 and that leaves you with €85 & then you’ve to give the taxman 1/3 of that which is €28… you end up with €57… so you lose 43% not 48%…… Yes you’re right, it’s definitely not a great deal though. The alternative is a vote for liquidation which would require 75% of just the A shareholders, with so many guys with just 1 share there is literally zero hope of that now. Given time the guys with 1 share would be running the co-op, they’d have all the sway on the board and they could issue new patronage shares etc all they’d want and the whole lot of the billions would go to them. So it’s pretty bleak if people vote no to this. I sold all my shares, I’ll be one of those young farmers coming in for the fall of the ball for everyone else’s shares so don’t be blaming me when all this goes horribly wrong



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    FTM. I think liquidation was always what you called for at meetings over the years , it’s your preferred choice ,

    You never wanted to supply kerry 2

    I do remember it said you’d sell the cows before you would supply kerry 2

    But like I said before , kerry plc and kerry co op have grounded everyone to this point ,


    suits them and is the best OUT you can achieve after all those years



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭ginger22


    Regarding the capital gains tax on sale of shares. There was an opportunity to cash in when milk quotas were abolished as that capital loss could be offset against capital gains on the shares. I took advantage of it at the time and sold shares. We had over 1 million litres of quota at the time.

    Don't know if that relief is still available to anyone who didn't take advantage of it or if it was a "use it or loose it" option.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Personally I think this tax free spin out is best for everyone.

    Hypothetically if the co-op was liquidated now people would be forced into investing their money in land to pass on their assets in a tax efficient manner.

    This option that’s on the table will mean a person can leave their shares there, if any half decent estate planning is made then the persons kids can avoid inheritance tax and hopefully by then the share price will be a lot better than it is today!

    With the management that the co-op had back then I wouldn’t have walked down the same side of the street as them, never mind supply them with milk! 🤣

    Like I’ve been saying in all my posts on here with the last week about liquidation - there is zero hope for that now

    Liquidation needs 75% of A shareholders to vote for it on the day, so many of the A’s now have 1 share or even less than 50 shares and they certainly would not vote for it

    If people don’t vote for this the shares will be left there, eventually the guys with the 1 share each will have total control of the board, I believe they’d start a new patronage share scheme. Maybe they’d run it for 1 year, give out 10 co-op shares for every 1 litre of milk produced. After the 1st year the original shareholders stake would be reduced to a mere 0.4% and the young farmers would own the co-op effectively

    People don’t understand what’s at stake. This vote is made or break. Down the line if the board is made up of guys with 1 share and the shares still aren’t spun out by then, they could go about cancelling the shares of non farming members etc…… people don’t realise the danger they’re in with these co-op shares… effectively it’s like owning shares in a company in Russia, when it comes down to it you’ve no rights.

    People would be insane to not take their money but you can’t help the helpless



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 657 ✭✭✭Jack98




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,100 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Some serious propaganda been done re the 70 million profits when you see the net profits minus depreciation for 2023



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    Look, if any of you are ready to step into the real world instead of nitpicking, consider this: Kerry Group will hold a 30% stake in this JV, valued around €170 million. They’re not setting up a JV to watch it crash and burn—no one with that kind of investment would.

    There’s €7 million per year in dividends going back to Kerry Group for their share, and the co-op has committed €25 million annually for reinvestments in the plants. So if anyone insists on using the profit figure after depreciation, by that logic, you’re suggesting that Kerry Group would knowingly engineer a situation where their €170 million stake goes bust from day one. That’s fantasy.

    Calling profit before depreciation ‘propaganda’ is a stretch. Let’s be practical—if you buy a brand-new tractor for €100k, it’ll depreciate by a set amount each year, but that depreciation won’t touch your ability to pay off your loans. The only real impact is on your tax bill. So before throwing around big terms, consider how things work in real-life business.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,254 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Depreciation means there is 21 million protected from tax. If i was a buyer I like to know how much depreciation was left to use up over the next few years. I love depreciation

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 657 ✭✭✭Jack98


    Kerry group are guaranteed 350 million from this deal and a further 37.5 million over 5 years starting in 2025 even if it went to pot that’s a pretty good outcome for them in the process getting rid of their worst margin arm of the group that they badly want off their books. Give them the benefit of the doubt the farmers are getting Kerry dairy Ireland at a knock down price out of ‘goodwill’ but it’s no secret they were desperate to offload it the last few years how come no external parties tried to buy it if it’s so lucrative?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 228 ✭✭ftm2023


    I know for a one million percent fact that there was talks in the past (10 years ago) that were in the very very early stages of a sort of link up between KCC & DG to come together to buy this dairy business. I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s some sort of merger there down the road. Kerry will have the markets & products and DG have the milk pool. It’s only speculation but I wouldn’t be surprised if that’s what happens rather than KCC buying the final 30% stake themselves.

    I also wouldn’t be surprised if KG themselves get swallowed up by their rival Givaudan, it would make a lot of sense if that were to happen and with the dairy business gone, KG will definitely be looking a lot more like a takeover target for the likes of Givaudan.

    I also hear what the young farmers are saying about getting no shares in return for their 1c/L… if the JV is voted for and does pass and the shares get spun out the new JV will pretty much be the young farmers to do as they please with it. They could issue themselves new patron shares at such a rate that they’d own the new co-op after a few years and if they so pleased they could vote to liquidate it after and sell it for hundreds of millions or who knows maybe even a billion or even float it on the stock exchange once more if the business is ran right

    What’s being proposed isn’t perfect but it’s workable and after all the years of fighting I think it’s in everyone’s best interest to look at our glasses half full



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