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Kerry Co Op Shares

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,514 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    @ftm2023 is there a difference in the tax liabilities of inheriting/being gifted a Kerry co-op share than a Kerry plc if/when they are subsequently sold by the benefactor?

    “We are all capable of believing things which we know to be untrue, and then, when we are finally proved wrong, impudently twisting the facts so as to show that we were right. Intellectually, it is possible to carry on this process for an indefinite time: the only check on it is that sooner or later a false belief bumps up against solid reality.” George Orwell.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,566 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    2019 is like a lifetime ago now… Kerry were just about able to cope with the surge in production post 2015 upto 2020.. since then milk deliveries are in decline and are only going one way for the foreseeable future.. if the NTS lads approached Kerry now.. Pat Murphy etc would no doubt be interested…

    our parlour man was here the other day and we discussed what we knew of this deal… he reckons from his travels all over Kerry servicing and repairing parlours that while Kerry have 2600 suppliers now… in 10-15 years time it will be less than a 1000 suppliers… so i think the producer group has a future



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,515 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Looking at that figure alone it's probable kerrys milk pool will be halved in 10 years time simply by natural wastage and suppliers exiting with no successor, if you compare tirlain/kerry on average milk sent per supplier yearly, tirlain is circa 670k and kerry 380k litres, theirs obviously a good chunk of kerry suppliers under 300k delivered when you take account of the larger suppliers...

    I'd say kerry plc ran a spss calculation re supplier age and litres sent accross the milk pool and have worked out their isn't anyone coming on after this cohort of men/women and its time to get out of dodge from milk processing and let the co-op take the financial hit down the line



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    Surely every coop in the whole country will be dealing with a fluctuating milk pool with the same consequences and not only Kerry.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,515 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Oldest milk supplierbase in the country combined with a very low average supplied milk means succession issues are multiplied by a factor of 2-3 in kerrys case as their isn't a viable farm to take over, when the current generation stop, it's lights out



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,514 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    I don't know, the more I think about it and read here the more this appears to be a bad deal all round and another grab by the PLC, even though there's plenty accounting going on to make it look sweet. The 15% haircut is pitched at just above the grey market to get the max out of the shareholders pot and back into the PLC pocke keeping the Co-Op gravy train rolling, while still appealing to the Bs and Cs.

    The arbitration offer should be accepted, the figure us out there now and it will be hard for them to row back on it now if challenged. Other than that, the suppliers are being offered questionable value

    The Co-Op should be liquidated, if anyone wants to transfer their shares beforehand to lessen their tax exposure, drive on.

    The PLC has to act in its shareholders best interests, except to the Co-Op section, doesn't the Co-Op have similar obligations?

    Let the PLC do the best they can with the agribusiness, many changes, as already outlined, will wash through anyway over the next decade. Maybe the producer group will have a strong role yet.

    “We are all capable of believing things which we know to be untrue, and then, when we are finally proved wrong, impudently twisting the facts so as to show that we were right. Intellectually, it is possible to carry on this process for an indefinite time: the only check on it is that sooner or later a false belief bumps up against solid reality.” George Orwell.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,344 ✭✭✭straight


    I'm a bit lost in the whole thing myself but it looks like the PLC wants to have its cake and eat it. The co-op owning 17% of the PLC is a big problem for the stock market. They want to subcontract the processing while being guaranteed their raw material and also a guaranteed dividend.

    There was plenty rumours around about how they managed to buy golden vale and newmarket.

    I wouldn't trust them as far as I could throw them.

    I don't even know if the co-op has any experience in running a business or who they are. I'd prefer a different co op to buy the processing business. At least they would know what they are doing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    thank god , people are starting to see sense at last , others need to know this message ,

    It’s a hang job for the milk suppliers



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    The probability of this JV being approved by shareholders is practically a certainty and whether the JV is a success or failure won't be a concern....B shareholders will have no more interest in attending or voting at AGMs held in the future...milk suppliers will have total control of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭ftm2023


    To set a few things straight in this thread:

    JV Profits and Management: The dairy business that we are buying a 70% stake in has profits of around €70m. Kerry PLC management will continue in their current jobs so I want to guarantee you that there will be professionals running the JV.

    @Castlekeeper: As you made it clear you want to sell your shares once getting them so a liquidation would suit you best. But let’s be realistic—liquidation hands a third of those shares to the taxman. Most shareholders prefer an option that avoids that tax burden entirely. While I’m nearly in favor of liquidation myself, I’m practical enough to know it’s not what the majority wants, especially since the current option on the table lets shareholders pass on shares to their kids with zero tax under any basic estate planning.

    @KerryCow: Yes, I get you’re upset over the 5.4c/L payment as you won’t get the top up for most of your own milk. In my personal opinion it is wrong and unfair, I’m fully on your side about it. But going back to arbitration won’t help you here, and you know why? The very people who are now pushing the producer group signed off on our current contract where it’s written down in black and white: Kerry only has to pay for your quota milk plus 20%. You can argue all day, but legally, that’s what it is. Kerry may still buy extra milk, but they aren’t obliged to.

    The Bottom Line: Some of you clearly prefer wishful thinking over facts. But cold, hard facts won’t change just because you don’t like them. If it truly is a “hang job” for milk suppliers, it’s those co-op board members that signed off on our milk contracts in 2011 that put some of you in the noose.

    There’s some people out there who sold all their own shares and had a great time doing “the big fella” with the money and they’re doing their best now to stop this JV. All they remind me of is the story of “the fox with no tail”.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 865 ✭✭✭degetme


    For young milk suppliers near other processors with 1 coop share whats in it for them only to be left paying for the joint venture and a forecasted dwindling milk supply. Kerry PLC can see the writing on the wall



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    100% of share value would be liquidated though so the shareholders would be gaining that extra 15% the coop would take away so in real cash terms it's like you'd have paid 28% CGT and receive 72% of 100% of it rather than 67% of 85% of it.

    Post edited by cap.in.hand. on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,422 ✭✭✭ginger22


    If you want the "hang job" message to get out there to everybody I would suggest writng a well worded letter to the editor of the IFJ for publication.. At the moment all the PR seems to be on the side of the JV. So it would be no harm to get the other view out there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    I know ftm would rather a liquidation , that what you proposed at all the meetings over the last number of years at every meeting , but you have come up against a wall in kerry co op , and you have now resigned yourself to the conclusion that this is the next best deal for you ,

    Totally understandable .
    and yes I am a disappointed that I am not get a top up on all my milk supplied , but if that’s the way , so be it .
    kerry plc have used us before for there advantage and are trying to do it again .
    business is business ,

    And ftm I don’t believe people are trying to block anyone from getting their shares out by jealousy .

    I know you have a massive windfall coming and best of luck to you , sometimes it’s the little fellow next door that’s the problem , the successful people and the big fella generally are not .

    I look up to progressive people and learn from them.
    and hard work should also be acknowledged



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭ftm2023


    The thing is, I’m a pragmatic businessman. This deal isn’t perfect for anyone but it’s reasonably good for everyone. Personally I would disagree about the milk suppliers being subject to a “hang job”.

    The young milk suppliers with the 1 share are having €251m of other shareholders funds used to buy this JV for them. If they can’t make a go of things after having over a quarter billion euro of other people’s money gifted to them then there’s no hope for them.

    As regards the “hang job” there’s going to be over €50m given to milk suppliers as well.

    There’s literally over €300 million on the table for milk suppliers directly… wish someone would carry out such a hang job on me personally 🤦‍♂️😂😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,566 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    in fairness having read that post that makes the deal sound like a good one… problem is guys on the fringes of Kerry catchment area will have NO loyalty to Kerry and will not want to pay anything towards JV and they will pull the plug once 2026 comes around if not before then… and if Kerry are only obliged to buy there quota + 20% and if those suppliers are producing well over that amount whats to stop them sending that extra milk else where…

    the deal wont affect farmers too much over the next 5 years and maybe 10 years but after that who knows… apparently 25million will be used to reinvest in the business annually.. with inflation that figure will rise and rise.. with suppliers leaving to other co-ops and lads pulling the plug due to age/illness etc.. and derogation being pulled which will happen for sure… all those factors mean the milk pool will shrink and could shrink quite dramatically… what then…?

    tis no wonder the PLC want out…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,515 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Some brilliant information in this article, Kerry plc will be due 7.5million a year for its remaining 30% share until the co-op stump up the 150 million for it, any milk suppliers who are not current shareholders will have no share in the new processor, but will have to contribute 1 cent a litre from 2026 towards upgrading plants etc that's estimated at 25 million a year...

    The 350 million contribution is totally dependant on prevailing share price at the time if that falls significantly 50-100 million will have to be taken on in extra debt....

    I can't see how they can pay a semblance of a competitive milk price going forward, all assumptions on the viability of this venture been solvent are based on a billion litres of milk annually and for the next 10 years remaining to be processed, if this figures drops to sub 800 our less, they'll be in a Murray Goldbern situation

    https://www.farmersjournal.ie/agribusiness/news/devil-s-in-the-details-for-kerry-deal-844162



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,422 ✭✭✭ginger22


    The thing I cant get is that milk supplies are not entitled to shares in the CoOp base on their financial contribution of 5 cents per litre over 5 years. After all the business is goosed without milk suppliers. I would assume if any suppliers move to another milk purchaser they will have to share up also but at least they will get shares for their investment. I think it is a big mistake not to try to keep milk suppliers sweet and hold onto those that have options to switch to other processors. If some suppliers leave it will start a downward spiral the it will be impossible to stop.

    I would imagine they will try to get lads to sign up to long term supplier contracts like last time. I for one wont be signing one of those. One burned and all that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭ftm2023


    Probably best we stick to facts. Fellas making up numbers about what they personally think the size of the milk pool will be in 5 or 10 years is pretty pointless. I can sit here and invent numbers to suit myself until the cows come home too. However here’s some actual facts and actual numbers to consider:

    Kerry Group bought Golden Vale at a knock down price of £200m in 2001 (€250m)

    In 2009 Breeo Foods, the consumer foods subsidiary of Dairygold, was acquired by Kerry Group for €140 million. This was another knockdown price.

    In 2010 Kerry Group bought Newmarket Co-op for a deadly bargain of €33 million

    Not taking inflation into account those 3 businesses which we’re essentially getting as part of the deal cost €423 million. According to that we’re getting Kerry’s own core dairy business for €77 million.

    If I had a half billion euro burning a hole in my back pocket I’d have no problem buying Kerry’s dairy business. We’d have the same people crying on here then if outsiders were buying it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭kerry_man15


    I thought the coop wanted to be rid of non-milk suppliers and C shareholders and that was one of the aims of the redemption scheme. Now they are happy to use their money to fund a new venture instead of letting them cash out fully. I'd imagine most B and C shareholders would rather not be contributing to it, why would they want to? They are being held to ransom, the coop are basically dipping into the pockets of those shareholders to buy a business for the milk suppliers. They already have held back millions in dividends over the years, they've already taken from those shareholders and now a 15% haircut. For any C shareholder who hung on over the past few years for this, I don't see it as such a good deal. They could have offered any non-supplier the latest value of the shares (1 coop = 6.12 PLC) as an option to cash out and given an option to invest in new venture if they wished. Remember the coop have a poor track record on investments. If I had a choice I'd rather have all my money out now.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,566 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    in fairness you cannot talk objectively about this deal as you and your family stand to gain hugely from it through yere co-op shareholding… so your opinion on it doesnt carry much weight..

    i would much rather an outsider buying it tbh… if twas arrabawn or glanbia.. they'd be increasing their scale like Kerry did with those purchases you mentioned… and we the milk suppliers would be more than likely be better off… standalone operation with a shrinking supplier base and milk pool and the need for huge investment in facilities to continue to process milk sets alarm bells ringing… Tipperary Co-op and their difficulties come to mind… again im not thinking 2 years time or 5 years time.. 10-15 years time… the average of a Kerry dairy farmer is 60.. most of them that age wont be milking in 15 years time..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭kerry cow


    I would be I wouldn’t be confident in my ability to convey the message .
    and to be honest , I will supply my milk to a new buyer and I won’t be shoring up anything to anyone ,

    There will be demand once the dust settles ,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭ftm2023


    In response to awaywithyou, Don’t know why you couldn’t try argue out any of the facts of the matter instead of making assumptions about who I am or what I have to gain.

    The reality of the situation is that the biggest shareholders have already made enough money from previous spin outs that the money from this next one will have no material impact on their life.

    The people who need this spin out are the average shareholder with 260 shares - it’s a life changing sum of money for many of them. Or the small young farmer with maybe 70 cows that are going to get €20K or so out of the 5.4c payment.

    Don’t let silly me with my facts, figures and unbiased opinion stop any of you from throwing away a good deal. I had the sense to sell all my shares before they crashed in value and invested the money in such a way that I don’t even need to work anymore.

    Go ahead though guys, vote against this and see how that works out for you all.

    Ps. A liquidation needs the support of 75% of the A shareholders & about 10% of the A shareholders only own 1 share each so good luck with that vote



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭cap.in.hand.


    In reality it's Kerry group that rewarding the Kerry coop shareholders by issuing them plc shares...Kerry coop are still entitled to be a functional coop processing milk for it's milk suppliers/shareholders...that was always their only mandate ...I don't have a problem with that...if it goes belly up in the future so be it... you'll still be a full shareholder in Kerry coop as you always were whether your A/B/C class in 2025 as your are in 2024 if approved and a bigger plc shareholder in 2025 in Kerry group.

    Post edited by cap.in.hand. on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,422 ✭✭✭ginger22


    Well in fairness it is of no consequences what Kerry paid for GV or Newmarket. What matters is what the business is worth now and its future prospects and in my mind there is no doubt that dairy is a shrinking business and I would imagine that Kerry Group believe that also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25 cowman10


    If this does go through, do the coop have to sell all of its milk to the plc? Or how is that working?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,514 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    @ftm2023 you have either missed or ignored the above query.

    If a coop share can be transferred to an inheritor with the same tax obligations as a plc share, there is no basis for your arguments.

    “We are all capable of believing things which we know to be untrue, and then, when we are finally proved wrong, impudently twisting the facts so as to show that we were right. Intellectually, it is possible to carry on this process for an indefinite time: the only check on it is that sooner or later a false belief bumps up against solid reality.” George Orwell.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭ftm2023


    Castlekeeper… the point you’re attempting to make is so ridiculous I didn’t deem it worthy of a reply initially.

    As things stand you can inherit a co op share the same as a plc share, however to extract any value from the co op share you’d then have to sell it on the grey market to a pension fund for €400 or else pay income tax on it. Also, you seem keen on liquidation per some of your posts. That needs 75% of the A shareholders. You’ll never ever get that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,422 ✭✭✭ginger22


    I would have thought that you could inherit a CoOp share @ 1 Euro nominal value but PLC share are whatever they are worth on the day of transfer, or am I missing something.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,514 ✭✭✭Castlekeeper


    Ridiculous in that in undermines the very basis on which this proposal is being pitched?

    Tax free yadda yadda when the exact same option currently exists.

    The tax exemption is an inheritance clause right?

    This applies equally to all inheritances, right?

    The co-op shareholder can will or transfer their co-op shares tomorrow regardless of this deal.

    The co-op can be then unwound in the most beneficial way for all its shareholders in its own time including liquidation.

    In the meantime shareholders can sell their shares on the grey market for €400-560 and pay 0-56% tax on them depending on how their circumstances, or 0-33% based on liquidation.

    No 15% rip off by the coop/plc needed.

    As for the 75% vote, you made a strong case at the start for calling the shareholders a bunch of lemmings even when it's against their own interests, so why not put the liquidation option on the ballot card come on big day?

    You've nothing to lose?

    Let Kerry PLC do their own thing, BAU.

    “We are all capable of believing things which we know to be untrue, and then, when we are finally proved wrong, impudently twisting the facts so as to show that we were right. Intellectually, it is possible to carry on this process for an indefinite time: the only check on it is that sooner or later a false belief bumps up against solid reality.” George Orwell.



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