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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    'You have to take him seriously but not literally' is really just a way to give Trump a free pass on anything he says which is controversial, which is a considerable number of things.

    If you don't take someone literally, you're left trying to apply a subjective filter to assess the true meaning of what the speaker is saying. This would be one thing for a writer speaking in allegory, but another for a politician where there are potentially serious consequences behind their words.

    You could, theoretically, back out of any promise you make with that conceit and lose no stock with the supporters who say seriously but not literally. You could promise to build 2 million new homes, only build 50,000 and then say, 'well, I didn't literally mean 2 million homes…'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,435 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    No rational person with Palestine as a priority would have favored trump, most of those bashing the democrats Israel response will now slink away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 950 ✭✭✭thegame983


    They're probably lurking in the background, reporting posts and trying to get people banned.

    Mod Edit: Warning issued for uncivil posting.

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    I'm absolutely not justifying the exploitation of illegal migrants - and surely one of the objections to a business employing illegal migrants is the risk that they are being brought in by gangs to whom they have become so indebted that they are in effect slaves, albeit not to the employer? The gang leaders are the ones who take most of their pay and keep them housed in appalling conditions.

    If the employer knowingly closes his eyes to that, then he is complicit with the gangs - but a private individual employing, say, a gardener or a nanny, might know or suspect that the person is undocumented but is not necessarily exploiting them. Certainly no more than the US government that takes their taxes anyway.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Whatever about Irish supporters, who don't matter to the US anyway, what on earth were US supporters of Palestine thinking when they were out marching about "Genocide Joe" and complaining that Kamala Harris was just more of the same?

    I wonder how they're going to describe whatever Trump has planned for Israel and Gaza? It has to be worse than "genocide", clearly - if that's what Joe Biden was supporting.

    Maybe we need to coin a new word altogether?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The reasons for Harris's loss are far more easier to understand then the reasons for Trump's win.

    So the real question for America going forward is not why Harris lost, it's an election it happens and has always happened, the pertinent question is why did someone who by every single metric is unfit to govern and should be in prison, Win. We can disregard his policies, because someone in the BBC tried to collate something coherent from his soundbites, and it basically boils down to Tariffs on China and EU. So clothes and medicine will increase in prices for Americans, so they will be worse off. The natural progression from this will be more robust trade deals between China and EU, again further leaving America behind.

    It's absolutely remarkable that states who had a vote to overturn the abortion ban, said no to the ban but yes to man who brought in the ban.

    The Democratic Party are glacial at the best of the times to change, but it isn't really them that has the identity crisis going forward.

    When / If Trump finishes his presidency, that will be effectively 13 years of MAGA, Trump and all the associate damage that brings with. We just had 4 years of public fighting with the GOP.

    The electorate and the American people will be exhausted to the point of exacerbation.

    Just remember the reasons for Trump running.

    1. Stay out of prison
    2. Revenge on Biden and the Judiciary
    3. Enrich himself and his family.

    What America or American geopolitically looks like in 4 years time will be anyone's guess, but much like his first term and Brexit, the buyers remorse will be savage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    I think the next 4 years of Trump will be far more boring than the majority thinks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,453 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “The reasons for Harris's loss are far more easier to understand then the reasons for Trump's win.”

    You never ask the easy questions do you? 😀

    I’m not even sure sociologists or psychologists between them could explain it-

    “Time” normally re-sets even “the crowd” - but it hasn’t. And arguably they’re more entrenched than they ever were before, even knowing the illegal acts he did.

    Maybe asking the question, what are the tenets that these republicans hold in great regard, would be a starting point?


    I’m not an American - like most I have American relatives - but I don’t know America well enough to start thinking like a Republican. Did Democrats just go too far left? Have changes in culture, values, norms and attitudes emerge in such a radical form throughout America, that Republicans are saying, “enough is enough”- we don’t want this to go any further?

    Maybe an over arching “feeling” against what Democrats now stand for an hold up as representing them, is too much for Republicans to take - the archetype of a Democrat is just repulsive to them- so it’s far more important to them to field a candidate they believe will win against this archetype , than it is, to question and “vet” this candidates character - the end then justifies the means .


    Thats my best effort I’m afraid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,863 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    It's absolutely remarkable that states who had a vote to overturn the abortion ban, said no to the ban but yes to man who brought in the ban.

    Is it though? Abortion is not the be-all and end-all of politics, even for pro-choice women. There are clearly large numbers of moderately conservative women out there who basically agreed with Harris about abortion but did not vote for her because other issues, ahem, Trumped reproductive rights for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,872 ✭✭✭satguy


    Maybe now Trump will stop some of this crap ..

    John Deere reported a profit of over $10bn in fiscal year 2023 and its CEO John May received $26.7m

     

    While jobs are moved down to Mexico and USA plants are shut down. Things like this are why Trump is now President again.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,008 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    This more than anything, literally very little else to do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 571 ✭✭✭MurDawg


    The house looks very interesting atm...

    If the dems can squeeze 215ish it's not a bad result



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The only crap is an imbecile shouting about a company and a market he doesn't understand so he can garner votes from people who don't have the capacity to critically think about any issue.

    Farming income is set to decline this year by quarter, ironically one of the reasons for this, is more adverse weather from climate change. It's almost like companies that produce farming equipment would know their market and suitably adjust output for it.

    If Trump actually wanted to counteract this he could backfill it with subsidies or subsidise the company itself, you know kind of like socialism. He might also not stop any green tech funding which will in the future help to slow climate change and increase the yields in farms.

    Anyway as expected everything Trump said about John Deere was a complete lie another work of fiction the dangerously stupid swallowed without question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    He will, he'll reduce the corporate tax rate by 6%, so another 600mil for the company to pay out in dividends, stock buybacks and bonuses.

    Then add tariffs so the US farmers pay more for their equipment and the profit margins on the equipment increase, which will be more and more profits for the company on which they pay less tax on. Win-win for companies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,686 ✭✭✭riddles


    The amazing thing is the average punter believes they are living in a democracy and their chosen character is concerned about them.

    The makeup of US democracy has mean’t the House, Senate, and presidency end up to competing with one another, to curb each other’s power, and in that competition disable the will of the people as in the case of Obama where his campaign of change turned into a lame duck presidency.

    The house and the senate have been hijacked by business vested interests and the presidency largely a marketing exercise.
    Trump maybe slightly different as he is not concerned about re-election and has no morale compass of any description but will be manipulated by Musk and his cronies who have their own agenda.

    The Democratic Party is in a rich persons celebrity bubble of nonsense and largely the reason the average punter believes whatever alternative Trump represents anything has to better than the current setup.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    If he signs a federal abortion ban the effect will be the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,157 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    Quite a good synopsis on why Harris lost.

    An electorate sick and tired of being spoken at and labelled derogatory things.

    Tired of the Democrats playing identity politics.

    He is right to say the Democrats need to retool and get back to first principles, even in their strongest states like New York and California, Trump made huge gains over the 2020 election.

    Its a vote for a return to normality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    I’m not an American - like most I have American relatives - but I don’t know America well enough to start thinking like a Republican. Did Democrats just go too far left? Have changes in culture, values, norms and attitudes emerge in such a radical form throughout America, that Republicans are saying, “enough is enough”- we don’t want this to go any further?

    Biden is a centrist that leans right, he has more in common with Mitch McConnell then he does with Bernie Sanders.

    The charge against Harris was she wouldn't come out from under Biden and chart her own path.

    I can't really see what new policies the Democrats had that would be consider too far left of centre, too far left of loon maybe.

    In conservative or post conservative Ireland the things we consider left or progressive have long been established norms in America.

    The Democrats basically are the guard rail in America for anything resembling a true left party emerging there.

    The only thing that could be considered anything "new left" would be essentially under pinning equality rights for the likes of Trans people.

    As for immigration, the Democrats have never really shifted position on this, neither really the Republicans who championed immigration and mass amnesty because it was good for business, well they didn't shift until Trump arrived. McCain and Bush co signed legislation for an effective amnesty for 10-12 million undocumented, the Democrats blocked it. A lot of conservatives didn't like it either not because migrants were eating the cats and dogs but because they felt migrants would vote Democrat.

    Regan and Bush SNR both opposed borders and favoured more for amnesty, because it was good for business, good for jobs and good for communities.

    Immigration was never seen a looney left idea in America, full stop.

    Now what Trump did and did quite successfully was blame migrants for all Americas ills, complete nonsense, but that's what the guy does.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Trump made huge gains over the 2020 election

    Trumps vote pretty much stayed the same with some marginal gains.

    Less people turned out to vote for Democrat. They stayed at home.

    I don't think anyone is surprised by this in New York given the absolute embarrassment of their Ex-Governor and soon to be Ex-Mayor.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,899 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    And which senators are going to risk their careers for voting for one to put on the desk of a President who has said he won't back it?

    The ones from states like Missouri where abortion was just protected and whose newly elected senator ran on "no national ban?"

    And if in the unlikely event it passed would the enforcement be any better than the national ban on marijuana is going?

    In the overall assessment of probable effect of likely outcomes, I think most voters are going to put "abortion ban over our state wishes" pretty low.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,362 ✭✭✭trashcan


    Saw Kyle Kulinsky say online that he’d read a piece where Republicans were shown Trumps policies and Harris’s policies “Blind” Something like 80% preferred Harris policies, so I think that assertion is very questionable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 678 ✭✭✭engineerws


    Glad to see that Kamala who is part of the genocidal regime responsible for murdering around 200,000 Palestinians has got the boot. Hopefully the slaughter will end as Trump professed. I'll be glad when he's given the boot too. Hopefully the democrats will learn and put forward a non genocide candidate in four years.

    I was disappointed to see Jill Stein get such a small share of the vote. As I said previously, if I was American, I would have voted for her.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,441 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    Saying the Democrats went too far left when they basically welcomed the Cheneys in (one of the most conservative families in politics).

    Being too right or too left meant nothing in this election, just ask the Tories who got destroyed just few months ago on same issues and nobody surely could accuse them of being "too left"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,356 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    You state the Democrats are a rich person bubble and why people went the other way. But a couple of lines above you talk about Musk and the cronies.do you not see been a hypocrite with that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,588 ✭✭✭Cody montana




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    That really isn't surprising, considering Trumps policies either didn't exist or were mental.

    On inflation Trump said he would deliver lower rates by deporting migrants and increase blanket Tariffs, which by every single metric is inflationary.

    On Health, he didn't actually have anything, he planned to plan something. Harris said she would continue the monthly cap on prescriptions.

    On Guns, Harris said she was gun owner, Trump ranted and raved but didn't confirm if he has or not. Given now he is a convicted felon he probably can't own one.

    On the economy, Harris wanted a moderate increase on taxation of people earning 400k+ whilst extending other tax credits, Trump wanted to build on his tax cuts from 2017 costing trillions which favoured the richest in America.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Unfortunately in America at the minute the more you arm Israel the more votes you garner.

    It's one of the reasons Trump made gains in NY, Jews switched their vote because they believed Biden wasn't doing enough for Israel and Harris would do less.

    There was basically an Add running on repeat on all the networks for the past 3 months pushing Democratic Jews to vote Trump, not paid for by Trump, but endorsed by him.

    Considering Trump said the only problem with Israel was they are not committing the genocide fast enough, it's not really surprising.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    But were they shown ALL of them, or a careful selection of some of them?

    Because the question is not just "Do you like more of candidate A's policies?" but also "Are there any of candidate B's policies that are a red line for you?"

    Also, remember that Trump didn't actually increase his vote, Kamala lost votes because people didn't turn out for her. So again, a useful analysis would need to consider why that happened.

    But of course, if what someone's really trying to do is to prove that their candidate was better and that they only lost because the voters are stupid, cherrypicking voters opinions is exactly what you'd expect.

    It's just a pity because until the Democrats actually begin to question themselves and their policies, rather than continuing to despise everyone else, the Republicans are likely to be in power for a loooong time. For example:

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    It's just a pity because until the Democrats actually begin to question themselves and their policies

    Which policies specifically?

    Trump didn't really have any and the ones he did were just nonsensical.

    Democratic ones were pretty much centrist.

    The only one that could have been seen as any way left is legalising weed, but it is probably the only policy both parties largely agreed on.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,356 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    With the Republicans (and MAGA) having the President, House and Senate ìt could be a mad 2 years until the midterms. Trump is lazy so would do nothing. Its those around him



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