Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

The betting seems to be swinging back toward Trump today after tightening over the weekend.

Looks like it I saw below on BBCs coverage.

Women are turning out in large numbers: In the six states that report gender data, women are casting 54.2% of the early ballots so far, which is higher than in 2020 exit polls

From the polls coming out late last week and over the weekend I was nervous. But one thing I could not understand was North Carolina, where Harris lead Trump by 2%. If Georgia, Arizona Michigen and Pennsylsvania were so close how come Harris had North Carolina. It had me stumped. Georgia could be put down to the storms. I was putting tge rest mainly down to Musk PAC flooding Penn&Mich but North Carolina had me stumped.

I had seen a few reports about his rallys not being attended and a poor ground operation by the GOP. In the end I was putting it down to Musks spending.

The Selzars poll came out but first I taught an outlier but after reading a bit about her history and Kansas's numbers I think while money may be swaying the Mich&Penn election the rest of the country has moved on and it was not noticed as there was little presidential polls other than national and swing states. I think that national polls have been loaded for to allow for historically shy Trump supporters. However MAGA's may no longer be shy and the shy independents ha e been moving towards Harris

I calling it for Harris. I think she may well lose Mich, Penn, Ariziona and Georgia but Iowa and North Carolina get her to 277. But it dose not stop there. I do not think she will lose all four I think she will snatch one or two of them. Furthermore if Iwoa flips then Florida probably will and Texas and Ohio could as well although I think Texas and Ohio are unlikely. The Maine second congressional district should flip as well.. I think Harris will be over 300 electoral votes

I do not think he will. First off Fox News will be much more circumspect this time. Dominion took 750 million off tgemmthe last time and are collecting from one or two more as well Rudi has lost everything over his attack on election workers. Even if it's close any protests in Washington will see the National Guard on standby. Lightening dose not strike twice. Last time Trump was president if he loses the GOP will want to move on fast

Anyone who thinks the customer wont have the tariff sum added onto their bill by the seller is stupid. It'll be like the charge added to the bill here by the delivery company when your purchase has been cleared by customs. No pay, no delivery.

No it swinging away from him. These anyway are crypto type bets and the market provider just takes a percentage. I say MAGA's are big into gambling

Mod Note:

Edit to remove post / picture link dump.

Don't see the humour in murdering children.

Kamala is a woman that has been part of a regime that has given $27 billion to Israel to conduct genocide. I don't really understand how people can ignore her record let alone support her. The ICC should issue an arrest warrant for her and Biden.

Yeah because Donnie would obviously help.

You'll have to wait until the ICC gets around to the arrest warrant for President Trump, he started committing war crimes the first week in office:

Killing Civilians in Record Numbers

The Trump administration began to kill civilians over inaugural weekend, with two drone strikes in Yemen that claimed 10 lives. One drone struck three people on a motorcycle. The other hit seven people riding in a car. Neither Trump nor Defense Secretary James Mattis admits to having approved the strikes. It is not clear who authorized them.

One week after his inauguration, Trump bemoaned the death of a US Navy Seal in a botched raid he personally ordered in southern Yemen. Trump made no mention of the 30 people, including at least 10 women and children, killed by the US bombers. The attack badly damaged a health facility, a school and a mosque.

Over the past month, the US-led coalition has killed an inordinate number of civilians.

“Almost 1,000 non-combatant deaths have already been alleged from coalition actions across Iraq and Syria in March — a record claim,” according to Airwars, a non-governmental organization (NGO) that monitors civilian casualties from airstrikes in the Middle East. “These reported casualty levels are comparable with some of the worst periods of Russian activity in Syria.”

Airwars says that US aircraft have inflicted most of the casualties in the coalition strikes.

Indeed, so many civilians have died from coalition airstrikes since Trump took office, Airwars is reducing its work on “alleged Russian actions in Syria — so as best to focus our limited resources on continuing to properly monitor and assess reported casualties from the US and its allies.”

During the last part of March alone:

— US drones bombed a mosque in Aleppo, Syria, claiming at least 47 civilian lives.

— US aircraft bombed homes, a school and a hospital in Tabqah, Syria, killing 20 civilians.

— A US-led coalition airstrike on a school that was housing 50 families displaced by the fighting near Raqqa, Syria, killed at least 33 civilians.

— A US airstrike in Mosul, Iraq, killed more than 200 people, causing the largest loss of civilian life since the United States began bombing ISIS in Syria and Iraq in 2014. The attack was approved somewhere in the Middle East, according to US defense officials, probably by a one-star general or a team working under her or him.

https://truthout.org/articles/donald-trump-s-war-crimes/

Then there are the SEALs he pardoned for what else? Committing war crimes. Arguably a war crime in itself, failing his Duty to Punish.

https://digitalcommons.wcl.american.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2049&context=auilr

Oh, and you'll also have to wait for the ICC to issue arrest warrants to Congress, since they appropriated the money, not the White House. It's the Appropriations Clause. They'd arrest the House Speaker first, see. After all, it was Republicans who held Ukraine's defense aid ransom until their demands to fund Israel's war machine were met, forcing it to be passed as a joint spending bill. So your indignation is misplaced and not at all righteous.

Yes, but it rests on two questions. Has the Selzer poll correctly gauged voter intention in Iowa? Does this voter mood exist in isolation within that state?

In the past, this poll has signalled doom for the Clinton campaign in 2016 where the numbers in Iowa were worse than her team anticipated, and this carried over to other states. The potential prescience of this poll is what is giving cause for nerves on Trump's side and cause for optimism on Harris's.

"What he meant was…"

Saw this yesterday.

Explaining tariffs to Trump voter

She's a genocidal maniac that sees no problem in supporting the extermination of the Palestinian people. What could Trump possibly do that is worse?

Trump for all his warts seems to find murdering children disgusting. He's not into it. He's doesn't like murdering babies. He's not committed.

Kamala is married to a Zionist. Aipac money supporting the mother of all ghouls. Kamala the puppet will say whatever her masters tell her to say.

It's very sad, it's turned into anti abortion versus pro genocide with a dose of Dr Stein on the side.