Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

One final analysis has Harris up a fair bit...

Are people really that thick? The causes of inflation over the last 4 years are well documented and available to all - you’d really need to get your head examined if you were to believe prices are up solely due to the democrats

Donald Trump’s running mate, Ohio senator JD Vance, made one final visit to the key swing state of Wisconsin before election day where he urged voters to back the Republican ticket even if “you don’t agree with everything that Trump says.”

“You don’t have to agree with everything that I say, every policy proposal that we have. But what we know is that when Donald Trump was president, you could afford to pay your bills.”

https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2024/nov/04/donald-trump-kamala-harris-us-election-polls-latest-live-news

After all the twists and turns, rallies, debates and interviews, polls and analysis, it feels a bit surreal that the election day is finally upon is.

The penchant he has for that weird makeup is just downright peculiar. It really is off putting. I'm, genuinely, at a loss as to how anyone could think that that kind of thing would be a good look? And he makes a conscious decision to apply this every day.

It really is terribly distracting because my eyes just keep getting drawn to it and my brain just keeps asking why does he do it, when there's so many other options open to him. Surely a man as rich as Trump would be able to afford makeup people that could do his makeup in a less disconcerting way?

If this is true then Trump is in serious trouble.

I know a lot of people have already voted but Trump was filling rallies when there was no election on, people go to see their idol.

If they no longer idolise him them they're not gonna vote for him

THe Kansas poll could be showing that the Iowa is not an outlier. Having said that the Kansas poll has a small sample size of around 600.

The Iowa poll by Ann Selzer is highly respected. She has called the state right for a significant time. The last time she was incorrect was Bush/Kerry, however right after her poll Bush held a substantial rally there.

There is a suspicion that polls are overcorrecting for Trump and there is a significant number of polls that are tampered with. If Kansas is out by the margin of error of 3-5% it's still trouble for Trump. It means N Carolina, Nevada are both with Harris if Iowa swings to Harris and Georgia holds Trump still losescevenmif he hold all three blue wall states.

The GOP money of Musk was concentrated on Pennsylsvania mainly as they had taught that Ariziona was in the bag and either Georgia or Michigen would fall there way as well

However Iowa poll is showing that N Carolina could be a state that Trump and Co did not realise was a swing state as well and Kansas Poll is backing this up, if Iwoa falls the red wall crumbles

Then the real danger for the GOP is the house and Senate could both go as well

I checked the Kansas result from 2020 and trump won by 14 points so for a GOP candidate, no poll should be that close.

.. Please wait, generating spin to explain this..

The Vance boast "when Trump was president, you could afford to pay your bills" is a bit rich [no pun intended] given Trump's record on paying his bills.

It seems Musks millionaires were preselected. He was not giving away millions. Why are we not surprised

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-updates/2024-election-updatesharris-trump-scramble-votes-frenzied-final?id=115455767&entryId=115476600

Nah, I'd prefer not to be seeing it.

I'd sooner people were motivated right up to the end to go vote instead of thinking it is in the bag.

This time in 2016, Trump was planning on flying to Scotland for a week after the result was announced, he himself was that sure of losing.

This last minute shift to 'Aw it was Kamala all along' from the pollsters has me thinking at least some of them are trying to save their reputation.

I'm not really a betting guy, but I had a quick look on the paddypower website. There doesn't seem to be a way to bet on Harris winning the pop vote and the electoral vote. Which would suggest they're just chucking up odds on something something Trump. I think she will walk it.

If those US voters dont like their bills now wait until they see them with the Trump tariff tax added.

Because Trump is Love. Trump is Life. Hail to Lord Trump. Loyalty to Trump trumps all.