Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

I'm gonna stick my neck on the chopping board for this and I know…I know I will be called stupid/deluded/insane but I thing this is going to be a Harris win in a landslide. The American people are not stupid and I include a section of the mad maga mob in that. I believe they will see through all the lies/bluster of the orange idiot and go big for Harris.

If I'm reading that correctly, that would give Harris winning all:
PA +2pt
MI +8pt
WI +2pt

PA & WI seems to be on par with the current polling, MI seems the outlier.

how much would Harris have to win by to make any legal challenges by trump pointless??

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/trump-2024-campaign-lewandowski-conway/680456/

A fascinating article on the game of thrones like machinations inside the Trump campaign. Various factions battling for control, funds goings missing and the realisation that when Trump does and says nothing his polling numbers get better, when he speaks, when they let Trump be Trump, the numbers aren’t so good.

Did he wreck everything the last time he was in charge?

There were mistakes made during COVID but that applies to every single political leader in the world during that period.Nothing really changed for the good or bad during his previous term yet apparently if he gets in now it'll be the worst thing that will ever happen,just like him winning in 2016 was the worst thing that could ever happen when in reality it made little difference to anything.

He only filled the thoughts of people who are ridiculously obsessed with him and seem to want to blame him for everything wrong with the world.

If she takes Texas of Florida, it's done and dusted. Very unlikely she will take either mind, so aside from that. If she has 3+ victories in a number of swing states then Trump isn't going to overturn that.

Marc E Elias has been doing trojan work the last 4 years in challenging Republican acts in multiple states to influence how elections might be carried out, supervised or how the electorate could participate.

uhh..

crashed economy.

Stacked the SCOTUS with political hacks, leading to things like the Chevron defense being defenestrated.

Various corrupt/incompetent cabinet secretaries and agency heads getting up to mischief (EPA, Dept of Education).

Just trying to remember.

Who did trump et al explicitly piss off.

1. Gay people (Vance's normal gay people comment)
2. Transgender (operations in school)
3. Puerto Rico (eating the dogs)
4. Jews (head examined)
5. Women (anti abortion etc)

Who else do we have?

Military - lots of insults especially to 4-star generals (he wants Generals like Hitler had.)

Democrats - scum.

Puerto rico was the island of trash. It was Haitians eating the pets.

Did he wreck everything the last time he was in charge?

• He made America take backward steps with respect to identifying the need for climate action with his pulling out of the Paris Climate accord.
• He undermined NATO significantly which is relevant with respect to Russia's actions in Ukraine.
• He emboldened Saudi Arabia with being weak in response to their killing of Jamal Khashoggi.
• He emboldened Israel with the moving of the US embassy to Jerusalem.
• He disturbed the Middle East with the pulling out of the Iran Nuclear deal.
• He facilitated the emergence of populist rhetoric that significantly influenced government strategy and environments in the UK, Ireland, Europe and beyond.
• He criminally mismanaged Covid, but in real time, and prior to it though the disbanding of the Pandemic preparation office.
• He stoked the fires of racial and public/police division in the US throughout his Presidency.
• He promised a lot, and delivered very little on these promises.
• He significantly undermined faith in the US electoral process.
• He harmed the perceived dignity of the office of US President.
• He massively encouraged the undermining of intellectual processes and procedures specifically relating to proven vaccines.

Most Presidents have things they shouldn't be proud of (Biden should never be revered in Ireland again after his support of a Genocide by Israel) but Trump was, by a distance, the worst president of my lifetime thus far.

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Wow- interesting perspective on how Harris has neglected the Arab American vote and the young students throughout the country who have protested in collage campuses .

“Harris is repeating the exact same mistake, but, in addition to alienating Michigan [which has one of the highest number of Muslim voters in the US], she’s alienated the youth vote, too, by patronising and dismissing the student protesters who have been on the streets and campuses protesting what's happening in the Middle East.

“Her messaging has been nothing short of ghoulish, effectively telling voters: “I know you don’t like genocide, but don’t you want cheaper groceries?” 

This one likely hurts a lot and it’s not far from the truth given their very unbrave approach to the Israel Gaza conflict:.

“With Biden a bungling afterthought, Harris has proven herself equally as complicit, and so managed what once seemed unthinkable — posit the hitherto cartoonish Trump as an anti-war candidate.”

From alienating the ethnic and especially Muslim vote, to no longer having relevance to the blue collar worker , considering it’s the swing states that will decide, I won’t be surprised if Harris loses this election

https://www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/commentanalysis/arid-41507450.html

1. Gay people (Vance's normal gay people comment)
2. Transgender (operations in school)
3. Puerto Rico (eating the dogs)
4. Jews (head examined)
5. Women (anti abortion etc)
6. Military - lots of insults especially to 4-star generals (he wants Generals like Hitler had.)
7. Democrats - scum.
8. Puerto rico was the island of trash. It was Haitians eating the pets.

Adding the following

1. Muslims (Shithole countries)
2. Journalists (The enemy of the people)
3. Palestinians (Bibi should finish the job)
4. Ukranians (They're going to have to give up some ground)
5. Centrist Republicans (They're all RINO's)
6. Doctors (Undermined proven healthcare)

Very good post and all solid political reasons to not vote for Trump.

Another opinion columnist, with an obvious agenda, who doesn't get it:

two choices: Harris, or Trump. Which will be better for Gaza? I don't think there's much doubt.

The Paris Climate accord thing is a load of nonsense.China , India etc are doing whatever they like and ignoring all supposed climate action , it's just a form of virtue signalling staying in it.

Nothing wrong with populist rhetoric, that is what democracy is supposed to be although some people feel we should just listen to our "betters" in the media and politics do what they tell us.