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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    I don't think your opinion is irrelevant, do you? That's all I asked for, your opinion on a man that was born with a silver spoon in his mouth, who avoided getting called up 5 times during a war, calling out someone for not putting themselves in the front line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    No. You clearly said President Biden stepped down. Its OK to be wrong my man. Its called growth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,611 ✭✭✭Rawr


    ”I’m not a Trump fan but…”

    Unfortunately I think Trump is gonna win this guys…”

    In the world of “Centrists” and some Trump supporters, I get the sense of some people who would absolutely celebrate a Trump win, also want the freedom to meet a Trump loss and say “Phew! That was close guys. *Nudge *Nudge Good News, right?”

    They simply cannot belong to the losing side and much like the scruples in general of a supporter of Donnie, they may also lack the courage of their own convictions. Next week may enlighten many.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    I think Ricky Gervais summed up these celebrity endorsements perfectly with his tweet a while back,

    "Hi guys, Ricky G. here, wellness and beauty influencer. As a celebrity, I know all about stuff like science and politics. So trust me when I tell you who you should vote for."

    "If you don't vote the right way, that's like a hate crime. And it makes me sad and angry, and I'll leave the country. And you don't want that."

    Most of these celebrities are hypocrites and fakes, drunk on their own self importance.

    Lecturing the public, lecturing the working classes.

    Its extremely insulting how little they think of their fans intelligence that they would ask them to vote for a preferred candidate instead of trusting peoples own judgement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭yagan


    From an outsider view both candidates are bad for Palestinians, plus Biden carried over Trump's Chyna bashing and his near and friend shoring policies are pushing the likes of Taiwan to create workarounds so they don't lose a massive chunk of the income.

    Anyway the trend is firmly destructive insular politics and the US will be even more divided regardless of who wins.

    The world is already moving on.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,432 ✭✭✭eeepaulo


    CNN have the magic wall on the app, i can be john king



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    I think that your sense is off. Imo. Which is allowed.

    And I'm not a fan of Trump. Doesn't mean I have to blindly accept Harris fan group think.

    My initial observations still stand. Pete Buttegieg would have won this, been change and great. And that's not disparaging for ellipsis warriors. That's my genuine political opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    So you're referring to a celebrity lecturing us to backup your point? Right so. Anyway, anything to say about election fraud?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,276 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Oh that’s beautiful - he really nails it for what it is - and considering it’s the poor and underprivileged right now that are the target for influencing I’d say the one thing that would tip them towards Trump is a Tone deaf celebrity



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So far you have claimed belief in a Deep State.

    You claim to believe that there was a large amount election fraud.

    You copy and pasted the opinions of a twitter feed that exposes anti vaxx nonsense and supports Alex Jones.

    These are conspiracy theories and falsehoods.

    You have not once addressed these issues.

    You then falsely accuse others of believing conspiracy theories.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Erm, just who has been in power for the last 4 years - and what party has been in the white house for 75% of the last 16 years

    tell me you don’t know how the federal government works without telling me you don’t know how the federal government works.

    Tell me how many years Democrats have been in clear control of the federal budget.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Again. Trump trots out his own celebrities.

    You guys won't explain how this is different.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,276 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Rallies are very important to Trump as they are his sounding board on how his comments are going down- he says X, crowd don’t react much- he says Y, crowd go wild - “Y” it is - he’s been doing that for years now - his rallies are his sounding board for what he feels MAGA wants - he could well say something that doesn’t go down well but he’s not speaking to the nation when he’s doing that- he’s speaking to the crowd in front of him- they’re influencing what he then goes on to repeat and repeat at other rallies - it’s actually quite clever - Trump doesn’t care about how his comment “looked” or “sounded”- as long as it goes down well with MAGA he’s happy out.

    As for Biden, I dunno - I think he probably despises the hate that MAGA instills in people - I don’t blame him - he likely had the extreme MAGA fanatic in mind when saying it - whilst not the cleverest of moves from a political campaigning help towards Harris, TBH I kinda respect it too 😀



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,993 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    And that makes sense but as with favourite teams, personalities, hope for the long shot, not everyone places bets based on the facts. Happens every week with sports teams, horse racing etc, every week. My numbers will be off but memory tells me that in horse racing, the favourite wins 35% of the time, with it increasing for flat racing (less risk) to I think 60%. The wisdom of the crowds is indicative but is never a sure thing.

    Like I said, odds tell you were the money is going. For sports events it is skewed by fans and people chasing the money (and in rare cases, people with large volumes of money shifting the odds, but this is rare).

    If we went with the odds being guaranteed predictor for any event, then there would not be odds. Kamala for example was not far off the same odds as Trump not that long ago, does that mean if we had the vote that day it would have been a dead heat? Then it shifted to Trump being the favourite after some large bets. Do those 4 bets mean that if called that day, it would have been his, they may have been singular wealthy people or groups? For the last few days, pretty much since payday, the odds have been shifting back, still in favour of Trump (and significantly so) but the indication is that smaller bets are being placed in favour of Kamala, dropping from 1.625:1, to 1.6:1(when I got it) to 1.375:1 this morning.

    Does this mean her chances of winning are more likely, absolutely not, all it means is that in the the last few days, more money has been going on to her for a win, nothing else. I could do a trading places discussion on it, about how it is that the person ain't buying bacon, we could all come up with reasons, they may be right or wrong but the only fact, is that more money is on Trump than Kamala, that difference is changing, but tomorrow it could change again the other way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    there is some rich irony in using a celebrity to endorse your own argument about celebrity endorsements

    Something about double standards…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    We actually agree on a lot of things.

    Then how is she not trouncing him? It can't be that he's fascist and his supporter's are too. Or racist. I think that's lazy commentary. Harris is losing it, rather than Trump winning it.

    This thread goes around in circles.

    II'll give my personal opinion. I am a Pete fan. And I think it's despicable how the party acted both before and after the infamous debate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    you think the race is close because you like Pete? That doesn’t make sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    We do not know if she is trouncing him or not.

    The polls have been interfered with.

    The betting market has been gamed.

    We will only know in a few weeks if she trounced him or not.

    There is absolutely no chance America is ready for a gay president. There are far, far too many Christians bigots that would do everything in their power to not get him elected. People would absolutely go broke trying to prevent it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    Then you didn't read my post.

    I think it's close is because she is the VP. An arguably very meh VP this time last year. I think that any other candidate resoundingly beats Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    a bit late for that talk lol

    And no Pete would never have won 2024. Too young politically and if America isn’t done with its bigotry with women of color what makes you think it’s ready to elect a gay president? Id happily see him run again but his time is not now. A mayor and a DOT secretary, he has way too little experience in foreign affairs yet.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,434 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Its interesting that people talk in the present tense, trouncING.

    We have really no idea. The polls and the betting markets are at odds. The betting markets and the early voting stats (not really stats, but anecdotal estimates) are at odds too.

    It was never going to be a Reagan '84. But really I think that women and minorities are going to swing the northern swing states for Harris. Possibly all 7.

    But gun to my head; I'll say Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Georgia for Harris; North Carolina and Arizona for Trump. 292 to 246 for Harris.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    If Harris wins, Trump will still likely get more votes than any other previous Republican candidate. He has destroyed all the other GOP candidates in all 3 races.

    To pretend that is all the "Dem's fault" is to pretend that US voters have no agency in who they choose.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,418 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    I miss Ricky when he was funny.

    Every year now in his new Netflix deal he just talks about how he has been cancelled.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,684 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    How can you be a 'meh' VP? All VPs are 'meh', they have all been invisible, except for Mike Pence on Jan 6.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,276 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Women maybe but minorities too? I would have thought they’re split at this point on where their loyalties lie - 4 years ago absolutely minorities but I think the distance between Harris and Trump on that audience have closed considerably compared to the past and their vote is not at all certain - 10k votes could swing it either way given how polls are so close



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    In effect, the Dems had no agency in who they chose. That's the element I'm focused on.

    My point still remains is that DT seems to have energised black voters and men in particular. I dont think they were necessarily on his side initially. Its what irked the Obamas to such a degree.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    A bit late. I know.

    Dt had no experience in foreign affairs but your probably right. Pete wasn't going to be a celeb candidate. So he would have been scrutinised on that.

    Man it would have been so sweet to see this last week in the run up if he was in the race. I think he'd have ran a good campaign.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,608 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It's funny how many of these guys perfectly encapsulate the thing they pretend to hate. That's the only funny thing about them.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    They'd already accepted the concept of Harris becoming president if the president was unable to serve. So realistically she was the best option given the time frame involved and she's exceeded expectations entirely. If you'd told me in June that she'd be running, I would say she was a terrible choice. But honestly she's consistently surprised and impressed me. So I think given the disarrayed situation a vote at the convention would have caused, it was a sensible move.

    I'm also not seeing huge discontent at her being chosen. If anything, the discontent is from Trump supporters at it being unfair on Trump.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,993 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    To be fair, sadly nowadays this point doesn't hold. Trump had none of that in 2016.

    This said, while there is no way to know until the counting is done, Kamala may or may not beat Trump but Pete sadly for reasons that have nothing to do with experience and more to do with the views of very vocal, and in my opinion awful, human beings.

    The idea that the Democratic party didn't think it through is laughable, they would have game planned out every option. They may have been wrong or right, and there may have been others close to Kamala or even ahead but logistically, she was the best placed. Even egotistically, she would have been hanging up her political career if she didn't run.

    Is she the best candidate for President, nope, but that doesn't mean she is a bad choice, I am surprised people struggle with it, it's not a binary choice, no one is 100% right or 100% wrong for the role. Neither is Trump and he has won it before. She was the best logistically. She has experience, she knows the game, she can hold her own in negotiations. Taking all the opinion out of it, on paper she is the better acting president based on what we know of both of them. It's not a dog at Trump, I for one like my own opinions but also would be a terrible choice.

    The same for the Republicans though, there are better options than Trump but he is in a position where they had to gamble on possibly losing versus possibly tearing the party apart.

    From both parties perspectives these were the only choices, win or lose you can cover your ego, explain it to the followers and make plans for the next time around.

    I think Democrats win either way as other elections over the next 4 years will swing their way regardless of who gets in.

    Republicans will lose alot of power if Trump gets in although the upswing in the economy will be timed well, albeit based on Bidens work, so if he doesn't ruin that it will probably just balance out in the houses. If he doesn't get in, there will be abuse within the party but they can manage him out a lot quicker and easier once the in fighting dies down in a few months.



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