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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It's not really appropriate to attribute arguments to people that they don't hold and didn't claim.

    Why do you think Trump and his team are so concerned about Julia Robert's comments?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭scottser


    It's hardly an unfounded conspiracy theory, it's literally how betting odds work.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    They're not, but ok, if you say so.

    You were claiming that "a lot" were doing this. You can only find two?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    You are making alot of sweeping and false statements.

    Well for one, most of the arguments coming from Trump supporters like yourself are either false, ridiculous or so vapid, you abandon them after a few posts.

    Thats your opinion, not fact.

    Most of your information comes from things like the twitter feed you stole from. Sources that source bullshit from conspiracy nuts like Alex Jones

    No it doesn't.

    In the post above most of the points I made are easily backed up by polls and stats I have previously linked to. They are by respected bodies not some homemade Twitter account as you are disingenuously trying to insinuate.

    They are not false, ridiculous or vapid despite your protestations.

    Alex Jones is a grifter, I have no time for him, you are trying to misrepresent me by saying I follow him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,416 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    …That's not remotely what you claimed though, you are shifting the goalposts.
    You've gone from implying it was some widespread consensus on the threads, to 2 posters.
    And somehow you missed the several posters claiming Trump will win, including a post you replied to!
    You're just disproving your own claims.

    Epic fail.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I can't remember the exact figure , but they added up every single case of Election fraud going back almost 50 years, and this was done by the extremely conservative Heritage foundation and they found something like 7k/8k fraudulent votes had been cast in that entire period.

    So even if ALL of those votes had been cast in 2020 and ALL of them had been cast and found in Georgia (which was the closest result) it still wouldn't have changed the result and Biden still would have won.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,048 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    But you accept that your 'opinion' that there was voter fraud in 2020, and that it wil be less in 2024 (not sure why a Biden administration that needed voter fraud in 2020 would allow it to be reduced when it was in power) is nonsense?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    No my claim that arguments from Trump supporters are false and ridiculous and vapid is evident by reading the thread.

    You provided a perfect example by claiming that voter fraud was an issue in the previous election. This is a ridiculous and false claim.

    You haven't backed up your claims in your previous post. You have previously used a twitter feed as a source (though you pretended that it was something you wrote.)

    If you have no time for him, why did you copy and paste the opinions of a twitter feed of a guy who believes him? If you don't believe him and agree that he's a grifter, why did this not stop you from using that twitter feed?

    Also, if you don't follow Alex Jones, why then are you repeating the false claim about voter fraud? That's something that comes primarily from him and Trump. No other sources take those claims seriously.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,836 ✭✭✭Nermal


    It's what he actually said.

    "She's a war hawk" was the sentence directly preceeding the words quoted in the tweet you posted.

    Odd how that didn't make it into the quote, isn't it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭Smee_Again


    Alex Jones is a grifter, I have no time for him, you are trying to misrepresent me by saying I follow him.

    The twitter accounts you plagarise like and follow him though so its no surprise that you regurgitate his talking points on here. You might not even be aware of it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,436 ✭✭✭circadian


    Guaranteed the big punters are also slowly filling their boots with Harris bets knowing the numbers they need to hit it big.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,290 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I’ve no idea if they are or are not concerned- you have said they’re concerned - some newspapers have said they’re concerned - after that I’ve no idea if they are or aren’t - and I really don’t care either - because they’ll simply attack and react to anything brought out by the Democrat side - so no one actually knows are they just mocking or do they actually have a concern that whatever the issue is will impact them at the voting booth.

    While I haven’t seen the video I’ve seen a commentary of it - personally given the audience you’re trying to attract which in the main are bible bashers, I’m not convinced that encouraging people to lie to their partners is the cleverest tactic the Democrats have come up with - and actually it’s only reinforcing their description of Harris as “Satan” 😀



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Jones is bosom buddies with Tucker and Rogan. Lots of far right media types are cozy with him. A lot of them will use him as a kind of canary in the coal mine. They will let him rant and dream up nonsense (or just reading stuff off twitter) and if it gets traction with his audience, the more "respectable" sources will co opt it.

    Then, if it suits they can pretend to be reasonable by making a show of rejecting Jones as obviously crazy, but still cling onto sanititised versions of his conspiracy theories.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I think they are concerned because they don't like the idea that some women might want to vote differently from their husbands.

    As I said though, it's very weird for you to jump to notions of polls being rigged from this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,555 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I think it's a bit of a stretch to say it's encouraging people to lie to their partners, but more making the point that in the privacy of the voting booth, your vote is your vote, and you shouldn't feel coerced into voting the way your partner wants you to vote. Obviously you don't have to tell your partner how you voted or you can lie about it (again, Jesse Watters of Fox was literally talking on air about how he'd consider finding out his wife voted for Harris to be akin to finding out she cheated on him (and as I mentioned earlier, that would be his second wife who he cheated on his first wife with)). There can be an element of coercive control and marital pressure to vote in the same way as your partner.

    It's not about encouraging people to lie to their partners, but encouraging people to vote how they want to vote, not how they may feel pressured into voting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭scottser


    Bookies will always seek to lay off a chunk of that Trump money elsewhere. The house always wins.

    edit - Not Trump's casino though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,158 ✭✭✭relax carry on


    While Trump is is the epitomy of a third rate used car salesman; beyond his small core of of cultists; I don't believe the majority of people who'll vote for Trump have been fooled by him. They agree with some or all of what he espouses and represents. They want the freedom to be racist, to be misogynistic, to be driven by conspiracy theories and to show that their feelings outweigh logic and reason. There is a significant portion of the US population who just want the fantasies Trump is selling. They want it to be real, so they can be their real selves without any fear.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,290 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Joking aside I get that and for the record I’m totally against partner coercive control in any aspect of the relationship .

    And if that’s a “thing” - as in a widespread thing, then fair enough, the issue does need highlighting - I just don’t know to what extent control over who you vote for is an actual issue and would be happy to see some statistics on this if available.

    On the “joking” side though, asking conservative religious voters to “lie” to their uncontrolling partners is just a bit ironic - there’s definitely humour there



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,290 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    3 times you’ve called me “weird” - I can’t reply under those circumstances sorry.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,807 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    The UK Guardian (caveat : extremely pro-Harris) has an interesting article about Mormans/LatterDaySaints in Arizona and the Harris campaigns efforts with them. They make up 6% of the states population, and are generally reliably Republican. Hilary Clinton got 9% vote share, Biden 18% (but 50% among under 40s) and the Harris campaign is targeting them.

    Mormons were once reliably Republican – but they could tip Arizona Harris’s way | US elections 2024 | The Guardian

    Possibly just a copium/feelgood article for Harris supporters, but good to see that the massive campaign funds are being used at this non-obvious low-level, rather than just expensive TV ads.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If you don't like the term, then don't engage in those tactics.

    Ascribing arguments to people that they don't make so you may avoid the argument they did make is weird.

    The poster in question wasn't suggesting any such thing as polls being rigged.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,555 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Not sure if statistics are or even could be available, but given that women's rights with particular regard to abortion rights and healthcare are a huge factor in this election, and that a higher percentage of men support Trump than women, it's certainly likely to be happening to some degree. Not widespread, but enough.

    Even if it's not as much as coercive control, the ad still applies to those who just might feel socially awkward about admitting who they're voting for. Even here in Ireland you can be stuck talking to a bunch of supporters of one party and just imply that you also vote for them even if you don't.

    The more divisive politics becomes, the more people might just say they voted in one way to avoid having to defend or explain yourself, why you voted for them, whataboutery etc.

    That's all I took from the ad. In the voting booth, your vote is your vote, and you vote whatever way you want. Outside the booth, you're free to pretend otherwise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    You implied voter fraud was an issue in 2020. Court cases have proven it wasn't at all... So yep, you very much so are happy to drop in conspiracy theories.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65 ✭✭Crazy Davey


    so where is your proof that “Trumps people” have been betting to manipulate the odds to influence the result?

    It’s crackpot stuff have a good long hard look at yourself in the mirror

    Mod note: poster warned for being uncivil. There was no need for the second paragraph

    Post edited by Irish Aris on


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,994 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    It's not manipulating. Literally, it is how betting works, if one side gets money placed on it, the odds move. Very simple.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,290 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Maybe an “independent” production then might have been the way to go here - neither democrat nor republican- just focus on the message that the only person that matters is you and that your vote and privacy in the polling booth is sacrosanct? Otherwise it’s just treated as a political football in a very nasty campaign of other footballs



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65 ✭✭Crazy Davey


    the betting market works by people using information to predict the winner. Not by supporters. Jesus wept does this need to be explained?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,032 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Absolutely! Of course that's what is being said.

    It is an absolutely the wildest of stretches to bring it around to it encouraging wives to lie to their husbands.

    Dear god....

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    It was shown last week that almost all of the betting for Trump on Polymarket ($25M+) that had caused the shift towards Trump in the previous week had come from only 4 accounts that appear to have all been the same person.

    So , lots of money being placed on Trump by very few people - Whether or not it's a deliberate attempt to sway the result by a Trump insider is unknown , but it certainly suggests that using those markets as an indicator of general voting intentions probably isn't the most accurate.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Given the fact a billionaire is running a daily illegal million dollar lottery if you vote Trump then I'd say it's pretty plausible that he or another billionaire is happy to drop large bets. Also worth noting, that such large bets have never happened in previous elections. So I'd say it's perfectly fair to question that individual's motivation.



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