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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    If the Democrats weren't a post working class party, it wouldn't be so.

    It'll be some kick in the nads to globalisation and the sanctity of the free market if he gets in, by comparison.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    I think being a bit odd is a prerequisite for being a statistical genius.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,298 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Even towards the beginning on her campaign I got such a shot of enthusiasm and belief that she would take the prize I called it for Harris- she had 100% support of the democrats, money flooded in and she carefully negotiated the early interviews and indeed the debate - but shortly after the debate her campaign stalled - she should have had a fresh wave of support after that success and she didn’t - and shortly after that I reluctantly called it for Trump .

    While of course candidates in a two horse race have to take responsibility of the scorecard as a person of personal integrity I don’t think she can be faulted that much, certainly not compared to Trump- so the answer for me lies partly in the complete sh1t show that Biden was responsible for in terms of his second term and likely just a general anit-Democrat sentiment in America right now - I think a lot was out of her hands in fairness - MAYBE a democrat candidate not associated with the Biden regime might have done better- but I don’t think so



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,158 ✭✭✭relax carry on


    So with election day getting closer and somehow the race being as close as it is; are there any Trump supporters (centrists) willing to layout exactly why they'd vote for Trump and the Republican party? What is it exactly about their vision for the US that seems to be a combination of Gilead and some fantasy version of 1950s America that attracted you to their plans?

    It's difficult looking from the outside in, why anyone would vote for such a vision but I suppose we have the recent car crash that is Brexit to show that people seem to want to vote for fantasies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭I.R.Y.E.D


    You mean the guy who is on record saying how important the stock market is and has a few hotels around the world is sticking it to globalisation and the free market.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Harris is hitting black and Hispanic communities in Pennsylvania today, groups she shouldnt have to be shoring up this late in the campaign in a vital state.

    However given the high propensity of the men in these communities in Penn to be blue collar working class, a demographic that is largely a problem one for the Democrat party, she had to.

    That's concerning for her.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,298 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Which begs the question, what are the “realities” that they’re running away from?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It'll be a nervy evening in the Lichtman living room, I would say.

    One question about his predictions, though. His Wikipedia article says that up until 2016, his system predicted the winner of the popular vote, but he then tweaked the system for 2016 onward to predict the winner of the Electoral College. Just want to know if anyone can confirm this to be the case.

    If this is the case, then, yes, he has never been wrong. He called the Al Gore PV win in 2000 and the Trump EC win in 2016.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,298 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I’ll take a look when I’ve some time and thanks - but jayzuz, moving your operations to Chinese Hong Kong? He must be very desperate 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    He certainly is one if the few in politics who at least put tiny restraints or gently applied the breaks a bit.

    He just has to be less for it than the Democrats, that's an easy thing.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,210 ✭✭✭Economics101


    Even "elite" college professors have earned their position by hard work in researching and teaching. Not quite the same thing as being left the odd hundred million by your old man. Furthermore, Harris' mother was lergely responsible, as a lone parent, for her upbringing.

    What a stupid, cheap and irrelevant jibe. Reveals a lot about commentary in this thread.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yup. You seem to have missed my point however. Probably deliberately because it is uncomfortable for your claim.

    Which candidates history is closer to an actual blue collar person?

    Do Trumps multiple properties, including several actual towers not count as "ivory towers"?



  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    I don't care who wins tbh. My point re Michelle Obama never talking about Biden having cognitive decline was when he was running for another term. When clearly he has cognitive decline to a far larger extent than Trump. The rest of your points just fall into the usual "Trump/Dictator/madman etc.", but I don't care, as I don't care who wins. But there is double standards (on all sides for sure) and Michelle Obama has a massive brass neck referring to cognitive decline for Trump compared to what we witnessed as Biden prepared to do another run.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    No one is denying Trump is a billionaire but Harris is not blue collar or working class either.

    Instead of pretending to be working class she and her party could reverse their disdain for thr blue collar, there would be no Trump then.

    That's not going to happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Droll: if she didn't 'hit' these groups, we'd hear criticism of her 'ignoring them' etc.

    I see you've avoided answering questions about your pigeon post claiming that her upbringing was neither humble nor blue collar.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,030 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    This here is what I would love to see a deep dive objective analysis on. Not sure who is impartial enough to carry it out though. I can't figure out why so many working class people joined the cult of someone who steps on the little guy every chance he gets.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,201 ✭✭✭amandstu


    "she and her party could reverse their disdain for thr blue collar"

    How does this manifest itself(this "disdain")?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,789 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    I speak a bit of MAGA, this is essentially laying the groundwork for yet more "stolen election" lies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,030 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    What is it about Michelle Obama that riles certain people up so much. She gets way more vitriol than any former First Lady for some reason.

    And for the record, I don't buy the clear cognitive decline with respect to Biden because I don't agree that it was negatively impacting his ability to do the job. Any issue around it was an appearance thing which was heavily influenced by the fact that there was an ongoing campaign being fought. And I don't agree that whatever he is going through that it is more significant than Trump, Trump consistently makes similar mistakes than Biden and someone within his own team/administration felt it was necessary 4 years ago to test him in that respect. Neither of them have the same mental agility that they had 10 years ago. That's the simple fact.

    And as for declaring repeatedly that you don't care you win, you don't need to tell me, it doesn't bother me either way, it reinforces my views on Trumps capability in fact that so few people will openly admit to being fan of him, and those that will go that far, refuse to explain why (such as the anarchist in chief for example). Again, that is their right, as I said, it just tells me once again that he is so little going for him that it seems that he appeals mostly to contrarians who simply like that he dislikes the same people that they dislike.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,298 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Trump rally has Muslim leaders on stage - considering a Muslim leader collective advocated for a Harris vote not so long ago it just shows there’s no collective mindset here in any way shape or form in terms of how this ethnic group will vote - nothing can be taken for granted that’s for darned sure - and this publicity so close to the election will certainly help his campaign- there’s no doubting that


    “Former President Donald Trump on Saturday invited several Muslim leaders onstage with him at a campaign rally in Michigan as he courts Arab American and Muslim voters disillusioned or angry over US policy on Israel and Gaza in the critical battleground state.

    “They could turn the election one way or the other,” Trump said in the Detroit suburb of Novi, located about a half hour from Dearborn, which last year became the first Arab-majority city in the US.”

    https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/10/26/politics/muslim-leaders-michigan-trump-endorse



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,030 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    her party could reverse their disdain for thr blue collar, there would be no Trump then.

    We're used to you blaming Democrats for Trumps existence but it looks pretty stupid to be doing it at a time when Unions are praising Biden for his support, and Trump is talking to Musk about how it was great that he shut down unions in Tesla and both of them are agreeing that they don't want to pay overtime.

    Trump used McDonalds last week in an attempt to appeal to the working class, when he was asked if he supporting increasing the hourly minimum wage, he refused to answer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I don't think you understood my post. If the effect of that (you can call it whatver, manipulation or someone putting their money where their mouth is) was to make Harris's odds greater then people perceive they should be, theres plenty of money to take advantage of that and balance it out. Wall Street is heavily involved in those markets, theres billions available if there's value to be had and the odds find a natural equilibrium.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,581 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    what is it? She’s a smart, capable black woman. She’s a very good public speaker and is incredibly popular. Shes too “uppity” for the MAGA crowd, she should know her place.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    She doesn't rile me up anyway. Just that she was in the news yesterday talking about Trump's cognitive decline. She never talked about Biden's cognitive decline. And one would have to be a bit cognitively declined oneself to believe that Trump is as cognitively declined as Biden. I'm sure that 99% of people would have to agree.

    Mod Edit: Warning issued for uncivil posting. One day forum ban also applied

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    During the weekend when the country Georgia has had an obviously corrupted count of votes cast in their election, I'm surprised to see so many poster on this thread act/write/argue that we'll actually know the outcome of the USA election on the 5th November. Does everyone ("on both sides" :p ) believe that the Trump appointed officials in the state of Georgia (and others) will, in fact, certify the results by January?

    I think there's an awful lot of vigorous debate over betting odds and poll data and early voting numbers that's distracting from the non-neglible possibility that there may be no presidential candidate to be sworn in come January.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If someone is a union worker and still support Trump after hearing him yuck it up with Musk about sacking striking workers, then they may be the kind of person who'll eat shtt, if they think 'the libs' would have to smell their breath.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 489 ✭✭sliabh 1956


    Come Election Time it will be ineresting to see who the American voters listen to most is it Taylor Swift or Joe Rogan what a shambolic situation America finds itself in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,030 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    She never talked about Biden's cognitive decline

    You do realize she's the wife of a former Democrat President? And you're suggesting, if I understand you correctly, that she should have publicly spoken suggesting Biden's ability was a concern?

    Is that what you are saying? Because you might hold her to a higher standard than every other person remotely involved in political campaigns throughout history, but the only reason I am engaging with you on this is because I find it another useful example of how different people/parties are held to different standards.



  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Of course I wouldn't expect her to. But I'd half have expected that she'd avoid talking about Trump having cognitive decline, as it shows the double standard (in play across both divides).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    America has had a very poor diet of late… there are consequences to a poor diet



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