Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

Remarkable looking at it & comparing it to all the other race rally speeches, the audience falling silent for a sustained period.

Strong words from Michelle- I think it’s much better that she says these things than if Harris does - Harris just needs to keep honing her message and keep as visible as possible up to polling day .
I haven’t seen much commentary though of the fact that it’s somewhat likely that JD Vance could become president within the next 4 years - not wishing another human being ill or death but it’s simply a very significant statistical possibility - it’s hasn’t been said much by Democrats as far as I can see - maybe a mention over the coming few weeks might scare off a few undecided

"I hope you'll forgive me if I'm a little angry that we are indifferent to his erratic behaviour, his obvious mental decline, his history as a convicted felon," she said.

"A known slumlord, a predator found liable for sexual abuse, all this while we pick apart Kamala's answers in interviews he doesn't even have the courage to do.

"So, I am praying that those of us contemplating voting for Trump or not voting at all will snap out of whatever fog they are in.
https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-showing-obvious-mental-decline-michelle-obama-warns-13242185

According to the official link below, there is currently an 11 percent difference between White and Black turnout in early voting. Typically, the turnout advantage is around 7-8 percent. Why does this matter? If Democrats don’t significantly boost numbers in Cobb and DeKalb counties, they have no chance of winning the state.

Today is the last 'Souls to the Polls' day, so we could see the gap close. However, if there’s no bump over the next few days, it looks likely that Trump will carry the state based on the numbers.

https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout

Jesus he's still flapping his gums about crowd sizes, lying about celebrities endorsing Harris, someone put him on a home ffs.

In Trump's worldview, any loss he endures is unfair by definition. At least this is his public stance.

Trump did admit to writer Bob Woodward that he knew Covid was a big problem but that he didn't want to cause a panic. This suggests to me, somewhat, that Trump isn't so delusional as to believe all of his own bullshtt, but he is amoral enough to push it to his followers regardless.

So, if Trump does lose, we can fully expect him to pivot onto the stolen narrative without compunction. He wouldn't even need to build to it because he's spent a good four years really embedding this notion in the MAGA psyche.

It doesn't look like she is doing well enough in the swing states though.

It's small margins but they are nearly all against her now.

I don't see how rally numbers would tell us anything.

Trump's rallys are restricted due to the security issues.

Having a genuine star like Beyonce at a rally is of course going to pull in the numbers but it probably doesn't tell us much about how popular Harris is.

If you look at any mainstream news outlet they’re not so confident - certainly any I’ve been looking at today -and the swing states in particular are concerning for Harris - she’s no getting the ethnic minority vote in the numbers that have supported Democrats in recent times - possibly the current Israel Gaza war is impacting this possibly something else like religious conservatism but definitely she’s in trouble

It doesnt look like Trump is even filling the smaller venues he is booking.

And look at how attendees at the Trump Coachella event were abandoned by Trump campaign with no transport.

I think the rallies do play a role in making a connection to the candidate. Beyonce might get them in the door but then it is about turning a likely Harris voter into a definite.

They probably wouldn't, but people are saying that poll numbers don't tell us anything…. Early voting stats don't tell us anything…. Hey, if those statistics are meaningless, I'm open to comparing rally numbers as well.

@Tell me how

Of course, Harris could end up losing a lot of Muslim voters which could influence things in some places, but the alternative for the the Dems there is if Biden had cut off support for Israel and if he had done that, Harris would likely lose much more center leaning democrats and any chance of center leaning Republicans so that conflict there is a poison she has to take one way or another.

The problem for the Harris campaign is that the voter coalition it has is fundamentally divided on what to do regarding Israel/Hamas/Hezbollah. There is no solution they can propose which will please all of its potential voters. That's the realpolitik of the situation.

Trump doesn't really have this problem with Israel. Most of his voters would have no problem seeing Gaza be entirely levelled and turned into a resort frequented by Chinese and Saudi businessmen in want of a luxury Mediterranean holiday, should Hamas not be prepared to surrender without condition. We can remember quite well that one big Trump policy in 2016 was to ban people entering the US from several Muslim countries with the suspicion being that anyone from these places could be a potential radical terrorist. This mindset still pervades but is currently expressed with a more general anti-immigrant feeling, with suicide belts being replaced with bricks of fentanyl shoved up the rear of some desperate mother from El Salvador.

Exactly.

And that's what will annoy me most if Trump wins, what it will say about what most of America wants in its leaders. The world needs genuine collaborators and leaders who can work with other leaders 'for the common good'. Not this self-absorbed clown who hasn't a clue about anything other than doing what he wants.