Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

True, as it's just a pointer but a fairly decent one

Sometimes Billionaires do good things with their wealth:

https://fortune.com/2024/10/22/bill-gates-50-million-kamala-harris-president-nyt/

listening to Rte this morning talking to North Carolina voters and they saying that they ll vote for trump as he stands for integrity and cares about them. They sounded elderly tho. And a bit insane.

I think it will be the shy Harris voter this time. After the insurrection MAGA have become increasingly violent, you even had a sheriff in one county somewhere announce he was logging which homes and addresses had Harris yard signs by way of voter intimidation. You have that little scrote this week who stole dozens of Harris yard signs trying to argue it’s not a felony if it’s under $200 (wrong on so many levels), you have people who actively make death threats to democrats all the time. Heck, I won’t even put up a yard sign because I don’t want trouble in deep red territory. I don’t want a sticker on my car because I don’t want to experience the road rage or the vandalism. When I had a Bernie sticker on in 2016, I had a senior engineer in the middle of the entire office calmly explain to me in response how as an ex marine he fully intended to kill the man for being a socialist by “shooting him between the eyes.” If people think the shy Trump voter exists they have another thing coming about the shy Harris voter.

I think Trump wins. He'll win most of the swing states including PA!

I am going to make a couple of confessions. I can not name a single contestant in Big Brother, Love Island or Dancing with the Stars/ Dancing on Ice. I remember Nasty Nick from the first Big Brother(24 years ago) but thats it. I can't name any group or artist currently in the Top 10. I only found out what Liam Payne looked like last week. As for sports, my knowledge is severely lacking compared to the average Joe.

In the same way there are obvious gaps in my knowledge of popular culture, there are a lot of people out there who have no clue about politics. I consume a lot of news but in the same way that my mind switches off when Big Brother gets a mention, some people switch off for current affairs.

I sometimes think when they ask random people on the street how do they plan to vote, does the person just say the first name that came to mind? I also remember watching live when Kay Burley from Sky News was in New York and asking people how they had voted, she goes to a table of (obvious to me any way) Indian people and asked how they voted and one after the other said "I am from India and therefore not eligible to vote". Before asking people for a soundbite how do they plan to vote, do they establish if the person knows that they are talking about to begin with?

they’d just complain we’re “shutting down conversation” and have mention of the statements barred from the topic.

There’s a reason so many republicans for Harris exist. Many of them outside hardcore MAGA remember fighting the Nazis and the KGB.

Only reason in my mind for a shy Trump voter (voting Democrat in the polling booth) is abortion rights - so mainly women in their 20/30s from staunch Republican voting areas - that’s probably one of the few voter profiles that may have a contingent of non-verbalised support for Harris.

If I’ve taken you up wrong and you mean Shy Trump supporters ? Well some religious ethnic voters have expressed a preference for Trump , presumably because they associate that ironically with being more God like and holy (you couldn’t make it up 😀)- but they don’t appear to be that secret about it either.

I don’t think he’s ever released his records. He’s released letters from sycophants like Ronny “Candyman” Jackson and made claims about passing the test used to screen for dementia but that’s it. If he does release something before election it will be similar trolling efforts to that. But I think he won’t because those efforts ultimately did him no favors after 2016.

Not really a valuable data set when it's subject to manipulation and has been in this election cycle

That has been the case since the day the Access Hollywood tapes were released in 2016.

More and more it has been the case in fact. Trump has been allowed to make comments which are passed off as 'that isn't what he meant' while his fans say they like him because he says what is thinking.

The 2 things cannot be true, but he gets a pass because the media loves him enough for what he brings them. Attention. It was the same, but to a lesser degree with Boris Johnson.

people just aren’t picking up the phone or answering their deluge of texts and emails that come overwhelmingly from the campaigns if you’re a donor. Response rates to polls have been falling for a decade now in general. I really don’t know how they conduct polls anymore in good fairness though I live in South Carolina and maybe we aren’t polled that often to begin with for reasons that we aren’t a swing state. You could rightly argue that in the swing states the swing state polls have less of these problems of shy voter. I don’t know.

massive and loaded to the gills with bacon. I haven’t had to eat a burger with a fork and knife since I was a child but that thing would dislocate your jaw