Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

1261262264266267574

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,048 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    It's a combination of things. Fear of the future is the main driver, which is why 'MAGA' is such a powerful phrase. It touches on people's real sense that the US's position in the world has changed, and not for the US's benefit.

    The world is changing around them and they don't like it. The irony is that they drive much of the change. They love capitalism, but now fear globalism! They fear big government but blame the Washinton elite for all their ills.

    But it is also a fear of the past. Americans don't want to have to deal with the past of the country honestly. They don't want to acknowledge the role of slavery, or their continued responsibility for the chaos around the world, particularly in the ME.

    Trump offers them hope. He offers them a way back to the glory without any cost. He offers them the American dream. And that the American dream can be whatever anyone wants it to be. But, and this is the crucial bit, he also offers them the comfort of knowing their leader will protect them. He will ward off the Chinese. He will stand up against climate change. He will deal with woke. These are all things to which the average punter has no control.

    None of what Trump is selling them is true, but sometimes the beautiful dream is better than reality. And that is why Harris, or anyone as this really isn't about Harris, is struggling because it is hard to argue against fiction when nobody wants to hear the truth.

    The McD photo op is a perfect example. For Trump supporters, this is way more than a simple, run-of-the-mill, electoral photo op. This is a massive gotcha to Harris. This proves Trump is a man of the people. This is entertainment. But they also are more than happy to ignore Trump saying he doesn't like unions, and that he supports Musk is simply firing people. That Trump when given the chance looked after the very rich and did almost nothing for the middle or working class. Trump has done nothing for the likes of McD workers. And he has no plans to.

    But none of that matters. Because he is not selling something specific. He is selling a dream. MAGA. And everyone can believe that that new great America will mean great things for them. Despite all the evidence to the contrary



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,684 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    Shouldn't overtime be a solution to a short term issue though? If it is made attractive enough to encourage 60 hour working weeks it will dampen the employment rate and lead to more health and social issues due to a distorted work/life balance. And at the bottom of the scale those on zero-hour contracts and those dependent on tips will not be helped.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭crusd


    Yeah, no. It incentivises employees to work long hours to make ends meet rather than employers actually paying their people properly and hiring enough staff to to do the job in a normal working week. The opposite of progressive and once again another example of Trump et al hoodwinking their supporters into believing actions designed to benefit the wealthy are actually to help the average person.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Care to define the "they" in THEY DID TRY TO KILL HIM AFTER ALL..?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,611 ✭✭✭Rawr


    I get the impression that with the increase in the mania and retoric of MAGAworld, that if you are in a MAGA family or within a very MAGA-centric community and that if you actually intend to vote against Trump, then this is something you will keep isolated to the ballot booth as much as humanly possible. As MAGAworld gets worse, these secret voters are more and more likely.

    If a pollster comes asking, you say "I'm voting Trump" If your neighbour or MAGA family members ask you say, "I'm voting Trump". And this is because you know very well how these people are conditioned to behave against non-believers like yourself. In some fundamentalist religious communities there is already a tradition of shunning and disowning family members for daring to go against the will of the group. Tacking MAGA onto that is just a simple software update for some of these people.

    And so voting day comes and you give your vote to the Dem, hoping that another loss for Trump with take MAGA out of your life. Possibly fein outrage that Donnie didn't win it, but secretly relieved and hoping that some normalcy might be on the horizon.

    These people most certainly exist within the areas where you find MAGAworld…but the scale of how many there are is an open question that might not be answered for some time to come.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,275 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Super post!
    and - indeed why deal with pain when you can simply vote for pleasure .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    I wouldn't agree, I have to get people to do overtime from time to time, I don't see why they should have to pay tax on it. The goverment has so much money they don't know how to spend it, grants and handouts are not the way forward. Some people are happy to work extra hours to make more money, let them at it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    It's based on the reality of the republican primary polls.

    I believe it's flipped the other way from 2016.

    I also cannot believe that the (what is now hundr ds, if not thousands) of republican politicians, army personnel, civic personnel etc that have come out to say they're voting for Harris didn't move the needle one iota, or affect the betting markets.

    That literally makes no logical sense, unless the polls and markets were being manipulated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    you think if someone earns say 40k plus 10k OT they should take home more than someone who earns 50k?



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,575 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    I don’t think she’s a terrible candidate. She’s alright. She’s a corporate democrat to the core, like Biden.

    Trump is absolutely terrible.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭crusd


    As said before, overtime should be the exception in an emergency situation. Some people are "happy" to work overtime as they are not payed properly for the work they do. Some people are "happy" to do overtime because of a misguided sense of loyalty to employers who dont pay them properly and will drop them in a heartbeat. Why am I not surprised you enjoy taking advantage of the underpaid.

    And overtime is income, so why should income over a certain amount be exempt. But you can see the CEO class'es accountants lining up to claim 2/3rds of their salaries for their 120 hour weeks are exempt form tax. Thats who these changes are designed to benefit - to enable continued exploitation of labour to the benefit of the holders of capital and to add a further tax break for the wealthy.

    Mod Edit: Warned for uncivil posting. One day ban applied

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Trump is Trump. He is not a nice person to say the least.

    But Harris, I dont know. I dont think she is going to get out the white working class vote in the Great Lakes to vote for her. She is pretty uninspiring. Dems could have done a lot better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    There is that word again. 'Believe'.

    The facts appear to be the opposite.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    That is a nice story, but is there any actual evidence for the above, any large numbers?

    It seems more hope than fact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Because people voted for him.

    Trump being the incumbent didn't help and Covid especially damaged him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Did the polling get the republican primaries wrong in that they predicted Trump to have a much higher share than what was actually voted for?

    Have hundreds of republican supporters made up of politicians, lawyers, high ranked military personnel and other professionals come out against Donald Trump and encouraged folk to vote for Harris?

    These are the facts.

    That that hundreds of respected Republicans coming out against Trump didn't move the needle in the markets or polls defies logic.

    So no, the "facts" do not appear to be the opposite.

    We'll know soon enough anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    Yes and there was obviously a reason that 7,000,000 more people voted for Biden than Trump.

    The way he dealt with Covid was surely one of the reasons and maybe a few million or so that voted for him previously thought he was a very poor president.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    Taking advantage, seriously? We have extra capacity but if a few people end up sick on the one day we may need somone to work an extra shift, i.e 5 instead of 6 days, it's nothing to do with exploitation. It's rare enough but it does happen.

    I don't believe it's aimed at corporate accountants, McDonalds workers, hospitialy, manufacturing is who i'd imagine Trump is hoping will benifit and vote for a proposal like that.

    I don't know any CEO's on overtime or paid by the hour. Salary, Perks and Bonus, not overtime.

    As with any proposal it would need to be teased out to make sure it benifits people who put in the hours not the Rich men north of Richmond, it's aimed at people selling their soul, workin' all day, Overtime hours for bullshit pay.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Let's say I'm an employer of a small business.

    I employ 2 full time people on 40 hours a week and 2 part time people on 20 hours a week.

    The full timers work 8-4, Mon to Fri.

    The part timers work 4-8 Mon- Fri.

    Thanks to Trump, I can now sack the two part timers and make the full timers work 60 hours a week. They won't pay tax on 20 of those hours, and I also make money by not having to pay the part timers share of employers taxes, or any other benefits they had. The full timers are now working 50% longer hours and not receiving any extra benefits like holiday pay, or time and a half or anything like that.*

    When will people understand that Trump is there for the owners/management and he couldn't give a fiddler's about the employees?

    *But hey, they'll be earning an extra 20 hours pay TAX FREE, so it must be good!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Republican primaries and the actual election are 2 very different things. You cant really compare them.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    That's a nefarious way to look at it, i'm kinda shocked somomeone with such a high moral compass could think of such a cunning plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭crusd


    Ultimately I think it will be decided on who is more motivated to vote as margins are so tight. In 2016 soft Hilary supporters or anyone but Trump voters did not have the same motivation as Trump supporters. Still Hillary achieved her poll numbers. The MAGA hype train got a few undecideds on election day - within Margin of error. 270 had Hillary at 47.2% - result 48.2%, and Trump at 43.6% - result 46.1%

    In 2020 Bidens polling numbers were accurate but undecided broke somewhat for Trump. The Trump MAGA enthusiasm was high though and there was an incumbent boost. 270 had Biden at 51.1% - result 51.3%, and Trump at 43.1% - result 46.8%

    This time Trump rallies are stale and empty. MAGA hype is not what it was and his shtick doesn't get people motivated in the way it did in the past. But enthusiasm for Kamala is quite low though among independents even if her actual rallies and TV interviews gain more attendees/ viewers. One thing to call out from polls though is that the undecided / other numbers in current polls are very low (3.3% on 270 to win) compared to both 2020 (5.8%) and 2016(ca.10%). There just aren't that many undecided to shift the dial. So it will be who gets the vote out. The Dems are voting in advance in huge numbers. Will the MAGA voters be motivated to get out on election day? And how will local dynamic play out. Arabs in Michigan? urban vs rural in Pennsylvania? African Americans in Georgia?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,803 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    I also cannot believe that the (what is now hundr ds, if not thousands) of republican politicians, army personnel, civic personnel etc that have come out to say they're voting for Harris didn't move the needle one iota, or affect the betting markets.

    That literally makes no logical sense

    Isn't this ultimately

    Untitled Image

    There's a lot of things about Trump's political career that 'make no logical sense' but happen nonetheless…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    Trump endorsed candidates did worse than expected in 2022. Although I guess that can be ignored also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,540 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Amazing what happens when you look beyond the surface of what Trump says and actually think about the possible (and in many cases, inevitable) ramifications and effects.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭crusd


    That's why the employer should pay overtime rates (1.5x, 2x) and not have their inability to plan subsidised by other taxpayers.

    And you don't think the clever tax accountants wouldn't be lining up to see how it could play to the advantage of their clients. How naive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    They do pay ovetime rates or they'll end infront of the wrc, the proposal is to lessen the tax burden on them it appears. As it's Trumps proposal it has to be bad though, i'm so glad not to be suffering from TDS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 933 ✭✭✭Detritus70


    In other words "I have no counter argument"

    On a sidenote:
    Overtime is worktime, you get paid, you gotta pay taxes. I don't see why this should change. It's not supposed to be the nrom and decent employers will pay time and a half or double time. But wages are wages are wages. And subject to taxes.

    On no tax on tips: Hell no, fix your stupid system! Make employers pay their staff a decent bloody wage.
    Yes, a person waiting tables, working at McDonalds or stacking shelves should be able to afford a roof over his head and food. This is not a radical idea. Tax billionaires and business fairly. Force them to pay a living wage. Lighten their tax burden, not that of large coronations and billionaires.

    Trumps ideas are just a sticky plaster solution that sound good for a minute but on further inspection, not so much.

    Fully Automated Luxury Gay Space Communism



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    I dont have an issue with the policy but its a disinsentive for workers to progress in their professional life.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭crusd


    Yes I am sure Trump Mar-a-lago will go to the WRC for not paying overtime rates.

    And you didn't answer the question as to why someone who earns 50k for 40 hour weeks should pay more tax than someone who earns 40k + 10k overtime



Advertisement