Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

Why open a new storm-front with the lawyer of a woman at this stage?

just a dump of text and no original thought behind it.

“Trump derangement syndrome” is a coping call used by Trumpers to convince themselves that valid criticism of Donald Trump is “deranged” and therefore can be completely ignored out of hand and not necessary to factor into one’s thinking. Hence how the cult keeps its membership

In other words:

Totally ignoring the fact that the question was about his election claim that they had come to Washington to support two months after the Biden election result was in and his V/P was going along with the Chief Justice to swear Biden into office.

It smacks of manipulation of the betting markets for sure, and with the likes of Polymarket also tracking cryptocurrency bets you’ve got plenty of Elon-bros who can also lean on the results rather easily.

Much like the increase of GOP leaning polls coming out, I suspect all of this is designed to both set up the narrative for the next #StopTheSteal, but also in itself as a campaign tactic. Touting numbers showing a Trump win might depress the Dem vote and keep the MAGA voters onboard. They may all be based on total fiction though, which is why old fashioned voter-engagement is as important this time as it always has been.

It is his jacket not a towel. It is weird he doesn't know how to sit down while wearing a jacket though.

https://x.com/atrupar/status/1847322963734876390?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1847322963734876390%7Ctwgr%5E4e7cb49d56f3a54fa3e1c4b1dd0bb1252d99a712%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sportskeeda.com%2Fpop-culture%2Ffact-check-was-trump-sitting-towel-fox-friends-interview-viral-claim-debunked

Ah I can't remember how to link from twitter, I don't use it so it rarely comes up. It shows Trump sitting down at the interview and sitting on his jacket.

I think the problem there might his weird taste in suits and insistence that they be larger and baggier than most other people would normally desire

Ref the betting on the candidates, is it usual that pollsters should take into account the percentage of bets being made on which candidate is the better when reaching conclusions on the early ballot vote results, instead of using their poll-scoring systems to actually reach figures, state by state, that show how the candidates are receiving ballot-votes to move forward to win the election? The betting is primarily a money-making exercise for the bookies and the gamblers and secondly, only then taken to be some sort of star-led guide to the election winner.

Ask a bookie which system would he place his bet on to estimate who the ultimate election winner would be and I reckon he'll say the gambling route would be a fools game over a poll of the voters. He wont refuse to take bets on the outcome though as it's the way he earns his living.

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/senile-donald-trump-gets-confused-during-rally-speech-starts-talking-about-arnold-palmers-dick/58637/

Donald has clearly lost he is now talking about a dead man's manhood in the golf showers, it's time someone told him enough is enough, go home to Merde de Lardo, get your divorce sorted and become a recluse with that other nutter, Laura Loomer.

Essentially a bookie earns money on the difference between the odds and the overall odds being slightly favourable to the house, they don't care who wins, just that the bets on harris would cover a trump win and vice versa (promotions and marketing and other bets which may cover certain wins and losses from the same or related events aside).

Betting markets, if not manipulated, can be an insight into polling, but not when people are putting bets on purely to move the market to make it look like their candidate is favoured.

It also doesn't work if one side is more likely to place a bet.

A lot of the bets are on intra-day polling performance and lead rather than actual result on November 5th.

Bets placed on who leads and that favoured "spread" type bet of the Yanks are what is driving the market pricing currently rather than who wins come election day.

Back to pushing conspiracy theories?

No, there really isn't. Just showing yourself up as very gullible.

Nah, tis a conspiracy theory.

Did you report? lemmy guess

near 4,000 posts in a year, busy busy boy

Burgers & Fries coming up….