Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

I notice Trumps recent rallies, where he is dancing on stage, that he has no support team behind him. No sign of his kids who were always stuck to him in 2016, Ivana & Jared never left his side before, now they are keeping their distance. Yes, the family & wife were rolled out at the start for a launch, but I,d say they were forced to go, and agreed to in the hope they'll never be asked again. They must be praying Harris gets in. His kids made so much money from their fathers presidency that they are so busy now investing it, spending it, etc. They dont want or need the circus distraction.

Honestly would you not imagine it's because he was shot on stage recently, Im sure its effected who wants to get up there ,lets live in the real world & give the most likely explanations ,

If you like him or not why over look something so massive,

Anyone looking at the polls and thinking that "their guy" is a shoe in is just deluding themselves. Any poll submitted so far has been pretty much a neck and neck outcome and in any case, most polling data is useless the next day. Especially so when it's essentially a 50/50 scenario.

I'll say it again, the only poll that matters a jot is the one that's happening next month. It's the only one where you'll have a truly reliable outcome.

But haven't you heard? It was "car crash" apparently.

😐️

Really good post and my thoughts exactly.

How can you trust poll numbers when there is no dip after a felony conviction? Or after a sexual assault charge is held up?

As I have posted before, there is a large cohort of people who are not getting polled. People who dont have a landline, and dont answer calls from unrecognized numbers. If I am at home and there is a knock on the door, it is 50/50 whether I will answer it. I am not the only one like this.

Mike Pence, who was Trumps own Vice President has refused to endorse him. The Secretary of the Navy, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, the Chief of Staff of the Department for Homeland Security, all of them registered republicans have refused to endorse Trump. Am I really meant to believe that 50% of the people in the US, don't care that these people refuse to endorse Trump?

It is neck and neck but the Harris campaign have slipped, maybe still have enough to win, but they have slipped and the Trump campaign has slightly strengthened.

After this week the Red will be a little happier than the blue, marginal but still happier.

it was great if you wanted to watch a clip of him trying to attack others for their “cognitive …. «struggles to process word on sheet in front of him» … faculties”

Picture of Trump and Melania at same dinner, certainly both seem full of fire



I don't think looking at the polls indicates that anyone is a shoe in. How could they when they are so close.

The experience of Trumps previous polling is that he out performs polls. That indicates to me that he is the slight favourite at this point to win.

The issue for the Harris campaign is that nothing seems to stick. If a normal candidate acted like Trump did during the last week, or indeed if Harris did the same, the campaign would be over. Harris on the other hand is dealing with nitpicking over a satisfactory if uninspiring interview.

There seems to be no way to cut through and actually land blows on Trump.

Who knows but they had a good week numbers wise and Harris slipped.

Both are slight changes but In a race so incredibly tight, you don't want to slip even a bit.

I see that you thanked a post yesterday that was nothing but blatant plagiarism. Not only is it doubtful that your claims about Harris have any merit but to suggest you actually care about plagiarism is having a laugh.