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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭Hontou


    I have empty properties. The high tax I accept. The reason they are empty is because it is impossible to get rid of bad tenants. Good tenants cannot get properties because bad tenants have destroyed the market. Because the RTB enables them. Apparently you can wreck a house, grow drugs, sublet, have parties, stop paying rent and still be on the right side of the law. It must be the highest risk investment there is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 146 ✭✭TagoMago


    None of my business of course but that seems like extreme risk aversion. You can vet potential tenants you know, get references from previous landlords, employers, etc. The vast majority of people are not going to turn your property into a grow house or stop paying rent and refuse to leave.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,232 ✭✭✭hamburgham


    Yes, reading the judgements of the RTB is truly chilling. House wrecked but if the landlord didn’t dot the ‘I’ on the eviction notice, then it’s the landlord who’s in the wrong.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    If, like rent a room scheme, the amount of rent you could charge was capped in order to qualify then you probably would not rush out and buy a flat immediately.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    In Ireland

    Two minuses make a plus

    Bad tennants are rewarded at considerable cost and billions of taxpayers money are spent ensuring that those that hoard critical infrastructure away from the economy are rewarded

    Let's see where such policies take the economy

    Imagine going into work trashing the place and sabotaging the power to the building and preventing access to the building for other staff and the company policy ensuring that you are rewarded the most while productive staff pay the price



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    You’d just have to purchase at a price point that the maths adds up. So this might distort more at the lower end of the market

    Ireland already has some of the best rental yields in the world. The last thing we should be doing is further incentivising individual investment into property by making it more tax effective than every other asset class.

    As someone else said, by all means tackle the issue of non-paying tenants etc. this seems like the bigger issue. And alongside that, aggressively tackle the issue of vacant properties. Use it or lose it style.


    Potentially doubling net rental yields over night could be catastrophic for first time buyers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Hmm, why sell the property on if it's not used? Better to put the money into something useful to you than to keep it in property that's not occupied. Personally, if I had an unused apartment or house, I'd sell it and use the proceeds to either improve my own house, buy some land or put into a fund for my nephews.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Right now keeping your property idle for a certain amount of time actually increases the value of it - because buyers can qualify for vacant housing grants.

    Also regardless of vacant grants, house prices are still increasing by almost 10% per annum so simply having a house idle or not you are making 10% just by owning it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    The vacant house grant is a great example of using the tax system to reward a behaviour you don’t want. It might seem to make sense in the context of bringing back currently vacant homes, but what message does it send

    ‘thank you for letting your house go derelict. We would like to reward you with a €50k payment for it from the taxpayer. Well done’



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I was about to say this. However, I don't think that this is unwanted form the point of view of the state, or at least the people who run it. Leaving houses empty and derelict keeps them out of the market, which inflates prices. Furthermore, the work necessary to fix them if they are to be reused generates consumption and thus adds to GDP. This is what the government wants.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    I’d see this as borderline conspiracy theory at this stage tbh. The government are well aware that their biggest barrier to continued election (salary/pension/power etc) is increasing home ownership.

    It’s easy to find examples to suit your view in both directions, but if the government genuinely had some weird agenda to make housing more scare and more expensive (and lose them their jobs?). Why would introduce a 6% levy on properties above €1.5m? This is clearly aimed at cooling the top end of the market.

    Throwing in the huge spend on housing leading us to top Europe for house building. Doesn’t fit with a narrative of an evil government trying to restrict supply and increase prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    There's no conspiracy about it, nor did I use the word "evil". A system is what it does, not what it's said to do. Everything that the state has done in the last few years has been inflationary in nature. Also, no politician to my knowledge has every said that they aim to lower house prices. The closest that they come is to say that they want "affordability". This is ambiguous, and it invariably means giving people more money, which is just drives up prices.

    Further, I think we need to separate politicians from the state as a whole. There are many civil servants who have enormous influence over what happens here who have no fear for their positions. However, that aside, why would we presume that driving up prices would be unpopular? The majority of people here own property, and rising prices makes their NET worth go up. I do think that this is starting to change, however.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks


    "This is ambiguous, and it invariably means giving people more money, which is just drives up prices."

    But this is what the public wants. I remember when the CBI was debating whether to increase LTI restrictions from 3.5 to 4 and the general consensus I could see online and in the media was celebratory enthusiasm for this action, despite the obvious effect that this would have on house price inflation.

    As I see it, the CBI and government are giving people what they want.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 306 ✭✭scrabtom


    Sell them so. I think it's pretty immoral to hold properties vacant when we have the housing crisis we have now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    It's an asset. If you had shares that were rising in value, would you sell them straight away?

    The moral point is important, but its not the posters fault that there is a lack of housing in Ireland and if there were a surplus of housing and prices went down, the govt would not be funding the shortfall in sale price for the poster.

    Dont hate the player, hate the game and all that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    How does the vacant property grant interact with the vacant property tax?

    Personally, I think all vacant resi and commerical property should be taxed into oblivion, if it is left idle too long. Increase tax with each year that passes. Sell it or use it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    As I see it, the CBI and government are giving people what they want

    I suspect the remit of the CBI is not to give people what they want and would be considered at best populist governance. Government should be working for the best interests of the nation and to @Richardand point of a few years government inflationary housing policies, we are very close to entering the 4th decade of housing inflation policies

    What an enormous success it has been



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    My understanding of the vacant property tax is the property must be considerably habitable. Those who want the grant are likely intentionally leaving it in a condition that it is not habitable.

    I agree. Dereliction and long term vacancy is bad. We should relentlessly tax it. Same mindset as cigarettes. Instead we give people money for it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 306 ✭✭scrabtom


    It's an asset but it is also a home that is desperately needed.

    I understand why people would keep a house vacant if it's the best financial option available to them but they should also be honest with themselves that it is not the right thing to do from a moral standpoint.

    I would say it is actually partly the poster's fault that there is a shortage of housing in Ireland, as he has properties that could alleviate that shortage but he is leaving them vacant instead.

    Regardless of whether it is his fault or not anyway, we live in a society and we have a duty to contribute positively to that society instead of just our own bottom line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Housing is property and property is an asset. Morally wrong but that's the reality of it.

    So long as houses are going up in value by more than any other investment with similar risk profile, expect more vacants not less.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I'm not aware that they do. This is from their website:

    https://vote.sinnfein.ie/house-prices-continue-to-spiral-out-of-control-it-is-time-for-a-new-approach-eoin-o-broin-td/

    "In government, we would deliver tens of thousands of genuinely affordable homes at prices from €250,000 through Local Authorities and Approved Housing Bodies, while also activating the private residential development sector to deliver more private homes to purchase at more moderated prices."

    Their aim, whether they can do it or not, is to subsidise building to deliver "affordable" houses to people. This is not the same as wanting to lower house prices overall. There state is merely picking up the tab, which is more or less what any such scheme will do.

    There is one way to lower house prices and one way only; the increase the supply whilst reducing the demand. No policy that I am aware of will do this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks


    "I suspect the remit of the CBI is not to give people what they want"

    Yes, you are correct but Gabriel Makhlouf was appointed by the government and one of his earliest and biggest contributions to the policy rules of the Irish financial system was the relaxation of the LTI rules set in place by Patrick Honohan.

    If you followed these events closely you could have seen this happening before he took this role. The government wanted this change and appointed the right man to make it happen. It was the most clearly telegraphed move to those who could be bothered to look.

    And, like I said, the public reaction to this rule change was overwhelmingly positive. So the government appointed the appropriate governor it seems. And the public got what they wanted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    "Regardless of whether it is his fault or not anyway, we live in a society and we have a duty to contribute positively to that society instead of just our own bottom line."

    This. The philosophy of the hyper individual is bringing the West to ruin. Like it or not, no man is an island, and eventually the socially deleterious policies of pursuing growth and personal wealth will eventually come calling. I'll be forgiven for a bit of dramatic language, but men died for Ireland to be its own country and a home to the Irish people. They didn't risk everything so it could become just one more economic zone to generate growth.

    It's time we started thinking about the future generations who will have to live with our decisions.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,806 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    ECB has cut interest rates by a further 0.25%, further cuts signalled as inflation has fallen below target. That's three consecutive cuts now and will fuel further property price increases.

    Live updates: European Central Bank lowers key rate (cnbc.com)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭Hontou


    One is for sale. The other can't be sold for personal reasons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,756 ✭✭✭tigger123


    I dont think it's as simple as all of those with homes being happy with the current scenario.

    For every adult child stuck in a boxroom, there's parents in the house who would love to see them leave and set up their own life. Parents are also stretching themselves to provide contributions to deposits.

    There's also people who have family members emigrating because of housing, and are watching their siblings struggle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    That all sounds great in the story books, but in the real world, its an asset for the poster and their family. It belongs to them and they have the right to retain it as they see fit.

    Now if its empty, it should be taxed into oblivion via vacancy property tax. If the owner is happy to pay the vacant tax on it then use that money to construct govt homes.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Selling homes in Dublin for 250k would reduce the average price of a home, because you cant buy a home for 250k today.

    Increasing supply in a functioning market is the way to go, I agree.

    And the govt are doing just that.

    Highest new home commencements in the last 12 months for almost 20 years.



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