Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

If thats your glib response it proves you didnt actually read the articles and are ignorant of how Republicans go about suppressing minority votes. Voter ID is only one part of it. They only care about voter ID when they think it can stop minorities likely to vote Democrat. Such blatant tactics as having insufficient voting centres so voters would have to queue for hours - such tactics deliberately only in minority districts.

You seemed concerned before that black voters should have a choice. Now you seem happy to remain ignorant of how Republicand make it difficult for them to exercise that choice.

So was that all hypocritical nonsense?

Political scientist Eric Schickler, co-director of Berkeley’s Institute for Governmental Studies (IGS), said an “erosion of restraints” in a “racially polarized party system” has cleared the way for greater use of “stack-the-deck” strategies. “You hear people talking openly about making it harder for groups to vote — whether it’s young voters or Black voters or Latinx voters — in a way that echoes the Jim Crow South,” Schickler said. “It’s really something we haven’t seen in recent American politics. It’s out in the open, explicit.”

...

Trump has warned repeatedly, and without evidence, of Democratic efforts to rig the vote, and the allegations implicitly justify vote suppression.

https://news.berkeley.edu/2020/09/29/stacking-the-deck-how-the-gop-works-to-suppress-minority-voting/

This point in 2020 Biden was up in nearly double digits in swing states, Kamala is only up by one right now. So explain that?

Don't believe me, here you go

“Phones were ringing in Detroit, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, and on the line was a robocall with an ominous campaign message: If you want to vote by mail, it warned, your personal information will be turned over to the police and to debt collectors.”

Don’t cha just love the “land of the free” where their 1st amendment rights are regularly exercised and taken for a walk

Will they reveal the deep state's weather control devices?

Look if you're ever in Clare seek that babers out. Maybe have a toasty sandwich in doonbeg and head south for about 20 minutes. Ask at the bar.

I'm not naming the barbers as I've seen 1st hand at Trump's inauguration party the kinda crazies that walk among us. I very much doubt he's a Trump supporter, he's all in on the boss and if the boss says vote Kamala he'll tow the line.

I stumbled upon his latest rally speech live on TikTok.

Hes now saying the illegal Venezuelans are gonna rob the crowds houses if Kamala gets in. Steal all their houses.

This guy is surely on the biggest windup ever and has us all sucked in, there’s no other explanation🤣🤣

Aggregate polling.

As noted previously, dozens of polling outfits have launched since 2020, many of them right wing (538 shows about 87 more organizations they've reviewed in 2024 from 2020). Some of them are complete junk, and unless specific analysts like Harry Enten are excluding them, it's affecting the average of polls, skewing them for Trump to make the race appear closer. Similarly you had Rasmussen the other week exposed for giving early polling data to the Trump campaign as well as skewing their numbers.Explain that instead.

https://newrepublic.com/post/186444/conservative-poll-rasmussen-secretly-worked-trump-team

A major polling organization is reportedly giving Donald Trump’s campaign previews of its results before the public sees them.

On Thursday, American Muckrakers posted about emails it received detailing how the conservative-leaning Rasmussen Reports, which claims to be nonpartisan, shared polling results with Trump advisers and campaign officials like Dan Scavino, Susie Wiles, and John McLaughlin. The advisers, Rasmussen, and the nonprofit organizations that pay it for polling are violating tax and election laws, according to American Muckrakers.

One of the emails details close collaboration between the Trump campaign, Rasmussen, and the Heartland Institute, which calls itself a national free-market public policy think tank. However, it’s also a 501(c)3 nonprofit and is not allowed to engage in political activity benefiting a political candidate.

As for the best poll ranked by 538, NYT/Sienna has Harris +2 in WI, +1 in MI and +4 in PA.

Anyway his presentation kinda proves the polls are generally bullshit: Clinton up 8 points in average across PA WI and MI? She lost all 3 states. Conversely, Biden won all 3 states. Conclusion: polls are fun and all, but you'd be as well off to cut the head off a chicken.

Oh I used to know a nice barber in Ennis, wonder if they're still around.. not sure how this relates to the election though?

Absolutely no problem with people carrying I/D when they go to vote as long as the law is applied correctly and without bias and NOT used in a deliberate attempt to deprive the voter of the right to vote. I'm looking at Trump's stated plans to scrap the right of US citizens to mail in their vote from abroad, and that includes US Civil and Military Service people serving abroad on behalf of the US.

How do you figure those people would be able to vote if Trump is elected in Nov and follows through with his threat to deprive them of their right to vote in accordance with the US constitution? The words from Trump above are not errors, they are the words he spoke, incapable of a misunderstanding.

Not sure if that's a reference to Big Mike or not but seriously how much sway do you think celebrities have, not Taylor she's become a laughing stock, I'm taking about old school boys who's fans do vote, the Boss and Neil Young etc, I could be wrong but I imagine they are quite influential. Was never really into Springsteen born a couple of years too late, as I got older I really appreciated and understood Neil's songs, he lost me with that nonsense with Joe Rogan but I still appreciate a lot of his work, just think too much time has taken away his head. I'd imagine a lot of his fans don't think the same.

I provided citations to articles, because otherwise on this thread, I would then likely have been accused of inventing such claims.

The straight forward answer, to cut to the chase, Trump and his campaign is racist and yes Republicans have a proven track record of deliberate tactics to suppress minority voters.

(all of this is supported by those 'essay links' previously provided)

I mean, even 538's model is leaning coin toss:

And again, when it in 2016 gave Trump an outside 25-30% chance, people mistook that for 'don't need to participate'

Part of this phenomenon as I see it is, as much as the polls and the models say it could be a coin toss going into the election it might have just as much of a chance of being a landslide because people don't take the vote for granted and participate in higher than expected numbers.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I guess we will just have to wait and see what happens, IMHO I think he will edge it, but it certainly will be close.

No. The post I replied to mentioned Michelle in the following words:

Michelle is back on the trail with a non partisan voting bloc party initiative. What is it with Democratic elites and Celeb

culture infactuation?

Having a Celeb cultural infatuation is being partisan towards the same, regardless of who the celebrity is.

Oh dear…do you think HAARP machines cause the northern lights?

What has happened, we are now in the scenario where people think humans can control the weather with machines…madness.