Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Israel are going to start WWIII

17273757778280

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,957 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    I can't find any reputable* sources that say the ratio is between 1.5 and 2.0.

    Sources I have read suggest the ratio is around 8:1.

    That's not to say you're wrong. But if you could post your sources, that would be helpful.

    '* I have discounted data from IDF and Benjamin Natanyahu



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,617 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Yes,Bibi has stated it clearly many times that a two state solution will not happen on his watch. Which is why he was happy to try and manage Hamas till it blew up in his face. With Hamas in power he could always point and say that you can't come to accommodation with people hell bent on your destruction. So Bibi's mentality exposes the argument that all the Palestinian armed groups have to do is embrace peace and lay down their arms- this would in fact be the stuff of nightmares for Bibi and Co. This is why he boasted to colleagues that it was important to keep Hamas sweet to undermine the PA and stave off negotiations on a two state solution.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,957 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    You've quoted a source that uses IDF data from December 2023

    This source, which provides a number of data points which, if you discount IDF and Benjamin Netanhayu, shows a ratio that closely matches the UN overall number.

    Given you posted this:

    The combatant-civilian death ratio in Gaza varies from source to source but pretty much every reputable sources says that it is between 1.5-2.0.

    perhaps you could post the rest of your sources that put the ratio between 1.5 and 2.0?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,958 ✭✭✭political analyst


    There is a fear that Hezbollah will, if it's not removed from southern Lebanon, do what Hamas did on 7 October 2023.

    https://news.sky.com/story/thinking-with-our-heads-and-wombs-mums-of-israeli-soldiers-at-war-13230587

    What Hamas did on that day would probably also happen to eastern Israel if the West Bank settlements were dissolved.

    Moran Yanai was a hostage. She told ITN that, when she was taken into Gaza, everyone from the smallest child to the eldest person was celebrating evil.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,861 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    I would class killing 15k kids as evil too. I guess we will see what Israel achieve in these two campaigns. They haven't got rid of hamas or hezbollah yet and there is no indication they will prevent Iran from continuing to support these proxies in the future.



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,469 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Of course. The only way out is a political settlement to the conflict. This isn't about good and evil.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,078 ✭✭✭TokTik


    I see israel has murdered another journalist, Mohammed Al-Tanani. This time in broad daylight, during a live broadcast while wearing his full press gear. Absolute scum.

    Their supporters will be wetting their pants with glee. Maybe he was one of those human shields we hear about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 770 ✭✭✭Fuascailteoir




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Like I said a few pages back, don't underestimate the sheer scale of israeli attempts to influence people to support israel. There isn't any group they wont make a pitch to.

    You would naturally assume people opposed to mass migration and the damage it does to indigenous peoples would naturally sympathise with the indigenous Palestinians who've been overwhelmed by hostile settlers who've built israel over the graves and ruins of the Palestinians. You would think so. But there is a pitch for israel even there.

    One complaint people against mass migration can have is the sheer powerlessness of their own governments. People simply walk, boat or fly across borders which are seemingly undefended. A very common theme is the host country being exploited, taken advantage of, of being weak and being seen to be weak.

    These people can be offered the chance to live vicariously through israeli "strength", a state which does not only defend its own borders with lethal force, but pushes out past them to drive back any threats. And it does so with clear cut calls to arms, not defeated shrugging that nothing can be done. There will be a market segment which finds this appealing and wish their own country could learn from how israel does things. They will never get that of course, but in the meantime they can support israel. Worshippers of power, basically. And don't think the brutality of israeli actions will ever be a problem for this pitch - if anything it will help sell the message. Look at ISIS recruitment: they were deliberately cruel and savage, and it attracted people to it because of the cruelty and savagery, not despite it.

    It's telling how often you'll see people gloating about israeli strikes and atrocities.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,473 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    I distinctly remember an IDF spokesman saying that half of the people killed in Gaza were Hamas. He was challenged on it by a BBC reporter because of the number of children and elderly killed but he kept saying 50%. He was impossible to believe.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,355 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    excellent summation in a far more articulate way than i could ever put it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,993 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,957 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    So much for self-defence and "taking out Hezbollah"

    As reported by the BBC:

    Israel strikes vital irrigation canal in southern Lebanon - river authority
    published at 18:34 British Summer Time

    Rami Ruhayem
    BBC Arabic

    Israel struck vital irrigation infrastructure in Lebanon on Tuesday afternoon, causing heavy damage and endangering Lebanon’s food security, according to Sami Alawieh, the head of the Litani River National Authority.

    Israeli strikes first hit a main irrigation canal in the Arzay area northeast of Tyre, destroying it and cutting off water from much of the southern coast of Lebanon - from the outskirts of Sidon to the outskirts of Naqoora, he says.

    Then, it struck roads leading to the main pumping station in Qasmiyeh, further south from Arzay, he adds.

    “They hit all our means of distributing water,” Alawieh tells the BBC.

    Water from the damaged channel flooded nearby agricultural land, causing widespread losses.

    “This is civilian infrastructure, protected by international humanitarian law,” he says. “This could be a war crime and a systemic policy aimed at preventing Lebanon from exploiting its water resources.”

    The BBC has approached the Israeli military for comment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,531 ✭✭✭Frank Grimes




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The only way it is correct (and that's with the IDF actually accepting Hamas civilian figures) is if the IDF designates all adult males as Hamas.

    Now that is certainly possible to believe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,993 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,993 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Ban international journalists / media / reporters and target the local media - that is the Israeli way



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,076 ✭✭✭mountain


    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cr54lyg2j8zt

    Seems to me that the blood thirsty Israelis are actually enjoying this

    Horrible, hateful nation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54,251 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,266 ✭✭✭amacca


    Is cycling woke?....man its got to the stage I really can't tell if I'm woke or not…I assume I'm not but then I do cycle from time to time and I don't feel bad about if afterwards



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Moran Yanai was a hostage. She told ITN that, when she was taken into Gaza, everyone from the smallest child to the eldest person was celebrating evil.

    Well, for context Yanai was at a dance festival being held within walking distance of the worlds largest open air prison camp.

    One other point I'd make is for all the accusations of mass rape by the Palestinians, Yanai seemingly wasn't raped, nor did she mention anyone else being raped. She was treated cruelly of course, but it could have been worse - she could have been a Palestinian held by the israelis. They definitely rape their hostages.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54,251 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover


    They will do what they usually do and ignore your post. It doesn't suit their agenda to respond.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54,251 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover


    '' Israel, it's army and it's government are actually a machine of lies. '' How true.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,957 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    From the BBC:

    For Israel, and its US ally, there are pros and cons for every target set in Iran.

    Missile bases: These are the most obvious military target as Israel will want to degrade as much as possible Iran’s ability to hit back in a counter strike. Hitting these would largely avoid civilian casualties or any economic pain to the population.

    Oil and economic infrastructure: This would hit Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) in the pocket, damaging its ability to fund its proxies and its weapons procurement. But there would likely be civilian casualties and the oil price could temporarily spike, not something Washington wants.

    Leadership: This would be a strategic escalation: going after key IRGC and regime figures, something that could trigger major retaliation by Tehran.

    Nuclear sites: This would be the riskiest move of all, and Washington has made it clear it would not support it. It would also quite possibly be counter-productive, failing to destroy these well-protected underground sites but prompting Iran to race towards developing nuclear weapons as a future deterrent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,957 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    If the US has ruled out oil and nuclear, that leaves military targets and leadership, possibly the energy grid as you say.

    Military targets appear "low value" so leadership seems to be very much on the table on the basis of simple elimination.

    Reading this again: "The Iranian attack was aggressive but inaccurate. In contrast, our attack will be deadly, pinpoint accurate, and most importantly, surprising - they will not know what happened or how it happened. They will just see the results."

    Tactical nuke? Surely not…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,531 ✭✭✭Frank Grimes


    Good work Sean, completely miss or ignore the point of my post as usual.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,413 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    This is a key point : terrorists fighting against a terrorist state. Two sets of 'bad guys' and nobody emerges from it with any credit.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,469 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    And the PLO are looked upon as merely administrators of the occupation in the West Bank. No way that could happen in a future Gaza.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,079 ✭✭✭uptherebels


    No you aren't actually persecuted. That's why it's a complex.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 525 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Israel has been in favour of the 2 state solution for most of the time since 1948.

    Not the current Government obviously, but that will change too.

    If you think Hamas aren't a barrier to the creation of a Palestinian state you're off your rocker. No one can simply deal with them.



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement