Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

For what it's worth, ref Stein's "lesser of two evils" comment on the GOP and the Dems, I'd say she was referring to the present Middle-East war between Israel and Iran specifically as neither US party can be a solver or peace mediator in that fight without a joint invitation from both countries and not which party is the better party for the US. She sees them as continuing their inter-party row regardless of the outcome of the Nov election which is no help to the US itself.

and there’s also skewed by how much money people are putting down, a billionaire like eg. Elon Musk could put a huge bet in and cause a huge shift in the betting market but on election day Elon Musk only has a single ballot in Texas. And using E1 in this example, Elon Musk has shown a propensity to throw tens of billions of dollars away at something without any sense of fiduciary responsibility. See Twitter.

The real argument for Trump doesn't come from a place of logic and good faith argument. It's too dark and gutteral for that.

The centrists' masks will drop if Trump indeed wins because they'll no longer feel compelled to defend their position since they could just gloat about the reality that Trump (crazier, more vengeful) would be president of the US and everyone will just have to deal with that.

And yet there is no way to actually tell (I only use Elon as an example of a billionaire), any large spender could make hundreds of smaller bets vs. one massive one. Your own stated history of winning and losing on the last 2 presidential election cycles show that betting isn't a predictor of the electoral outcome.

Betting markets are more reliable than polls

https://edition.cnn.com/videos/politics/2024/07/13/smr-latest-betting-odds-on-2024.cnn

Neither betting odds or polling offer the most accurate way for predicting. Betting odds for Brexit and Trump winning in 2016 wrong, were you all for what the odds were back then?

Meanwhile seeing pretty good feedback on her sixty minutes interview. Trump refused to do one cause they fact check... 😂

Things are so bad that even Laura Inghram was fact checking him in an interview

That whole MAGA propaganda rubbish about Harris avoiding interviews aged well.

Pretty obvious it was an entirely bad faith line of attack as suddenly Trump gets a free pass for doing exactly the things they accused Harris of.

And not the first time we've seen such hypocritical lines of attack.

Rinse and repeat.

Regardless of who wins the election, America as a country is done. When you get 50% of the population that are so dumb they either can't see or refuse to see someone like Trump for what he is then the fat lady is belting out the final bars.

Europe really need to get their ass in gear and prepare ourselves to take up some of the mantle or you can hand the keys over to China, who'll do as they please. There's a pretty strong chance the United States of America won't be united in 20yrs time if Trump wins and implements Project 2025.

For every bet there has to be one on the other side if i'm understanding it correclty, for example, to buy Kamala winnning all 6 swing states is 18cent, so somone one the other side has to cover that bet with a no which is currently 85cent, the spread is 3 cent. So in effect you can make 15cent on every 100cent just by covering the yes bets if you hold out until the results are in.

I'd say you can also make money by just putting up the difference in the spreads so there's 3cent there to be had just to cover bets.

I'd agree it's not a reflection of who's goign to win or loose, it's more like betting on oil prices where you're hedging both sides.

I'd say it's a hell of a lot more plausible than the posters raving about the deep state and Haitians eating dogs..

Great ...would you be okay with Democrats implementing/copying project 2025 if they win in November ?