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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Nope. It works (unfortunately).

    Harris is a bit of a blank page upon which you can project whatever you like. Trump is very much a known quantity - I'd far rather see the Harris campaign going medieval on his ass than trying to redefine Harris at this late stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Put it this way; would you rather win fighting dirty or lose playing clean?

    (Ask Hilary Clinton or John Kerry - or indeed Mike Dukakis)



  • Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It wouldn't change anyones minds so why bother following him into the gutter.

    As I keep saying, people seem unable to grasp the underlying dynamic of what is happening here. Civil war is brewing if they fail to get their way because it really is an existential crisis for their way of life. They have repeatedly and explicitly stated this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    I am not buying the civil war theory. Put it this way, if it didn't happen after the last election then what makes it more likely now?

    Feels like hyperbole.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 737 ✭✭✭RickBlaine


    I think Musk convincing undecideds to vote for Trump will have the same impact as Rachel Maddow convincing undecideds to vote for Harris, i.e. it will have very little affect unless those voters are already leaning heavily towards a particular candidate which means they aren't really undecided to begin with.



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  • Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The fact that the message will have finally sunk in - they cannot win through the route of democracy.

    They have been undermining the instruments of governance for the last decade, and many of the states are becoming increasingly antagonistic to the will of the federal government. Capitol hill is in perpetual deadlock on the most simple bi-partisan business - by intent.

    The civil war maybe doomed to fail ultimately but it will errupt in some form if they lose the election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,595 ✭✭✭francois


    Looking forward to when Walz forces the collectivisation of manufacturing and farming.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    'Civil war' and 'acts of insurrection' are quite different things.

    I wouldn't be surprised to see some halfassed attempts at the latter. But civil war? Absolutely not.

    For one thing the US armed forces would crush it in about 30 minutes flat.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Has there been any information coming from the different state electoral boards on how they are going to control "fake" electoral board agents showing up at voting centres claiming to have authority to check voters I/d's for the purpose of denying voters the right to vote and interfere with the presidential electoral system?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,611 ✭✭✭Rawr


    It’s not completely beyond the realm of possibility for a Harris win to trigger the mindset that would call for Civil War, much in the same way Abe Lincoln’s election win was what had started the various states to start to consider succeeding from The Union.

    However, conditions now are very different to 1860. As you mentioned, the US Army would make short work of an attempted “Neo-Confederate” rebellion. This is precisely because in 2024 the US is a monolithic Federal Republic with Federal organs designed to take on other state actors. Semi-organized MAGA militia would be pulverized by even the Home Guard elements in each state.

    Furthermore in 1860 you had entire state governments deciding to pull out of the Union. This time around you’re down to MAGA militia men, starry-eyed with “Lost Cause” fantasies in their heads up against various layers of highly trained professionals. The MAGA folk would be toast.

    Some of them may attempt their own “Civil War”, but I do suspect it’ll end up more of a personal tragedy for those few involved, as opposed to the multi-year national horror that happened last time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,015 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Civil war doesn't have a set definition that everyone agrees on, so if there is heightened civil unrest in the wake of the forthcoming US Presidential election, you're definitely going to have some pundits calling it a civil war.

    The risk of immediate civil unrest is, I estimate, considerably higher if Harris wins since Trump would immediately cry foul and attempt to rally his supporters. Whatever plans the Oath Keepers, Proud Boys and various other pro-Trump wannabe militias will come to fruition at this point. If Trump wins, I foresee that there would be an initial fizzup as Proud Boys et al clash with Antifa types, but the real violence would happen if/when Trump decides to enact some of his more aggressive policies such as rounding up illegal migrants, including those who've settled in local communities and have a network of family and friends there who won't take kindly to those people being dragged out of their homes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    These things are conceivable, of course. How could they not be after what we saw on Jan 6th?

    But I think any 'armed supporters of Trump' clash would not be with 'armed supporters of Harris', but rather law enforcement (and the National Guard if need be). It would be a policing action, which is a very important distinction to draw.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I do think it’s noteworthy how quiet all those various groups have largely been lately compared to how active they were with nothing to fear from the Trump DOJ and buddying up to police. Though many of their leadership and lieutenants are jailed over January 6. It’s a toss up whether they have the organization this time around to do something similar or worse or if the heads have been severed off enough snakes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,539 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I can't see any repeat of Jan 6th happening again. It didn't work first time, a lot of them were arrested which would put some off from going to another one, and it'd be expected it could happen so there would be much more security.

    I think the more worrying possibility is trouble at vote counting centers on election night or the day or two after. Cause enough disruption there including in ways where people get access to where the ballots are and it calls into question the ballots as its then much harder to determine interference. There was already some disturbance at them last year with "STOP THE COUNT" and "COUNT THE VOTES" depending on how Trump was doing. Counting centers will also have less security, fewer cameras etc so people might be more emboldened that they won't get caught like people did on Jan 6th.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,001 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Yeah I'd veer towards this camp

    It's important to remember the last time the US had a civil war, both sides effectively started the war without much of a standing army

    Currently the federal government can call upon the largest military in the world to enforce order if needed

    Meanwhile the MAGA crowd have a bunch of "militias" which seems to mostly consist of middle aged dudes dressing in camo and going down the shooting range. While they'd be more than capable of terrorising civilians, I'm not sure they'd last long against an actual trained military force

    I'm not under any illusions that a large chunk of the military probably supports Trump, but I'm not sure they're willing to rebel against orders and attack fellow soldiers. In addition most of the general staff seems to endorse Harris so I don't see a top down coup happening

    In theory if you got enough of the states to mobilise their national guard against the government you'd have a good chance, but again you need everyone from the governors office to the guards leadership to jump on board thr insurrection boat. Considering that high treason carries the death penalty, you'd want to be very sure of your chances of winning

    So I could definitely see riots and civil disobedience happening, but I'm not sure there'll be a general rebellion

    However, a lot could happen in the coming months

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Clark County dismissed the possibility of issuing summons or warrants for misdemeanor offenses against Trump and Vance

    …however it simultaneously indicated that they are investigating whether felony charges apply instead.

    https://dayton247now.com/news/local/felony-charges-under-review-in-clark-county-against-donald-trump-and-jd-vance

    As they say, the consequences of one’s own actions.

    The felony charges under review are:

    • Making False Alarms
    • Committing Telecommunications Harassment
    • Committing Aggravated Menacing
    • Violating the Prohibition Against Complicity

    Trump couldn’t even bring himself to condemn the bomb threats last month.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭political analyst


    I was referring to the current war, which is part of the Israel-Palestine conflict. You're being disingenuous. Hamas hides behind civilians. Like I'm going to take seriously what pro-Pal US medics say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,433 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Want to tell us what calm, rational, bastion of truth Megyn Kelly has to say?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭political analyst


    There's no evidence of there having been any Srebrenica-type mass-shootings in the Gaza Strip. You might as well be accusing the US and the UK of committing genocide against the French people because of the deaths of French civilians in air raids aimed at German forces in France in 1944.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭political analyst


    The point is that Israel was attacked first but is being denied the respect that Ukraine has been given by many Western politicians. If Trump wins, it'll be the fault of many Muslim voters going against Harris.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,608 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    How do you know? Can you back this up or is this mere whataboutery?

    Anyone genuinely concerned about Gaza is not going to vote for the man who encouraged Israel's atrocities.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    IDF hides behinds civilians, why believe them either then?

    Israeli soldiers are using Palestinian civilians as human shields in Gaza to enter and clear tunnels and buildings they suspect may have been booby-trapped, a leading Israeli NGO and newspaper have reported.

    The practice was so widespread across different units fighting in Gaza that it could in effect be considered a “protocol”, said Nadav Weiman, the executive director of Breaking the Silence, a group founded by Israeli combat veterans to document military abuses.

    The group has collected testimony describing the practice from veterans of the 10-month war in Gaza. The accounts they have heard match those reported in an investigation by the newspaper Haaretz, which claimed that the chief of staff’s office was aware of the practice.

    “The senior ranks know about it,” one source said to have taken part in finding civilians to serve as human shields told the paper. “Our lives are more important than their lives,” Haaretz quoted commanders telling their soldiers.

    The practice is said to be so routine that Israeli soldiers have a name for the human shields, who are referred to as shawish – informal slang for a low-ranking soldier – and the process was described by several witnesses.

    Palestinian civilians, mostly young men, are picked up by Israeli soldiers, dressed in Israeli army uniforms, then sent into tunnels and damaged houses ahead of Israeli forces, soldiers told Haaretz and Breaking the Silence.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/14/israeli-forces-in-gaza-use-civilians-as-human-shields-against-possible-booby-traps

    It's the same war, that's not disingenuous.

    Now that's disingenuous, even if you want to try and narrow the goalpost to last year: Israel was attacking Gaza before October 7



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,571 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    I’m confused. Why do people keep talking about Israel. No matter who wins, they send billions to Israel.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Because some, and I stress some, people want to mix an international crisis with national politics as it suits their agenda when the two main US political parties support Israel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,206 ✭✭✭Economics101


    I thought I had clicked on the Israel starting WW3 thread when I read the last few posts. Not the first time this discussion has been totally diverted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    A group of US Imams, including from Michigan, have endorsed Kamala Harris in a new letter, praising her record of standing up for civil and human rights and blasting Trump for his record regardingIsrael and Muslim rights. They also warn of the consequences of casting protest votes and allowing Trump a path back into the White House.

    First, in fact, what is happening is not on her for she is not the President of these United States. Prior to serving in her current position, Vice President Harris has been regularly engaging with the Muslim community throughout her long and distinguished career. When Donald Trump passed the Muslim Ban, it was the then Senator Harris who filed a bill in the Senate seeking to provide access to legal counsel for our brothers and sisters caught in the Muslim Ban. Vice President Harris held the first Eid Al-Adha celebration in American history at her home, welcoming Muslim leaders from across America into her living room. This is beyond symbolism; it is an affirmation that Islam is an American religion.

    When the war in Gaza began, she traveled and met with regional leaders and made clear that the U.S. would pursue a two-state solution, and what reconstruction of Gaza would look like, she also made clear that international humanitarian law must be respected. She stood on the Edmund Pettus Bridge, on hallowed ground for the civil rights warriors who fought for the Voting Rights Act. She was the first in the Administration to demand a ceasefire and she spoke about the devastating loss of life in Gaza and the unfolding humanitarian crisis. Just two months ago, when she met with Prime Minister Netanyahu, she held a press conference afterward and was clear as to her dismay with him and said she would not be silent about the suffering in Gaza. She has spoken with Palestinian Americans returning from Gaza, she has spoken with Palestinian Americans who have lost family in Gaza, she has met with doctors returning from medical missions in Gaza. She is a committed ceasefire candidate too and is the best option for ending the bloodshed in Gaza and now Lebanon.

    Our community is in pain, but we must also remember that we cannot allow our country to return to Jim Crow America, this is not a reality our community can afford. Knowingly enabling someone like Donald Trump to return to office, whether by voting directly for him or for a third-party candidate, is both a moral and a strategic failure. Particularly in swing states, a vote for a third party could enable Trump to win that state and therefore the elections.

    In 2016, Trump won Michigan by merely 11,000 votes mainly because of votes cast for third-party candidates. This enabled Trump to inflict great harm on our communities and country in numerous ways. Trump is funded by pro-settlement donors who support Israeli annexation of the West Bank, he has promised to give Netanyahu what he needs to “finish the job” in Gaza, and even promised to deport pro- Palestinian students and activists who he refers to as “jihadists” Jared Kushner, his son- in-law has promised to turn Gaza into “lucrative beachfront properties.”.

    Given his well-documented history of harming our communities and country, as well as what he has promised he will do to Muslims and Palestinians should he return, it is incumbent upon us not to allow our high emotions to dictate our actions to our detriment. We cannot turn our backs on our diverse Muslim community at home and those abroad who are impacted by U.S. policies in our moment of pain and anger. And we have a responsibility, an Amana*, not to place our community in harm's way. Vice President Harris and Governor Walz have been clear, they see a New Way Forward and are not going back. We stand with moving forward, and call on other imams and our communities to move

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/kamala-harris/muslim-faith-leaders-endorse-kamala-harris-rcna174190

    *:

    https://mcec.org.uk/the-importance-of-trust-amana/#:~:text=The%20word%20%E2%80%9CAmana%E2%80%9D%2C%20mentioned,Allah%20has%20placed%20upon%20humans.

    The Harris Coalition gets broader by the day. Increasingly the only path forward for Trump is stealing recounts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    and also if you imply The Dems position they will claim its the wrong one….. No matter what it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,418 ✭✭✭✭Boggles




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,539 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    At this stage, even 1 minute and 42 seconds of Megyn Kelly would be 1 minute and 41 seconds too long.



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