Charts ( Up to T120 ) Autumn 2024 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**
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06-09-2024 07:43PM#1
Mod Note:This thread is for posting/discussing/analyzing CHARTS in the shorter range timeframe up to T120 hours (next 5 days) for Autumn 2024.
If your post does not specifically relate to a chart then it doesn't belong here - Off topic posts will be moved
Thank you.
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Nice warm day in the main again tomorrow and then the temps start to slip back a bit, first to the mid to high teens and then more towards the mid teens and lower towards Weds, not bad for a couple of days more before it gets cooler towards midweek with some cold nights. Looks fairly dry for most for the next few days, light misty stuff and light rain if any in some places only giving a trace or a mm or so more so towards the NW.
A bit of a breeze in places on Sun warm into the high teens away from Atlantic coastal counties, bit windy in the Irish Sea, later Mon into Tues getting breezy overland and a bit windy on coasts, weds a bit breezy more so the Northern half of the country.
Post edited by Gonzo on6
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T+120 shows the high weakening and sliding a bit away to the near continent potentially allowing the Atlantic back, still early days. Bartlett High'ish?
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T120 looking promising this morning. Little to no wind, probably damp and drizzy in the NW but hopefully that will push away northwards. Any cloud elsewhere not moving much.
Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/
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After todays rain moves offshore and HP builds looks like little or no rain for the next 4 or 5 days. Relatively cool nights in calm airs ,compared to the days highest temperatures, giving foggy patches in parts in the early mornings but should burn off quickly. High teens to low 20's in places throughout the coming days peaking in the late afternoons.
Fri looking decent too.
Post edited by Meteorite58 on10 -
Getting quite cool this week, a bit windy along the coasts on Thurs, the East coast could be quite windy for a time, breezy overland Thurs and Fri. A touch of frost perhaps in sheltered places during the week especially the end of the week. Rainfall amounts not huge, need to watch the weekend into the coming week though.
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Windy and very wet looking now for Sun into Mon, models showing the area of LP back on the cards, some models look v strong but in average looking like gusts up around 80Kmh in the Southern half and stronger nearer coastal areas, a bit to go, could get stronger again as models get a clearer picture and determine the track better ( being powered by a very fast Jet ). Also looking v wet along Southern coastal counties. Maybe not a storm yet but a bit stronger could name it ( ARPEGE showing a proper storm but a bit early yet , maybe a better idea on tonight's runs. )
Interesting model watching coming up.
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Yeah adocholiday GFS is underwhelming , ECM as you say far from storm forecast atm.
ARPEGE about the strongest atm followed by ICON but less windy than ARPEGE , UKMO less again so would think that ARPEGE might be overdoing it at this stage.
Rainfall looks heavy along the S and SE on Sun . Currently looking blustery overland and quite windy in coastal areas and windiest in the Southern half of the country. Possible wind and rainfall warnings in Southern counties for now. will see how it unfolds.
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Icon deepens also this evening. Quite a swathe of strong winds across the South with heavy rain. Would have thought orange warnings for Southern coastal areas both for wind and rain! Trees in full leaf etc. Surely be named by Met Eireann tomorrow, but whether it is or not its going to be a poor weekend
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That is a lot of rain to fall in less than 24 hrs on Sunday. Close to yellow wind warnings also for parts especially along the S and SE.
ARPEGE is still the strongest but has dialed it down over the last few runs, UKMO is probably a better average of the models at the moment.
Has anybody else noticed that ICON's wind speed is behaving much better now and leans more towards the mean.
- Status Yellow - Rain warning for Cork, Waterford and Wexford
- Met Éireann Weather Warning Persistent rain, heavy at times.
Potential impacts:
• Localised flooding
• Poor visibility
• Difficult travelling conditionsValid: 00:00 Sunday 29/09/2024 to 00:00 Monday 30/09/2024Issued: 11:18 Friday 27/09/2024
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You are on a roll JS well done! EDIT: JS you should start a thread being in your neck of the woods. Could be some flooding from this.
Big jump by ECM all right, that is a lot of rain to fall in a relatively short amount of time.
Quite blustery overland getting up to 70 m/h or so, looks like getting up to 80km/h along the coasts. A tad stronger tonight from the ECM for inland areas especially the Southern half of the country I reckon, a bit more in it?
Makings of a rough enough day along southern counties with the combination of heavy rain and wind, makings of local flooding you would think.
Status Orange - Rain warning for Cork, Waterford
Met Éireann Weather Warning
Heavy Rain
Impacts
. Some flooding
. Dangerous driving conditions
. Poor visibilityValid: 12:00 Sunday 29/09/2024 to 00:00 Monday 30/09/2024
Issued: 19:23 Friday 27/09/2024
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Looks like the remnants of Issac and other areas of LP merging well off to the West of Ireland forming a new area of deep LP and whilst staying off to the West bringing in a period of more unsettled weather at the end of the week and over the weekend, breezy to a bit windy at times with frontal bands and showers, rain totals creeping up in places especially the W, SW and S, and some higher temperatures in parts over the coming days and nights not as cool in general.
The airmass set to get unstable around Saturday also with warm plumes of moist air with high Theta E and W readings and added shear with the passage of occluded warm fronts possibly leading to convective weather giving heavy showers and more prolonged heavy rain in parts with thunderstorms possible perhaps.
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