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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,625 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    I am quietly optimistic that the younger "woke" population will swing this for Harris. The climate sensitive, pro-choice, (reasonably) well educated who look at Trump and see "drill baby drill", "grab em by the p*ssy" as yesterdays jam.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    It is a factor that the polling struggles to properly account for.

    Newly registered voters and voters that have not voted in recent elections get discounted somewhat in the polls , which tend to prioritise opinions from existing voters.

    The large numbers of new registrations may not be fully reflected in the polling.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,805 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    But on the other hand you have

    In a race this tight it's very hard to say who the polls might be undercounting…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    The only comforting thing is that pollsters have gotten it wrong both ways in the past



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,611 ✭✭✭Rawr


    I share your optimism, be it extreemly cautiously and with the caviat that Trump's people will ironically enough actually try to steal the election. I think it is possible to (again ironically) "Stop the Steal™" by getting the youth vote out in record numbers and overload any attempt by Trump's local MAGA gouls to mess with the results.

    The younger demographic are those who had a direct stake in bodily autonomy where older voters beyond child-baring age might not give that much of a damn about. These are people who have been given a stark, public and easy to grasp choice between being having freedom of choice or going down the way of the GOP's version of the Handmaid's Tale.

    I expect that most if not all new young registered voters who have not been previously brainwashed as part of funamentalist families, are likely to vote for the Dems. It's just a matter of getting that vote out, and getting it counted.

    Keeping all potential Dem voters in these areas engaged and excited about voting will help them win. I feel that this race being described as a "close race" will also help prevent the Dem side from relaxing too much and keeping them focused on working hard for the win.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Lindsay Graham playing cheap election theater, again. Introducing a bill to end jus soli for children of illegal immigrants and temporary visa holders.

    The 14th amendment guarantees birthright citizenship to everyone born here and subject to the jurisdiction of the United States. Graham thinks it cute to define a new law that would announce the children of illegal immigrants/temporary visa holders are not so subject to the jurisdiction of the United States - which on its face is ludicrous, it would mean those children are not subject to our laws or our enforcement, they could get away with murder? And we wouldn't have any say in it, because they are not subject to our jurisdiction. Never mind that this would be an Article 15 human rights violation insofar as it makes some individuals Stateless.

    So it makes for some droll midweek hay, but it has no chance of becoming law, least of all when Republicans don't control the agenda in the Senate - and I don't think you could even get the Republican votes in the House to pass this. Sure is a great way to titillate the base, but nothing more.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I guess having failed to get the job done in Nebraska to rig the Election, he feels that he has to rattle the sabre a bit so Trump doesn't set the dogs on him (yet).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Clinton was right and should never walked back the basket of deplorables comment.

    Funny you should mention that…

    “In 2016, I famously described half of Trump’s supporters as ‘the basket of deplorables.’ I was talking about the people who are drawn to his racism, sexism, homophobia, xenophobia, Islamophobia — you name it. The people for whom his bigotry is a feature, not a bug. It was an unfortunate choice of words and bad politics, but it also got at an important truth. Just look at everything that has happened in the years since, from Charlottesville to Jan. 6,” Clinton wrote.

    Clinton previously expressed regret over her comment, which was widely shared by critics. In 2016, Clinton said she was “grossly generalistic” when describing Trump supporters. At a New York fundraiser, she accused Trump of lifting up racist and xenophobic people.

    In her new op-ed, Clinton said “deplorables” was too kind of a word to describe the worst of MAGA.

    “The masks have come off, and if anything, ‘deplorable’ is too kind a word for the hate and violent extremism we’ve seen from some Trump supporters,” she wrote.

    (MediaITE)

    Free copy of the op ed:

    https://wapo.st/3MXRlvU

    That will be sure to rile up some of the ‘deplorables’ so coming out with this article right now is certainly a choice. I don’t really know how it will play out now.

    She has a point though, all the things we’ve seen since her basket comment, Charlottesville and beyond, Jan 6, etc., it’s hard to suggest that she was wrong in her assessment, shown to be far more cautionary and prophetic than arrogant.

    Now, it's a long op-ed and she says a lot more than that, so it's definitely worth a read, eg. some enlightening reading in there about efforts to and examples of deprogramming white supremacists. It spotlights one Shannon Foley: a reformed white supremacist who works to deprogram other white supremacists such as one girl in the piece, Samantha, who was introduced to white supremacy through an ex boyfriend who was a Unite the Right (Charlottesville) organizer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Lindsay Graham

    Of all the snakes in the GOP he is up there with the most slithery.

    He will literal say or do anything that benefits him.

    If Karma is a thing him and Cruz are in for a bleak future.

    Deplorable humans the pair of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I'm not sure the masks were ever on. I think the only thing that's really happened is that the standard of language/rhetoric has slid downward in a steady incremental way. You could almost set a watch by the process. Trump or crony says something heretofore considered outrageous or too much. Everyone goes 'can you believe what they said?'. Usual suspects go, 'eh, wasn't actually that bad' or 'it's hypocritical for the left to be mad about this' or some other equivocation. After a few days people are no longer shocked by it and the Overton Window inches right a bit further.

    That's why Trump's number one beau at the moment is Laura Loomer - a woman who likened Harris to a 'DEI Shanique' recently because, in MAGAland, you cannot get a good job as a person of colour unless you are hired on the basis of diversity, or unless you're Candice Owens, possibly.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭8mv


    She should have walked it back by saying that half of Trump's supporters are not a basket of deplorables.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,637 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Haven't read it yet, but FFS Hilary would you shut up and go away till after the election? Your name gets the old fart GQP excited, and we don't need them excited we need them sitting at home and forgetting to vote. REALLY REALLY stupid to get her name in the news, useless loser that she was. Running against the worst candidate the GOP has fielded since Reagan, should have easily won, and stupid arrogance blew it plus a massive sense of entitlement.

    I'm sure Trump will be all over this once it filters into the rotting orange matter that compromises what's left of his brain.

    Shut up, Hilary, go away. You've been useless and remain so.

    Edit: It's a brief read. She's still useless, stop it about empathy. Her daughter is a perfect example of the 'protected class' that Peggy Noonan described in a great editorial in 2016:

    https://archive.ph/9ERrg

    The unprotected felt lumped into 'deplorable' when they weren't. Because they'd been hearing about being racists, from the protected classniks like HRC, for decades. Chelsea works for the "NonProfit industrial complex," never did get that med degree from Stanford and has skated on her name. Chelsea's 3 kids will do the same.

    HRC never had anything for anyone other than the well off, and here she comes again. There are far better ways to slag Trump than bring up the fact he attracts and encourages extremists. He's ga-ga, has got no morals and no loyalties, and is dumb and lazy to boot. Don't pick on his followers - if you can, get a few of them to vote for Harris.

    The editorial at least mostly focuses on rehabilitating white supremacists, but this election being so close no one needs HRC bringing up what is a VERY failing message for the democrats at this late date. Useless person. Go away, so damn sick of Clintons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Well this is another unexpected development:

    In 2010, General McChrystal was the commander of all US and NATO forces in Afghanistan. He had tendered his resignation to Pres. Obama after criticizing Joe Biden and other officials.

    …and he has just endorsed Kamala Harris and announced he has already cast his early ballot for her.

    https://dnyuz.com/2024/09/26/stanley-mcchrystal-why-kamala-harris-has-won-me-over/

    Talk about distinguishing herself from Joe Biden eh? And he's a real centrist:

    As a citizen, veteran and voter, I was not comfortable with many of the policy recommendations that Democrats offered at their convention in Chicago or those Republicans articulated in Milwaukee. My views tend more toward the center of the political spectrum. And although I have opinions on high-profile issues, like abortion, gun safety and immigration, that’s not why I made my decision.

    Political narratives and policies matter, but they didn’t govern my choice. I find it easy to be attracted to, or repelled by, proposals on taxes, education and countless other issues. But I believe that events and geopolitical and economic forces will, like strong tides, move policymakers where they ultimately must go. In practice, few administrations travel the course they campaigned on. Circumstances change. Our president, therefore, must be more than a policymaker or a malleable reflection of the public’s passions. She or he must lead — and that takes character.

    He goes on to essay the strength of her character and endorse her Presidency, as well as indicating he 'owes it' to his granddaughters.

    Roe, Roe, Roe your vote, gently down the stream…

    Why's that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,625 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    Why's that.

    Because if she says half is supporters are not a basket of deplorables, it still suggests the other half are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    A lot of people who don't check on what Trump says is fact; Zelensky is a great salesman, every time he comes here, he leaves with US$60 million [yesterday it was 100 million] believe him, that their tax dollars are being given away to Zelensky gratis. The losses in population and nation-space to Ukraine is nothing to Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,625 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    Not just Trump but people, on both sides I might add, make up all manner of claims that it seems no-one fact checks or calls them on it.

    I was looking for a clip of Rush Limbaugh from many years ago claiming that Obama's trip to India was going to cost the tax payer $100M a day, and with him was apparently going one third of the US Navy. Can't find it now :(

    Some people don't fact anything they read or hear. They assume editors or producers would have already done the fact checking before it gets published. Depending on the publication, we all know that is often not the case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Trumps response to the briefing he got from US intelligence that Iran is behind the assassination plots against him is send it's theocracy ruler a message; if I was president, I'd nuke your cities in response to the plots.

    Its a soundbite at the moment from the man of action, a statement that he'd go for pre-emptive strikes over the reported plots. If he is elected in Nov and gets sworn in in Jan, will he reflect on his words and say "I was only letting off steam over frustration, I wasn't really considering turning Iran's cities into heaps of glass".



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The classic over-blown response of a school-yard bully.

    How anyone could want someone so clearly mentally weak as Commander in chief baffles me.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,575 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    Trump has no idea what the US companies in Ireland actually do. All he cares about are the factories making big shiny trucks and cars. The business they do is too intangible for him to wrap his head around. You can’t put tariffs on cloud server space or IT services.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,575 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭8mv


    .….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭8mv


    It would sound like a retraction but it wouldn't be...

    If I remember correctly, it comes from an exchange in the House of Commons during the Thatcher years- Denis Skinner was supposed to have said that ' half the members opposite are crooks' and when asked by the speaker to withdraw the remark did so by saying ' half the members opposite are not crooks'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,281 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I’m guessing Americans in general, be they Dems or Reps, don’t care a whole lot for Ukraine - in fact as long as the price of peanut butter and a tank of gas is acceptable to their wallet they don’t care a whole lot for anything outside of their environs.

    If Trump becomes President possibly a lot more pressure on Europe to support Ukraine as he’ll be gunning for Ukraine to cave in and relinquish a significant part of their country to Putin

    I’ve always got the feeling they’re just keeping the worst at bay but ultimately Ukraine is slowly getting strangled albeit over a number of years. But if Harris gets in she needs to take a more proactive stance - we’re at a stalemate here - not sure what the solution is but certainly ensuring all Russian related funds frozen and potentially handed to Ukraine or at least used to support it militarily - in fact I don’t know why they can’t use those funds right now - 99% of them are so obviously the proceeds of crime.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    There's a YouTube channel I'd suggest watching called Perun, he does defence economics focusing on the war in Ukraine

    Short story, the US is a key supplier to Ukraine and will remain so in the near future. While many European states have the money, knowledge and production capacity they don't have the stockpiles of munitions ready to go

    In addition Europeans have been slow to ramp production of key munitions like artillery shells which has meant the US is still the main producer.

    This was somewhat offset by the Czech initiative earlier this year where they basically went shopping around for shells and managed to buy around 1 million, largely from nations like India and South Korea which have large artillery parks (NATO tends to focus significantly on air dominance over artillery dominance)

    Overall in Ukraine, things don't look great on the surface but it's important to keep it all.in context. The Ukrainians are focusing on defence and are not showing any signs of rolling over. If the US stops shipments it's unlikely Ukraine will just surrender, Russia will still need to defeat the Ukrainian military on the field

    From Russia's viewpoint, while they have the initiative there's signs of their offensive burning out. They need to recruit 30,000 soldiers every month to replace the ones getting turned into paste, and there's signs they're struggling to match that. So far the Russian military has had to vastly increase signing up bonuses to try and keep encouraging recruits

    In addition the Russian economy is seriously heating up. So far the wartime economy has actually benefitted many employees in Russia due to pay rises, however consumer goods and fuel are going up in price (partly because the Ukrainians are trying to turn Russian oil storage facilities into an endangered species. Their own analysis is saying that the economy is going to majorly run out of steam around early 2026 if this keeps up

    They've also running low on soviet era vehicles and munitions to feed their army, and new production generally can't keep up. To be clear, they'll never run out but will reach a point where their new production is balanced against losses. This is behind their switch in tactics to more infantry based assaults, the so called meat waves

    All this is to say that the war is far from over and both sides are not showing signs of giving up. It's too early to call victory for either side yet

    Also I just realised I said "short story" then launched into an essay, sorry about that 😂

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    I see Harris has finally done a solo interview with a National network.

    The interview was with none other that fervent Trump hater Stephanie Ruhle of MSNBC.

    The same middle class gibberish, the same verbal diarrohea and dodging of answering questions.

    Its the same cliched phrases regurgitated over and over again with little to no details on policy or how to solve issues.

    Its no wonder she has avoided doing interviews till now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,281 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Great post thanks!

    Yeah even with your relatively optimistic outlook, it’s a long hard slog and what sort of country will be left? Maybe Europe needs to shout louder at America- there are massive knock on effects -.greater migration within Europe increased pressure on housing and supports etc but a hugely destabilised European nation as a whole - not something that will be good for America regardless of what Trump might say about let Russia invade.

    Im seeing criticism of Harris online and in news articles being seeing as Biden 2- she needs to plough her own furrow and doesn’t have long left to show this - I know it’s a risk but as Trump is seeing more favourable when it comes to security no less the economy, she needs to start being identified as an independent thinker, and a good one at that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I'm not bothered watching the interview but I'm sure she did fine

    I don't even need to watch it to know that she did a better job than the spiteful, nonsensical ramblings coming from her opponent

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,009 ✭✭✭✭Ha Long Bay


    I am sure you have watched the whole 24 minute video as you posted it here in good faith can you timestamp to the:

    "same verbal diarrohea and dodging of answering questions" .

    and

    "cliched phrases regurgitated over and over again with little to no details on policy or how to solve issues"

    Thanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    He was also pronouncing on Ukraine today, running a different tale to Trump's where support that nation is concerned, apposite rather than opposite. Factories have to clear their stock shelves for new product or they will go bust.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,921 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    For someone who claims to not be a Trump supporter, you never post any of his interviews and say anything similar. And you'd have plenty to criticise from his interviews.



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