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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer2024 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 392 ✭✭almostthere12


    GFS going with a long settled spell, doesn’t look particularly warm but would be welcomed change.


    ECM going with a washing machine low that gets boxed in over Ireland by high pressure and goes around and around and…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 315 ✭✭Thunder87


    Even GFS isn't particularly good, it's a fairly strong westerly flow and we're on the northern edge of the high which usually means lots of low cloud and drizzle spilling in. Hopefully it can push a bit further north



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,151 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    There's a fairly stark difference in the GFS and ECM in terms of rainfall for the next 10 days. The ECM is still on its own with that low forming off our West coast Sunday/Monday. The other models are showing some low pressure from that system over Iceland still having influence but nothing like the ECM.

    xx_model-en-328-0_modusa_2024083000_240_949_157.png xx_model-en-328-0_modez_2024083000_240_949_157.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,729 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    A huge difference all right now for a number of runs, the Global model ( which gives an average of the main models ) probably leans more towards the ECM I reckon, but noticing the latest runs possibly easing off a bit on the totals. Still watching for some thunderstorm scenario at some stage with a set up like that, maybe towards the end of the week.

    xx_model-en-328-0_modmulti_2024083000_228_949_157.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 837 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Good morning all, so anyone with any extreme early long range predictions as to what winter 24/25 might have to offer!?

    We will enjoy this weekend anyhow. It was certainly a forgettable summer overall.

    Hopfully we get a few interesting events going into autumn and winter.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,416 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Is their an autumn tread



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,367 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41


    Can I ask a general question please? Apologies for this btw. How accurate is accuweather? I'm looking at October 2024 monthly weather for Side in Turkey , its showing lots of thunder storms from 24 onwards. My question really is, how accurate do you guys reckon this is? Can rain be predicted for example 25th October 2024? Or is is just a guess. Apologies guys but even a basic answer would be most welcome.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    I wouldn't rely on them for 3 day weather, let alone over a months time. Ignore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 422 ✭✭Danny healy ray


    is next week looking decent now ??



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,249 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    I’ve given up and don’t expect high pressure to be anywhere near us, time and time again in recent months promising charts have disappeared into thin air at very short notice …. the ‘blob’?
    I have never seen such uncertainty in forecasting before.
    is there even any point in posting +120 charts in this thread anymore?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,367 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 235 ✭✭Thekeencyclist


    Found them to be ok in previous years but this year I couldnt trust them, I found the met eireann app to be more exact this summer (and I wouldnt have trusted it in previous years!!) and I have been watching the apps closely for farming purposes during the summer months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,367 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,528 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    Warmer air returning over the weekend and then back to warm summer like weather next week...signs that there could be an early start to winter with possible cold could start at the end of September more likely in October...with very warm air coming up from possible ex hurricanes at that stage and early cold setting in...we could get and kind of weather by then

    Post edited by Hooter23 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,746 ✭✭✭typhoony


    We haven't exactly had low pressure dominated weather the last few weeks, having a 1040hPa high pressure right over us is unusual anyway I think you could still call this September high pressure dominated



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,729 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,528 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    The artic air that came down over us would have created very bad weather in France only for high pressure built in over it...as this cold travels to east over the weekend it might cause very bad weather in parts of eastern europe...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,393 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Some charts are giving 300mm of rain in a 24 hour period others overe 48 hour period.

    For parts of southern Poland.

    50mm expected where I live in thr south east.

    Most of Poland is coming out of a long term drought river levels are at there lowest.

    This weather pattern happens every year there is a name given to it.

    Every 15 years give or take its a really bad one, 2010 is the last bad one.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,729 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note: Will close this thread for a while to let the Autmn thread get established, thanks.



This discussion has been closed.
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