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The accelerating fall in Sinn Féin support

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,540 ✭✭✭Jeff2


    So a scam is irrelevant.

    SF and any other party in this country have any way to sort out housing so long as the welcome people from outside the country to come here.

    They are talking about people buying homes at same time housing 1000s of people in homes irish could have bought and lived in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,114 ✭✭✭pureza


    Thats a Europe wide issue atm though

    I'm sure you'd welcome hospitality in other countries if your neighbour was blowing up appartment blocks and killing so many people with Ballistic missiles ?

    Btw,with so many Irish in Australia,ts worth noting,it's not a housing nirvana,prices are soaring and availability as bad as here if not much worse

    They've also double the amount of homeless per head of population than we have

    https://youtu.be/vWlh41jJ2Ww?si=aaRy_JxCDKvTb_Pz



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,584 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    I'm not sure what people are expecting? He is another politician with virtually no experience of the real world. He has about as much understanding of the issues with housing in Ireland as our esteemed Minister for Housing Darragh O Brien - which could be written on the back of a postage stamp.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,761 ✭✭✭standardg60


    The other bizarre aspect is E O'BROIN's inheritance model, where the children and grandchildren will be able to inherit the home. All of them? What if there's a dispute between siblings and a court orders the house to be sold, same in the event of a relationship break up. And where do they live while they wait for the parents to die? Most people would be at least in their fifties at that stage.

    There are so many holes in this plan when subjected to reality rather than O'BROIN's utopian socialist society.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    But it has logic. We've all seen how FF & FG have presided over the privatisation of social housing stock built in the 1950s-70s etc. Allowing local authority tenants to buy out their social housing and gain substantially from future sales. Whilst diminishing the social housing stock. Most people regard this as regressive. At least the Shinners are looking to avoid that, so take off the blinkers and given them some credit.

    Next move is in the FG / FF camps - let them come up with proposals that achieve the same. If FG can't or won't, then off the field with them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The Shinners are not looking to avoid the privatisation of social housing. If they wanted to avoid privatisation of the social housing stock, they would just build more social housing stock and not sell to tenants.

    Instead they have this weird plan whereby if you qualify to buy one of their houses now, you might be able to sell it at some future time to somebody who also qualifies at that future time under unknown parameters. The scheme is wide open to abuse. Just look at what was going on in Peter McVerry Trust so see how a socialist arrangement works. Those in the know got looked after, while the real poor didn't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Consider this.. I would have always said we were from a middle income family and that our adult children would be able to buy privately as we did. But they haven't a ***** hope at the moment. Even affording rent is a problem.

    So it looks like their best bets are to 1) emigrate 2) go on social housing list 3) get HAP wile waiting 4) live at home or 5) wait till we die and inherit.

    What sort of banana republic do we live in, that we can't even manage our own Irish citizens???????

    But will piss away God knows what on every Tom & Dick who lands up here. Piss away God knows what on destroying parts of our tourism industry, whilst enriching a golden circle.

    And look at the absolute scandal of what is going on in Wicklow at Kippure - major development of housing without any planning permission to avail of above.

    Now understand why we demand change, any change from the current coalition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I look at a neighbour of mine, two children. One has just bought a house with her partner, 425k, one of them came through apprenticeship, the other works in retail, live the simple life and save. No help that I am aware of from parents other than practical help.

    The other child lives the good life, off on holidays all the time, nice car, out with the partner on the town every weekend, no interest in a career. Living in a Shomera at the back of someone else's home. They have a great time and fair play to them.

    I don't pass judgement on either child, but if the second one was moaning to me about not being able to buy a home, I wouldn't listen.

    The first child there isn't the only example. I know of at least 10 people in their late 20s, early 30s who have bought in the last two years.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    This is truly bizarre stuff to query.

    So what happens in these circumstances with the FFG First Home Scheme? Or indeed any property bought with or without taxpayer subsidies?

    Which child inherits? All of them? What happens if there is a dispute? Or a relationship break up? And where will the children live while they wait for the parents to die?

    Absurd nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,971 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Yet to be seen if the unveiling of this masterplan gives SF any sort of boost in the polls. My guess would be there are enough voters who either don't particularly care about the housing issue or aren't convinced that SF would doing a significantly better job to ensure the issue will not be an electoral game changer…



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    With the First Home Scheme, the homeowner, at any point in time, has the facility to buy out the 30% government equity, that simply isn't available under the weird SF scheme. In fact, there is an even worse potential downside whereby at point of sale there could be a greater government share of the equity under the SF scheme, meaning it was a really really poor investment. Tied to the fact that there is a limited market of only people who qualify for the scheme, there are significant potential issues.

    You would be mad to buy one of the weird SF houses, unless you have no other option, and you are prepared to live there for the rest of your life.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Total nonsense. In the SF scheme the state owns the land. The house is worth less because the state owns the land, but the state does not have any equity in the house. And unless the house burns to the ground, the land is never going to be worth more than the house!

    In any event none of this really answers the questions in the post you quoted about how any disputes your heirs might have would be any different under this scheme.

    Only difference is you're leaving them a less valuable property than you might otherwise have done had you not availed od the scheme and you bought a house on the open market. Assuming you had paid off all borrowings in both cases, which of course is less of a certainty in the case of the FHS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Well, here's a thing, imagine you had two heirs and the house was now valued at only 60% of the market value because the government owned the land. If one heir qualified under the weird SF scheme, and the other did not, the qualifying heir would get 50% of a house, because they could buy the other heir out, but the non-qualifying heir would only have 30% towards the market value of a house, which is all they could buy.

    If you think all would be fine and dandy with that, you don't have potential heirs. Here are the financial details of how the SF weird scheme would affect those two heirs:

    To put it in perspective, say both want to stay in the same area.

    House 300k, market value in the area 500k, so both inherit 150k.

    Qualifying heir: mortgage of 150k, and living in the family home.

    Non-qualifying heir: mortgage of 350k, and having the stress of buying.

    Oh yeah, that would make for really friendly Christmases.

    In the First Home Scheme, using the same example and assume the equity was never bought out.

    House 500k, Market Value 500k, Equity 350k.

    Both heirs would have an inheritance of 175k, leaving them each with an equal mortgage of 325k.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    In the first scenario both inherit 150k, parents having paid off 300k - your problem is one gets to live in the family home, assuming they want to, and the other doesn't.

    In the second scenario both inherit 175k, parents having paid off 350k - we still have the problem that only one gets to live in the family home, and the other doesn't.

    The difference being now they both have big mortgages, except of course the one who earns less doesn't, because they can't afford a €325k mortgage. So they're stuck in a rental trap, or leaving the area.

    Christmases will still be frosty.

    I have two heirs. If it were my children I'd far prefer scenario one. The less well off one can afford to buy the affordable family home and the better off one can afford to buy an open market home. That seems a far better outcome.

    Again this is just absurd clutching at straws.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You can live in a dreamland where siblings view it your way, but having seen many families around me go through these situations, it is a bit like the SF proposal - a weird fantasy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,317 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    The asylum immigration issue is a different topic and I highly doubt SF are going to make any changes on that front anyway. Your SF state land owned homes will goto refugees as well as irish citizens, I expect.

    The question that matters in terms of housing boils down to who can produce the most homes over the next 5 to 10 years and I am still very confident that FFG will outbuild SF.

    The cost of SF having to recruit public sector workers will take time and a lot of money. We still dont know if banks will lend on these homes, not least because their price growth is capped.

    SF need to build the homes on state owned land. What if permission is refused? What if there is no viable state land in certain towns or cities to build on? Even if there is state owned land, once its built on, where is the next set of land located? Its a finite amount of space upon which to build.

    As per previous post, there is only so much construction resource in the country. The more is diverted to public SF homes the less building of private homes will occur- meaning the cost of private homes continues to rise and become less affordable and the wealth gap continues to broaden.

    Where will the social and cost rental homes go that SF are promising? Are they to be built in the same scheme these part ownership homes will be built?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Your post was more an argument against leaving anything in a will or even against the concept of social housing rather than any real relevance to the SF proposal though..

    If was purely opposition for opposition sake Blanch.

    God knows but i wish I didn't inherit anything, the baggage that came with it would break the melt of anyone but that's just an aside.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,535 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    I look forward to seeing how often the staff in a state-owned construction go on strike demanding pay increases when they know the electoral leverage they would have.

    Would be like the old B&I Line staff who used to call a strike every summer because they knew the company needed the holiday traffic to make any money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    My argument was in favour of the current First Homes Scheme compared to the SF proposal. The SF proposal is a disimprovement on the existing arrangements. That will become clearer in the coming weeks as the proposal is examined.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59 ✭✭Heskey1971


    SF say they've spoken to the banks and they say they're confident there won't be any issues with getting a mortgage for the houses where the government own the land.

    However, banks lend with terms attached so they can get their money back if there's a default. How would the banks reprocess a house where the government own the land and they can't sell it on without government approval? There's no certainty and they don't lend without certainty.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    Time for another bank guarantee?! 🙃



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I've seen lots of opposition for opposition sake in political debate over the years, that's par for the course, but I've never seen anything like the absurdity this SF proposal in particular has triggered.

    Some of the arguments in this post and in other threads against it, are a staggering reach.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,761 ✭✭✭standardg60


    No one is going to privately pay through the nose for a house that they have no control over what it's worth or who they can sell it to, it's absurd. They won't be able to trade up because the private market will have moved beyond them so will be stuck there for life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,317 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Yep, its all well and good if you want to stay in the home for life, but youre stuck on the first rung of the ladder whilst the private home escalator next to you moves onward and upward.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Exactly the same is true of the First Home Scheme.

    The taxpayers equity stake is not transferable to another property. So if you buy a house using the FHS you're stuck with that house until such time that you can afford to pay off the equity stake that you couldn't afford to pay for when you first bought the house.

    In both cases if you can only afford a house thanks to a govt subsidy, whether its the land value or an equity stake, unless your personal financial situation significantly improves you're stuck with what you buy.

    Why is this so hard to understand?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Assuming a bank lends 90% to buy one of these houses, with the buyer putting up 10%, where do you you see the risk to the banks?

    In the event of a default they repossess the house and own the asset, with the same title and covenants etc as the borrower.

    Where is the risk and lack of certainty to the bank? Surely they can resell the asset to another qualifying buyer and recoup their lendings?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,317 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Its not the same at all.

    First home scheme allows you to buy the govt equity and own the property at full market rate.

    SF proposal does not.

    Ergo, the SF house will always be worth considerably less than if you buy a home via the FHS.

    Why is that so difficult to understand?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Yes the SF house that you bought for considerably less than your neighbour paid for the FHS house will always be worth considerably less than the FHS house.

    Thats blindingly obvious.

    And if you want to trade up the ladder from your SF house you're going to need to find a big chunk of change to make up the difference between the sales price of your affordable house and the open market pri've of the new house.

    Thats also blindingly obvious.

    But here's the thing… If you want to trace up the ladder from your F H S house you will also need to find a similiar big chunk of change to buy the government out before you can move.

    Whats the difference? In both cases if you can find the extra money, great trade up. If not, you're stuck.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,317 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    The FHS home will rise in value with the market, meaning you can sell at a higher price than you purchased at, whether you redeem the equity or not.

    You can sell it to anyone that can afford it, so your pool of buyers is vast and includes investors.

    The SF home is index linked, will not rise in real value, and is far more difficult to sell because it can only be sold to a small select group of qualifying buyers.

    And if you do manage to sell it, you wont be able to access the private market anyway because the value of your property has been left behind by two-tier market economics.

    The FHS scheme is a far better option for a buyer.



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    The FHS home will rise in value with the market, meaning you can sell at a higher price than you purchased at, whether you redeem the equity or not.

    Well that's just great, and it also means it will cost you more to redeem the equity.

    But if you sell the property it is mandatory to pay off the equity share.

    You cannot transfer it to another property. So you're not building up equity to trade up, other than what you're paying off your mortgage. Exactly the same as the SF scheme.

    In both cases unless you have a significant additional chunk of funding or savings you won't be able to trade up.

    The FHS scheme is a far better option for a buyer.

    That may be true for each individual buyer, but the SF scheme achieves the same end and is a far better option for the taxpayer, and all buyers.

    That's the whole point of it.



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