Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

The accelerating fall in Sinn Féin support

1585961636474

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,298 ✭✭✭lightspeed


    General election likely around November but SF wait until just 2 months prior to release their nuclear solution to housing?

    Why did they keep a secret until now? It's as if they had no plan that could stack up to much scrutiny so tbey delayed compiling this manifesto until now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 867 ✭✭✭Mr Disco


    the shinnerbots seem watery and weak. They need to regather themselves for the bell will be tolling soon….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    You know, being able to have a guest visit on occasion. Its not a unreasonable expectation for the average person who has established themselves in their chosen field.

    But the expectation on price has now been set so high and the expectation on what is reasonable accommodation so low, that ye cant even see it anymore



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    Ye are captured by this idea that all the value being diverted to the few is ok and people should be happy with it.

    Sure in the 70's wasn't a damp bedsit fine, at a time when we were a very poor country, so why would we not be happy with the same standard when we are one of the richest countries in the world. Sure we are happy out to have the fruits of our increased productivity and wealth go to the few. They deserve it sure.

    Also, the expectation of what you can get we your money has always been higher in a less desirable location that the more desirable, so what somebody can get for a certain amount in a provincial town could reasonably be expected to be more than in a large city.

    In addition, the mortgage affordability guidance changed not due to interest rates, but due to the fact that prices increased, and we had to do something to make sure the investor class and vested interest in the construction supply chains could continue to cream it. That you cant see a problem with the below chart is beyond comprehension.

    image.png

    Full disclosure - my own property is valued 4 times the outstanding mortgage and twice what I paid so my own vested interest is the status quo. But the countries interest is that significant change is required.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    8 billion budget surplus expected this year. Debt to GNI down to 72% (Debt to GDP at 41% but ye will no doubt poo poo that even though the associated corporate tax benefits are very real).



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    All grants do when there is a limit to supply is increase the price. Grants in the absence of supply is just a transfer of wealth from taxpayer to developer / landowner / investors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    That graph by itself shows that we are only back to 2005, below the 2008 peak.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    It is not really a silly response. I heard SF spokespersons and indeed their supporters on here going on about the unprecedented length of the policy paper. When I looked at it, the padding was incredible, with actually only about ten pages containing any policy. #

    This is the Current Affairs forum, so poking fun at an inadequate policy paper by comparing it to a Leaving Cert project (which is about the level it is pitched at) is par for the course. There is no thinking through of the implications of the proposals, the costs are understated, the obstacles are underestimated, and it is notable that you don't analyse or criticise the substance of any of my comments, you just throw a jibe at the style of my post.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Remind me again of the attitude of the Irish population and electorate to paying ground rents? Does re-introducing a hated policy from the past make sense?

    How is it different from the scheme where the government owns 30% of the equity of the house? Not very much different, except the SF scheme places much more restrictions on what a houseowner can do, with the house only being sold to another eligible purchaser.

    The SF proposals to cut the thresholds for inheritance tax and increase the rate will have an impact as well. Why would people buy one of these houses when their children may have to sell the house in a restricted way because of SF's red tape and because they have to pay inheritance tax?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,264 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    I own my own house. But I'm not obsessed as to it's value. Most are the same, our house is not a trading commodity. In the 90/00s we got sucked into that, trading up every few years, that's over. So if any political party proposes a scheme whereby the supply meets demand and house prices stagnate, I'm not fussed. BTW a major reason for high house prices is the spec nowadays. One cannot, because of that compare house build costs of 40 and 50 years ago. There is no magic tap to supply.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    A 2 bed is deluded. That is a luxury at that age and for that purpose.

    A studio or one bed, agreed.

    The median wage is 51k in Galway, so more like 48k for someone that age. That’s a net or €3,150 so on the basis of 25% to 33% on rent, I would say about 800-1,050 is a good goal for studios in that county.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    They also want more hereditary privilege in handing down social houses by generation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,535 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    Social housing no longer based on need, but based on who your parents are (or maybe how loyal they are to the party)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,120 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    That graph also ignores other factors. For example, in the mid 90s onwards house prices increased in part due to more families with 2 incomes compared to one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    I am not an expert on it but I believe you can hand it down now.

    I am assuming the justification is that it holds communities together but I am dubious why we have special classes of citizenry for some things and not others.

    Reminds me of how the party who hate the monarchy seem to think that the great grand nephew of a 1916 Proclamation signatory should have a special say in things like Moore Street.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,735 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon


    Enoch has stolen Eoins limelight already. I doubt SF are too worried, they are probably glad to have the big launch pass without too much scrutiny.

    It is a difficult read, very unclear, lacking detail and full of padding.

    It seems that EOB had an 80 page target to meet and he kept going until he reached it.

    C grade for a good effort



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,138 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    You can "hand down" social housing only if the person taking on the tenancy was actually already living there, recorded on the tenancy, and contributing to the rent calculation for a reasonable period of time beforehand

    You can't just will the tenancy to someone.

    I believe some councils will also reserve the right to right-size the property on handover, e.g. move someone to a one bedroom flat; but never heard of it actually happening.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    😂 Yes, 2005 is the standard of affordability when we were in the middle of an irrational housing bubble 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    SF have TDs availing of this facility already.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    There isn’t good data on median wages then but the average was €45k then. It’s now €54k.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    So not based on the actual value of the asset but on the maximum tolerable by those struggling to afford?

    What has happened is asset prices have increased due to lack of supply and everyone else in the supply chain has increased their prices to grab some of the gravy train.

    But you know lets have a few more grants to make sure the snouts in the trough can get more wealth transferred from the ordinary person



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    And the chart is relative to average wage, not absolute value



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,094 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You can't increase supply in already densely populated areas, so the supply restriction will mean that prices will go up in those areas so long as the population increases in the State.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    So what’s your point here? 2005 was not peak property prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,421 ✭✭✭crusd


    image.png

    So you were arguing that 2005 had higher relative property prices so we shouldn't complain about them now but also that it hadn't higher absolute prices? Really?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,535 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    The problem is that there is no assessment on whether the new tenancy-holder actually qualifies for social housing themselves or not - leading to the possibility of someone who can afford to house themselves blocking someone in genuine need from receiving social housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,138 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    This, basically, isn't something a left-wing (or pretend left-wing like SF) party will consider to be a problem.

    Realistically, I don't either - just uncap differential rents. People will decide very quickly if they want to continue paying full market rent based on their income if they do no longer qualify; and the housing body gets more money to spend.

    Some councils have already uncapped - Kildare only caps for 1 beds - which they barely even have; but Dublin City Council charges a max of 423 a week for their biggest properties no matter how how the income in the household is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,120 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    What is value, other than the market borne price? If two people want a loaf of bread, and both have one euro and one has 1.10 euro, and it's the last loaf, is the value not 1.1 euro?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭spillit67


    But it wasn’t the peak? Who had trouble getting a property in 2005?

    The fact that we are only there shows are remarkably effective the regulations have been in a time of supply shortage. We are seeing in the last 18 months how loosening those regulations have counteracted higher interest rates.

    Saving has to be considered here in a 100% vs. 90% mortgage scenario.



Advertisement