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Vice President Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump 2024

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,502 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    If experience is a thing, then trump being objectively ranked bottom or in the bottom 2 of all presidents show that he is unfit for the role (they have been ranking presidents since 1982):

    American Presidents: Greatest and Worst – Siena College Research Institute

    All ranking files and Tables excel.xlsx (siena.edu)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,422 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Sometimes the elephant in the room is so **** huge though.

    I mean, why can't we just move past the fact that Kang and Kodos are both Aliens who murdered the candidates and bodysnatched them so they could rig the election? Why do you keep bringing that up all the time??

    image.png

    Trump is a convicted felon. He has been found guilty of rape in a court of law (you might think it's useful to debate whether his finger or fallus defines rape but best of luck with that)

    If these were the only reasons for not selecting him as president, they'd be pretty strong arguments on their own. But they're also accompanied by millions of other reasons

    He's a liar

    He's old and frail

    He's boring and rants and raves like a lunatic

    He's ignorant about basic facts, (Science, History, Geography)

    He's failed multiple times in business, and had to file for bankruptcy

    He cheats at Golf

    He cheats on his wives

    He cheats on his taxes

    He defaults on his debts

    He's a terrible judge of character and hires terrible staff

    He's a war monger who wants war with Iran and wants to support Israel in their attempts to destablise the middle east

    He's a science denier, he is determined to roll back all progress on tackling climate change

    He is a massive racist

    He doesn't care if states roll back all reproductive rights, including even the right to use contraception

    He doesn't respect democracy

    He doesn't support the peaceful transition of power (if he loses)

    He is lying about his own policy positions and whether he supports the 'Project 2025' documents

    He looks wierd

    He managed to make a story about surviving a bullet to the head sound so boring that people have already forgotten that even happened

    He is lazy, he worked fewer hours than any president in recent memory

    He is barely literate, he speaks and writes at the level of an 8 year old

    He has no diplomacy skills, in his time as president, he was a laughing stock internationally, and rude and insulting to other world leaders

    The people he will likely install in his cabinet are actual neo-nazis and fascists

    ……

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,530 ✭✭✭Lewis_Benson


    “Arguing with idiots is like playing chess with a pigeon. No matter how good you are, the bird is going to **** on the board and strut around like it won anyway.”

    - Shannon L. Alder -



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Trumps choice of VP was a major error on his part and may yet cost him the election - a VP throughout the election is chosen to help shore up certain voters that the candidate themselves find hard to attract- Trump just picked a mini-me.

    Harris needs to keep close to her VP throughout this election - just to ensure any doubters can be reassured



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    and yet he’s only 4 points behind in current poll I posted above - you’d think it would be more wouldn’t you.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,101 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    You keep mentioning doubts about Harris. But you fail to mention the massive, and clear, doubts about Trump.

    He is a convicted fraudster and sexual assailant. He is currently going through the legal process in regard to stealing and refusing to return, classified documents. His massive tax cut failed to drive growth in the economy, he promised 5 to 6%.

    He is clearly much older, and all his recent speeches and debates show a man who is struggling to keep pace.

    He is struggling for money. He owes 500m in court fines with apparently no way to pay. His fundraising is miles behind Harris. Any fundraising is going to keep his legal issues on the long finger in the hopes of getting elected and being able to quash them all.

    The momentum is with Harris. Doesn't mean she will win, but it is hard to see how Trump is going to make any changes to turn things around. His base is a given, nothing will change their minds. But we have seen his support drop off as Biden was replaced. The polls all showed that voters didn't like that Biden was so old and that raised concerns, concerns that were solidified with his debate performance.

    But Harris doesn't have any of those issues regarding age. Trump very much does. The swings in the polling in relation to mental ability etc are massive. Trump had 30+ point leads over Biden and that has now been reversed. There was always talk of how Trump would win over Biden voters, the age and mental ability seemed to be the way to do it. That has all been lost now.



  • Posts: 6,626 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I genuinely think that the "undecided" element will mean that current polling will turn out to be wildly wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,940 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Not really, I think Harris' momentum will grow a bit more, maybe to 7 points. But look at any previous election and the candidate maybe gets the popular vote by 2%. The reality is there's a proportion of the US population that will vote GOP no matter what. Equally there's a proportion of the population who would never care about how low Trump goes.

    Harris needs to target key states and that's the biggest priority. That appears to be what she's doing.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,945 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    why not explore why so many people still support Trump, given all that’s happened?

    Because politics in the US has ossified so much that if Trump was running against FDR he'd still have a baseline of about 44% support.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    There’s still “unknowns” for Harris- true her opponent is weak but he’s not written off yet- why? Will he be post debate? Lets see.


    Harris’ ethnicity unfortunately will lose her some votes - that’s just how America rolls unfortunately. Her gender will also lose her some votes- again unfortunate but we know there’s glass ceilings everywhere- hopefully her VP choice can counteract some of these voters. Then there’s the mobilisation of many groups on polling day who are reluctant to go out and vote- that’s a mammoth task and can’t be underestimated - fine if you lead in the polls but if your people don’t come out to vote on the day, it’s all meaningless.

    There are people here saying “Harris will win”- I’m ignoring such posts as it’s way too early to call it and we’ve seen such rubbish predictions in the past turn to dust on the day- the Republicans or Trump at least, is going to fight dirty - we know that- will it impact Harris, let’s see. What Trump promises for the economy will be key and how he paints Harris as a failed VP which he’ll do, will also be key- if certain undecided voters believe Trump is better for their oaychecks and pockets , all the moral arguements in the world won’t change that.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,502 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Are you solely responding to that one poster then? Was there context to their statement that you are leaving out?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,101 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    The very reason that Trump continues to see such support is the very reason why he will struggle to attract new support. People are well aware of who Trump is. They have made their minds up. 9 years he has been playing the same gig. He didn't even stop campaigning when he did become POTUS. So there is nothing new there.

    He does carry a very large, and very committed, level of support. A level of support that I would bet almost no one else could have continued with given everything that he has done. But the flip side is that he will always find it difficult to break through. He didn't do it, in terms of the popular vote, in 2016 when he had the benefits of the newcomer. He lost again om 2020, this time the EC went against him as well.

    He is losing support with women because of his almost glee with getting Roe v Wade overturned. How to win that support back. Soften his message on abortion. But that carries the real risk of losing the very support he has now.

    He carries a lot of support because he 'says it like it is'. But that puts many off and is now faced with not only a woman but a minority. Can he successfully land the hits against Harris whilst not alienating those who don't already support him? The last few weeks would suggest not.

    He had the incumbency in 2020, traditionally a massive benefit, but still lost. But he is running on the basis of his experience of being POTUS, which immediately brings people back to why they didn't vote for him in 2020. Is there anything he has done since that election to make those people think they should give him another go?

    Anyone who has paid any attention to US politics since 2015 will know that you can never write off Trump. At every stage where one would think he was done, he managed to rise again. He has been prematurely written off way too many times. So I don't think anyone thinks that Harris has this won. Or that anyone will go into the election night thinking that they know what is going to happen. Based on 2020, it is more likely that we will still be questioning who will be POTUS well into January 2025.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,422 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Yeah, the 'is/ought' dichotomy that has plagued philosophers for centuries, writ large on the global political stage.

    Just because Trump is close to winning this election, doesn't mean he ought to be.

    On all reasonable grounds for selecting a world leader, Trump fails on every one of them. And yet, he's still a coin flip from winning the election.

    Usually when what 'is' is so significantly divergent from what 'ought' to be, it indicates a need for systemic change (of course, 'ought' is subjective)

    I personally think there are a huge amount of things that are wrong with the US democratic system that have led to the situation where we are left with a demagogue being so close to clinching power again.

    eg: The first past the post 2 party system means the political system is inherently crippled by two dominant political forces who are both hugely corruptable an almost impossible to replace

    The funding model for US politics that allows billionaires and corporations to funnel money into their preferred candidates anonymously and with few if any actual limitations

    The dissolving system of checks and balances, SCOTUS being corrupted by nakedly political appointments, who are making these kinds of interventions in the political system (citizens united, giving the POTUS immunity to prosecution, hanging chads in Florida, and the potential that they'll be the casting votes in the upcoming election if any race is challenged up to the SCOTUS)

    The media being so polarised, with local media being owned by a tiny mumber of conglomorates that have polarised the US population and caused an extremely partisan hostile and uninformed electorate across the most consequential 'battleground states'

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I guess it’s just so much easier for you to shout that people you disagree with here “dont have the mental capacity” to believe your vapid arguments such as “Trump is more experienced” because “he was the president”

    I don’t think you need much more oxygen here. This is like your recently shuttered feedback thread where you felt that you were free to name call other posters in lieu of remaining civil. Who lacks mental capacity then?

    Trump has a lot of experience “being president” I guess, sure he is the most impeached one term president in history, under his experience he ran up the largest one term deficit in human history and buddied up to the Taliban and dictators and played a ton of golf. But Harris, pfft, she was just the vice president of a normal administration, a senator and a career prosecutor with no scandals to her name. Close call.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I’v no intention of entering a “bickering” completion with you- but thanks for the offer anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I’ve no intention of bickering with you either I just note it’s strange you feel free to declare everyone you disagree with “lacks the mental capacity” to agree with you. It’s very transparent low effort posting. Your mask is off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,502 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The only reason you can't write off trump is because he keeps running and taking centre stage for the GOP in a 2-party system where only a few states effectively come into play.

    From a record perspective, he hasn't overseen an election "win" since 2016.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    The most extraordinary aspect for me is how Trump has held the reins for so long as candidate without any viable alternative getting a look in- it’s the illusion of democracy only - “land of the free” it is not. It’s quite a fearful paranoid place right now



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    and that win was not with the popular vote.

    Right now the only way he has a shot is voter roll and turnout shenanigans in several states. In reality the GOP are worried he might actually lose both Florida and Texas - Florida where he is worried about high turnout because of an abortion ballot initiative, and Texas because in 2020 the state nearly turned blue over one county, Harris County (ironic naming). Texas is currently in a massive voter roll purge, over a million purged. Reportedly in GA people say on Reddit for example that they’ve been purged from the rolls more than once this year and keep having to reregister to vote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    Not having been president before is the usual before becoming president. It can't really be an issue if it is usually expected that at least 1 of the candidates have not held the position before and frequently neither will have that experience. Generally people look for experience in politics and law for the presidency which she has ample of.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,781 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Yes, yes you would think it's more. But for some inexplicable reason, people keep "both-siding" them, or attacking Harris for "inexperience", or for whats happening in the Middle East (even though Trump would be categorically worse) or her gender or her race or holding Trump over Harris for doing interviews with handpicked, softball journalists who aren't miked up.

    THEY ARE NOT ON THE SAME LEVEL AS EACH OTHER.

    And I can see why @Akrasia is getting the thanks they are for that post pointing out Trump's flaws. It's a brilliant, beautiful, succinct post and makes it that friggin' simple. If I could thank it twice, I could.

    Honest to God man, if YOU were running for president, you would have my vote over Trump.

    Character HAS to be important in that job. You are a role model to millions.

    At this stage I would encourage people to vote for ANYONE that wasn't that duplicitous moron.

    Maybe if the "devils advocates" could just take a step back and look at the big picture, and then used that energy they're using to offer up "both sides" of the debate, maybe, JUST MAYBE, her lead would grow in the polls.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭swampgas


    Another factor is how desperate and underhanded the GOP is at state level, being prepared to undermine the whole electoral system if they don't see themselves winning legitimately. I expect that voter suppression will be rampant, and that legal strategies to ignore the vote and put forward their own slate of electors are already in place. It's not just Trump trying to win here, it's a very corrupt GOP at state level trying to rig the election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,140 ✭✭✭thatsdaft




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,708 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    There’s no question Harris is the “better” candidate when compared to Trump - but morality doesn’t appear to be a significant factor in this election - well as significant as it should be given Trumps ever expanding list of crimes and misdemeanours.

    This 4% of undecided voters- what in all that’s holy will persuade them given all that’s known about Trump? What does Harris have to do to convince them? That’s the secret sauce and I’m not sure does anyone have the answer- that’s why this election is so riveting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Have you ever tuned into Fox news? They've been bombarded with indoctrination for decades, social media has increased that exponentially. This situation hasn't happened purely organically, it's been heavily cultivated. It's not exclusive to "one side", and it's certainly not exclusive to just the US. Extreme candidates have been gaining traction everywhere.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,910 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I'm pretty sure that the potential Trump/Biden match up was the first time in US History that both candidates had been President before.

    So at least one and quite a lot of the time BOTH of the candidates will have no previous experience of "being President" so I don't think it's really a thing.

    Incumbency definitely has value most of the time, but Trump is only the 2nd candidate in history to have previously been President and not be an incumbent so there's no historical reference to gauge its value.

    What we do know is that last time out "incumbency" was actually damaging to Trump as people did not like what he had done as President.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,494 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    …Ah well there was the mayhem of 1912.

     Democratic Governor Woodrow Wilson of New Jersey unseated incumbent Republican President William Howard Taft while defeating former President Theodore Roosevelt (who ran under the banner of the new Progressive/"Bull Moose" Party)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1912_United_States_presidential_election

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    The fact that Kamala is the Dems pick is equally as telling.

    She was incredibly unpopular and has been only parachuted in as nominee because the president was so inept.

    Kamala shouldn't be within an ass' roar of being their canditate but they painted themselves into a corner.



This discussion has been closed.
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