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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    It certainly has potential. There is scope here to have a positive private sector involvement. Many employers are frustrated with the governments inaction to the point that they are providing housing for employees themselves.

    With this scheme there could be the opportunity for those employers to source land for the Scheme. My employer does this in the USA, does wonders for there ESG score.

    High probability that homes would be built where they are needed bringing environmental and efficiency gains rather than long commutes of current policy

    Would make a refreshing change from the private sector FFG are mingling with whose sole objective appears to be milk the taxpayer for everything they can get

    Should be a token rent payment for the Land imo 1k per year rising with inflation. Servicing sites is not cheap and as these are aimed at median to average income, they can afford it.

    Notable that they appear to be confining the scheme to 2 bed units. It kind of encourages turnover thereby potentially maximising the number of couples families that may benefit as well as addressing the shortage of 2 bed units in the market. 1/2 beds are needed at a life stage where your income may be lower (career start/finish)

    Apologies if this comes across as a party political broadcast. My concern is that why are they coming out with this now when they have been mouthing on about housing for years and we have to wait till September for there full housing policy.

    Shades of political football



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I'm fairness they have been talking about the state owned land indefinite leasehold type of arrangement for a few years now.

    This is definitely not the first we've heard of this approach to affordable housing from SF.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Maybe they need a new leader then, I heard that interview she did before the local elections and she was all over the place on an issue they were gathering most support



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The health of the world economy from one of the better economists out there



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Another link dump?

    Have you listened to it, what is of interest?

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 176 ✭✭Eclectic Econometrics


    I saw something interesting the in UK regarding council tax. A proposal for a 0.5% tax on the value of your property to replace the current system. I would be amazed if they followed through on this but from an observational point of view it would be great to see how successful the implementation is.

    I know several people have talked about tax being unfair in Ireland and I am guessing this is close to what you would want here too.

    https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/cost-of-living/new-council-tax-band-system-29659478



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Panic setting in on stock markets

    VIX up 57%

    Starting to price in a recession



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    S&P 500 has fallen to levels not seen in….40 days.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Had a laugh earlier seeing investors fearing that the FEDs "soft landing" may not occur...

    History tells us that any predictions of a "soft landing" are almost always proven wrong!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Reform of Council Tax comes up every now and then since the current bands are based on notional 1991 valuations and there are a whole host of anomalies (e.g guess where has the lowest charges). My hunch is they will leave it alone since Council Tax revenue goes to local government rather than central.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    How does that square with local councils going bankrupt in the UK requiring funding from the ‘central’.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    any thoughts - is the government's first home scheme which is essentially an interest only loan to be repaid in full at some point in time a blatant attempt by the government to break central bank lending limits - and if so how come the central bank are not more vocal about it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,139 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    This is exactly what will happen, Fg will take a term out on the fence as all their retirements will hurt them. Ff and SF will make a **** show of things and FG will pivot away from the pandering to everyone to a more conservative traditional FG. I think this is what's needed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    I’d have said the same 6 months ago, but with how SF have fallen it’s hard to see anything but another FF/FG coalition now. FF would be crazy to go in with SF also, it would decimate them.

    FG move to the right economically is already evident under Harris.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2024/0801/1463035-ireland-politics/

    Im very hopeful of a stronger FG led government with Harris leading out with what Varadkar said he’d stand for but never really did, knowing he has 5 years to make some changes



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Agree you can complain but what are you actually going to do? Vote for one of the even more anti landlord/higher tax parties

    We are after decades of multi party governments. No party has done more than Fine Gael to expel the indigenous Irish based small landlord from the market



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,551 ✭✭✭amacca


    There would also be civil unrest should it come to pass



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    SF must take at least some of the credit. Their calls for a complete ban on no-fault evictions and the (albeit receding) possibility they would form the next government must have played on the minds of at least some landlords who decided to sell/not to offer their properties to tenants.

    The point being made by Datadude, the alternative may be worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    It doesn't. But a bankrupt council or two will piss off fewer people than another tax rise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    how can people be pissed off with paying more tax when they knew this would be the outcome when voting…



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Years of mismanagement by conservatives with our own crew copying the worst of there housing initiatives



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    It was never spelled out to them. At least not until after polling day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    how can you possibly say that…it was a labour government who’s belief for over 100 years is more tax to pay for an increase in public spending. Its not something that needs to be spelled out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Only two things was the pledge not to increase Income Tax, NI, VAT, GCT, or Corporation Tax; and shoving VAT+Corpo onto private school fees. No doubt whatsoever in my own mind that taxes would go up regardless of who wins, but Labour were clearly trying to shy away from their tax&spend reputation. And I've long given up on the idea that British voters as a collective think long-term.

    Anyway, back on topic before the mods get woken up..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I'm a labour voter and one of there policies is a huge contributer to why your taxes are falling. Free third level education brought the Celtic tiger economy zooming up the value chain leading to record tax receipts

    Do you think FFG squandering your taxes to the tune of upto 40/50% per unit to provide a unit of housing to one private citizen when we are on record wages will help reduce your taxes

    It is astonishing that our best, brightest and consequently our best paid are unable to see this, maybe they are too busy to give it 5 minutes thought.

    Everytime labour have been in government, the country has been in a much better position financially, economically and sustainably than when they took over.

    Additionally when tough decisions need to be made, they did it regardless of whether it damaged the party

    In the UK, Years of conservatives privatising public services has resulted in investment funds asset stripping, loading with debt, collect the bill payments with little investment in infrastructure meaning services are no longer fit for purpose. Continue untill taxpayer bailout is required

    Which is more damaging for taxpayers?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    serious wobbles in stock market at moment with japan seeing biggest drops since 1987 and likes of warren buffett offloading huge portion of apple to build 277 billion dollar cash war chest

    oil at 7 month lows despite major war brewing in middle east

    wonder will see more ecb interest rate drops to help drive more property prices rising here



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Looks like yen carry trade unwinding, cutting rates in the west would accelerate the sell off



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    VIX (fear guage) up 170%



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    "The Irish Examiner has spoken to several housebuyers, all of whom dealt with the same West Dublin estate agent, and who were all subjects of a lengthy sales process after going ‘sale agreed’, before discovering that the property had either been sold or promised to another party.

    Each of the buyers in question paid deposits of several thousand euros to secure the sales.

    One 25-year-old new mother and her partner went ‘sale agreed’ on a house in Dublin in December 2022 with the estate agent. Finally, in July 2023, the woman discovered that the house had already been sold to someone else."

    Oh where are all the sicko fans who will say EAs are pillar of the society who go by the rules and God forbid they won't be liars and cheaters.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



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