Vice President Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump 2024

I'd say that Trump knows quite a bit about Project 2025 because he admitting to having seen proposals from the document.

He falls back to the 'I know nothing about…' line any time he is asked about a controversial thing he's been linked to.

He used the line when asked about QAnon, saying, "I know nothing about them, other than they like me.... which I appreciate."

For any normal president, it would have been a lay up - "That's mental. This is exactly the kind of thing that is causing the division in our great nation."

Trump, "Not only will I not denounce this, I'll mention that I appreciate their support."

This was a direct quote from Trump in Truth Social:

“I know nothing about Project 2025… I disagree with some of the things they’re saying and some of the things they’re saying are absolutely ridiculous and abysmal."

Eh… how can you "know nothing" about it, and yet disagree and agree with aspects of it?
So caught in a lie there.

And then, he never specifies what parts he agrees with and what parts he disagrees with, so he writes himself a blank cheque. Weasel words from a lying weasel.

I don't think they will drop the cases against him but if Trump's loses that election, then all that's left is to throw every roadblock imaginable in front of their proceeding which will in turn keep him in the news cycle for way longer than he deserves to be.

Why wouldn't he run again? In America, being a convicted criminal mostly, if not entirely, strips you of your voting rights, but it doesn't stop you from running for president.

If he wanted to run again and the base wanted him to, he would do so, and there really isn't much that the sane or sensible members of the Republican party could do about it or they would have done it by now.

Just to remind everyone also that Trump's (I think) first tweet after losing the 2020 election was, "I WON BY A LOT!"

Let the festival of boot licking begin. Jd Vance debasing himself once again claiming Trump is responsible for getting the prisoners home from russia. What a pathetic ticket, what a pathetic duo.

They couldn't have gotten rid of him even right after Jan 6. Sure, many may have wanted to, but anyone who actually voiced the idea was probably subjected to heaps of threats of being primaried and/or killed.

anyone got any good commentators to listen to for polling data analysis?

listening to a bit of the coporate media (msnbc / cnn / fox type stuff) its all just tribal nonsense (at least the people i've listened to) nationwide approvals and things, who cares what people in Wyoming or California think - it doesnt matter.

found this guy on youtube https://www.youtube.com/%40ElectionPredictionsOfficialYT

looking back to the 2020 predictions he had this on 29 july 2020

comparing it to the actual results he got it close to bang on, just georgia and florida backwards, he said in that analysis video that both states were a toss up at this point.

This is the prediction 29 july 2024

I guess kamala is new into the race so things are likely to change more than 4 years ago but it's terrifying.

Live. Sure. Be able to campaign? I doubt it.

I just looked at the Paddy Power odds of VP, and they are much farther apart than what I expected them to be.

Shapiro: 1/3

Beshear: 11/2

Kelly: 8/1

Buttigieg: 16/1

Walz: 16/1

I am shocked to see Kelly so far out. They must really think that no one from the Dems could win back his Senate seat. I would have thought him being the only shortlister FROM the border would have been a good thing.

I also would be shocked if Shapiro is picked with this sex case cover up scandal bubbling under.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/womens-group-to-harris-dump-shapiro-over-sex-case-cover-up

Shapiro has come under fire for his administration’s move last year to pay nearly $300,000 to settle a sexual harassment claim against one of his longtime aides. The deal involved a non-disclosure agreement.

“Governor Shapiro’s office should have done a better job preventing sexual harassment happening in his own office by former cabinet secretary Mike Vereb, including protecting the survivor who bravely came forward, ensuring that any other potential survivors felt safe in speaking up, and ensuring the harasser didn’t have the opportunity to do further harm after the complaint,” Emma Davidson Tribbs, director of the National Women’s Defense League said. “We deserve leaders who will not brush sexual harassment under the rug, but will put accountability above politics. We need leaders who prioritize effective policies, protocols and a culture that prevents sexual harassment and protects survivors.” She later told the Daily Beast that if Shapiro “really wants this to be full and transparent,” that he should allow the woman the option to tell her story.

There's also:

Shapiro has faced other ethics questions, too. He’s been seen sitting courtside with a donor at a 76ers game and caught flack for accepting pricey tickets to numerous other sporting events, potentially violating his state’s gift ban.

And progressives sympathetic to Palestinian causes don’t want him on the ticket either as Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza rages on. Shapiro is a vocal supporter of Israel’s right to defend itself, while critical of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. He has criticized anti-Israel protests, pushing to forcibly end the encampment at the University of Pennsylvania.

His positions have raised free-speech concerns and have now led pro-Palestinian activists to try to sink his chances of joining the ticket, The New York Times reported Thursday.

I'm not saying any of us are squeaky clean, but the less ammo the Republicans have, the better. He just sounds like he will be a complete headache, and a potential turn off for the Millenial/Gen Z voters.

That leaves Beshear, and I know next to nothing about him, but his dad was governor of the state, and I am not a huge fan of dynasty's.

Swing Pennsylvania and Arizona and Harris wins. If they can swing 3 states its a hammering. Every state is worth double what it appears on paper as one side loses it the other gains it, so a 20 college vote state gives a 40 vote swing. The gap isn't as wide as that makes it appear.

At the moment Trump is the favorite and it is a big reason, maybe the only real reason, that Biden has stepped down from running. There was no way, apart from blind faith in Bidens ability to turn things around, that it appeared there was a route to victory for Biden.

Since he stepped down, not only has Harris brought the new name bounce, but Trump has gone into a tailspin. His VP pick, James David Vance (born James Donald Bowman) is currently bombing and Trump is making things worse everytime he opens his mouth. So I expect the polls, and thus the potential Electoral college votes, to change over the next few weeks.

But, Trump still is the favorite, it is his election to lose. Sounds crazy but that is the reality. Harris will have to not only maintain the momentum but find some way to win back the voters that Biden has lost as well as ensuring that the massive turnout due to postal voting in 2020 is replicated as any falloff in turnout will advantage Trump as his support is locked in and motivated.