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BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION - 4TH JULY

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,451 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    With over 400 seats, the Left in the Labour Party can be ignored.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,312 ✭✭✭amandstu


    True in practice but unwise.All genuine opinions should be respected.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,448 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    Looking at the results up north there are still more Unionist votes up there so no point in pushing border polls for awhile yet .If push came to shove the majority would vote to remain as they are with a bit to spare .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭quokula


    Yes, the voting share was utterly meaningless but it shouldn’t be in a country that claims to be a democracy. Putting people who have little support among the public in power thanks to an undemocratic system is what gives the likes of Farage the chance to fester and grew.

    People say that in a more democratic system reform would have 60 seats or whatever, but I would counter that by saying in a more democratic system a democratically elected government wouldn’t have created all the issues and disillusionment among the electorate that have allowed reform to achieve the vote share that they did.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,898 ✭✭✭✭Grayson


    And the majority of parliament isn't even elected.

    Speaking of which, wonder if Truss and Boris will get peerages? in the future I saw this morning that Sunak put May forward for one.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,129 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    GRt04WOWMAAFRhX.jpeg

    Funny meme online, the latest Hezbollah activist to be taken out.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 30,096 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    They had a large number of seats with 10k+ majorities in 2019. They have almost none now. I saw a scatter plot for it but I'm struggling to find it again

    Basically while their overall vote as roughly static, they increased it where they needed to and they decreased it where it didn't matter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,697 ✭✭✭boardise




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,396 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    talking to a few english colleagues, there did seem to be a certain 'yeah, i'll probably vote but it's a foregone conclusion' note of resignation in their attitudes; and as suggested earlier in the thread; i guess that is one reason that turnout was low. complacency from labour voters, a sense of 'why bother' from non-labour voters.

    again, it's one benefit of PRSTV, you have more of a sense that you vote will be counted even if your preferred candidate is almost certainly not going to win.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,409 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    Right whatever helps you get through it.

    Its like saying the storm was meant to destroy the whole house but look a wall is still up so it's fine



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,695 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    You are missing the point. People voted for Reform as they expected the Tories to be ultra right wing but had to water it down to appeal to the middle right. A rock and a hard place for the Tories.

    What we are seeing is the emergence of two unelectable "Tory" parties, one right wing version with Farage as leader and a middle right wing one with somebody like Suella Braverman as leader.

    There is no chance of a unified Tory party now. They will go with either one or the other now for years to come. The traditional Tories will end up similar to what the UUP are now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,451 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Well I meant not a total disaster.

    They seemed almost relieved they came back with triple digit figures and take comfort that they lost many seats due to tactical voting.

    I remember 1997. Labour had not only won that election but they had won the next one after it (and even the one after that).

    Not the case here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,291 ✭✭✭hoodie6029


    George Galloway lost his seat. LOLLERS!

    This is water. Inspiring speech by David Foster Wallace https://youtu.be/DCbGM4mqEVw?si=GS5uDvegp6Er1EOG



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,908 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Either way, they are screwed under the FPTP system. Move too far to the right and they lose the moderate vote - gravitate towards the centre and they lose the Reform votes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,312 ✭✭✭amandstu


    It is a pretty new party in a way. It would be interesting to know why they voted for Farage and why they didn't vote Tory.Perhaps there will be studies done in the next week or so.

    Hard to forecast the political future other than Labour has 5 years in all likelihood to show its worth to the general public.

    I wonder who will be their best performers this time around.

    Will Farage be the BJ nouveau?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,084 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    How fvcking dare you accuse me of such absolute unfounded bullsh1t. You have come out with some absolute horseshit in your history on this site but that takes the biscuit. I have been always absolutely consistent on my criticism of FPtP and the need for electoral reform in the UK. Reform deserve to have a fair representation of seats vs their vote share just like the Lib Dems have, would I be happy due to my opinions of them? No. but I would never complain that they had an equitable seat share vs votes and that democracy was properly being enacted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,169 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    Oh, but these are good honest upper-class activists sharpening the knives this time. They won't burden the people with such odious Marxist concepts like minimising sewage and fertiliser runoff getting into streams and rivers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,312 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Rees Mogg and Boris Johnson fit the description but I am not sure which is clearly the party of toffs .Certainly not Starmer and his grouping,I would say. but let's not forget Thatcher and Tebbit weren't toffs either even if She went to Oxbridge from recollection.

    Geoffrey Howe ,her joyous nemesis was I think a toff (but appearances can deceive and perhaps he had a more normal background .I just don't know.)

    Is Suella Bravaman a toff?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,753 ✭✭✭Macy0161


    Notwithstanding the foregone conclusion aspect (which is why Labour were trying to dismiss the polling), there was also more tactical voting, if not officially endorsed by parties this time than many elections I remember in the past.

    But it also has to be recognised that there was really good vote/ resource management by Labour and in particular the Lib Dems on doing so much better seat wise than they have managed in the past on similar or even bigger shares of the vote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,016 ✭✭✭TinyMuffin


    Moggxit.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,498 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Seats won based on proportional representation rather than FPTP

    Labour

    220

    Conservative

    154

    Reform UK

    93

    Liberal Democrat

    79

    Green

    44

    Others

    19

    Scottish National Party

    16

    Sinn Fein

    5

    Workers Party of Britain

    5

    Plaid Cymru

    5

    Democratic Unionist Party

    4

    Alliance

    3

    Ulster Unionist Party

    2

    Social Democratic and Labour Party

    2

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,409 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    Ah the 5 stages of grief. It is a disaster. Worst in tory history it's a disaster



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    If only me auntie had bollox she'd be me uncle



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,967 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    That's not "Seats won under PR" or anything remotely like it.

    That's "All seats distributed based on % share of (sort of)1st preference votes"

    Not the same thing at all.

    There is absolutely no way of knowing where the seats would end up if People were asked to give a ranked preference.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,409 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    How did you get those figures also if the election was run that way then parties would have run far different strategies



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,396 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    Yeah, any attempt to predict what PR would have meant is futile. There's no number 2, number 3 vote etc so there's simply no data to base it off.

    I suspect it's just the total number of seats multiplied by the percentage each party got.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,321 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    couldn’t be happier Tories got so thoroughly wiped out, the deserve it!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,498 ✭✭✭brickster69


    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,957 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    be interesting to see if he fecks off now or is helicoptered into a safe seat in a bi election

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,113 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    To come back into at least 5 years of pointless opposition with little hope of government even after that?

    With the performance of Reform the Tories are looking at years in the political wilderness. People like JRM are not interested in rebuilding or reshaping.

    He knows he reached the top due to Brexit. Nothing left for him now.



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