BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION - 4TH JULY

UK election result 60% left / centre-progressive, 40% Right wing-conservative.

Labour is progressive?

Had a quick look at the daily heil to see what their reaction was. You had to scroll a while before saw a picture of Starmer.
Their election live blog article has Farage (a leader of a party of 4 seats) front and centre on the pic with Starmer and Sunak either side.

Directly below that ‘how to protect your investments from Labour. THE STEPS YOU NEED TO TAKE NOW!’

What a delusional rag.

Rees Mogg too 👌

Was a bit surprised by that. He has GB news show, will be grand.

Keir Starmer got 36,000 votes in his own constituency when Jeremy Corbyn was leader in 2019. This has now dropped to 18000 votes with Keir Starmer as leader in 2024.

If Reform and Farage stick around, they could keep the Tories out of power for 10 to 15 years. The fracturing of the right wing vote is a calamity for the English right (especially with FPTP).

From Tim Shipman on X:

"There’s a weird delirium seizing Tories this morning. Worst election result ever but they can sniff an opening with Starmer’s low vote share. “This is the shittest landslide ever” one says “We can get back in five years”. If this view is widespread it may change who they pick for leader"

Is there a popular potential leader available from the reelected Tory MPs? One that will engage the British public.

Jeremy Hunt maybe, although I think he was defeated buly Johnson in a leadership campaign before wasn't he?

Yes, it was far more that the Tories 'lost' the election rather than Labour 'winning' it.

But there is a major chance for Labour and Starmer to grow into the role and win a second term. The Tories seem far more divided and unstable (even now with the smaller rump version).

Yes, Reform totally cannabalised the Conservatives vote.

Richard Curtice on BBC said about two thirds of Conservative party seat losses attrributed to Reform being in the race - that's approx 160 seats Reform prevented the Conservatives from retaining/possibly retaining.

I would have guessed a bit less than that number because I think whoever voted Reform, a lot would not have gotten over their disgust at the Conservative party's abysmal record.

This was most definitely not a popular voter sentiment shift to Labour, but there you go the seats are what count.

Labour should really take their 'poor' vote share on board though.

It'll all depend on what the tories and Reform doing going forward. If they stay separate it'll splinter the right vote and labour will go through by default (kind of like yesterday).

If they get into bed together it could be a short stint in government for Labour. The UK electorate just loves a right leaning vote, I think.

Good result for Labour.

Not near the 40% Jezza got in 2017 but decent none the less.

The lack of ideological difference between the parties means people stay at home.

It's Going to be the same here for our election I would think.

This is far from a disaster for the Tories. The predictions had them below 100 seats.

The Tories will oppose any move to change the electoral system because they know they can get back in with a 12% increase in their vote.

So the issue of PR isn't going to come up at all. Both major parties are against it.