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The wondrous adventures of Sinn Fein (part 3) Mod Notes and Threadbanned List in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,938 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    I wonder which votes SF lost the most of -

    Was it the "New SF vote" from the last GE who decided there was no "change"?

    OR

    Was the "Traditional SF vote" from the last GE who decided there was too much "change"?

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Yes, FF/FG combined would likely have more seats than SF. If things remain steady. FF/FG don't lose too much, SF don't gain too many.

    They are also in a coalition for the first time in 100 years. This will not happen in a general election to any great extent, especially when both parties will be scrambling to look as different as possible. Regina Doherty put the boot in to the greens, but I suppose they don't expect the greens to be around after the next GE.

    I don't believe a United Ireland played any role in SF not gaining as much as they may have. With the conservative right, led by Gript, all but wiped out, I'm not sure what the field of play will look like.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Mea cupla on your part.

    They didn't lose votes, they gained votes. It was only the government parties who lost votes.

    They dropped sharply in the polls. The support they seemed to have in the polls certainly didn't move to the anti-immigrant patriots nua,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    MLMD is good for a clanger, who is advising her is the interesting part

    She will be all guns blazing now to come out with a couple of whoppers ot get back onto the internet with some videos etc

    We can expect a couple of her "Dear Deirdre" letters in leaders questions etc

    All noise, irrelevant noise that everyone is sick of listening to, of course backed up by faux outrage Pearse and shout from behind MLMD Eoin



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,938 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    I realise that prima facie but on the overall scheme of things the 1st preference votes and overall national trends so and so forth are well down as stated by SF themselves. Why is there soul searching in SF and statements such as we "we need clearer policies" and "we will listen to the electorate" etc etc if it is such a success.

    The only SF rep I heard put a brave face on things was Lynn Boylan who used your spin. That SF are up but did not do as well as hoped. But the reality is that is simplistic narrative as you no doubt are well aware.

    SF basically have to back a horse now instead of trying to sit between two stools. It is fascinating to watch. But how do SF become a top of the class on the left, while also getting votes from the middle classes but at the same time not alienating traditional SF, and the SF cohort in NI? It is almost an impossible balancing act.

    SF's only other alternative is to jettison NI SF and make a clean break from that NI jingoistic Republican mindset and usual tried phrases etc. But that is not going to happen as long as that cohort are still breathing.

    But SF do have some advantages they can get away with a lot of stuff that would sink most other democratic parties. I think it is coming to the stage where the disadvantages are outweighing the advantages.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Who said it was a success? You asked were the votes went? I pointed out they gained votes.

    They dropped in the polls in the lead up. I get why FF/FG are citing polls and not seats won/lost, but lets not confuse the two.

    My spin? I heard her. She was bullshitting. That's what politicians do. Of course it was a major kick in the teeth for them.

    They see the island as one. They would lose all credibility if they cut ties with NI. Even FF flirt with NI.

    Like what? I can't think of any scandals that would eclipse FG's own selection.

    Whatever the disadvantages, they gained seats. FF/FG/Green, lost seats.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,938 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    But that is the key point -

    "They see the island as one. They would lose all credibility if they cut ties with NI."

    But I would argue in theory only. The reality is there are TWO defacto SF parties for two jurisdictions with two different leaders tailored to the two different mindsets.

    In theory SF can say "WE" are the only party who covers the whole island. However, in a practical sense they are two very different SF's with different rhetoric's as they have to deal with two very different poltical landscapes and mindsets. Yeah, they can join together at Republican funerals or the their Ardfheis or whatever.

    But SF in both jurisdictions are on different paths to one another, as in order to get elected in the ROI it cannot be the the same as NI. SF will get "elected" in NI no matter what they say. And NI politics is not real practical politics it is fundamentally symbolism above all else. Pure symbolism does not cut in ROI politics. The electorate are more discerning.

    Post edited by gormdubhgorm on

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,851 ✭✭✭✭blanch152




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    It reads like you are trying to show there are in fact two SF's. We must remember that as they are two different jurisdictions, they of course need to be different animals in practice.

    There's no theory, they are an all Ireland party. MLMD is the president. She's MON party leader.

    I agree on the state of NI politics. Any southern led party with representation in NI, would need to adapt. For your theory to hold weight we would need dismiss the SDLP, DUP, Alliance and so on. That's denying the NI statelet it's democracy, whatever form it takes. Also we have more than our fair share of people who will vote for a party no matter what they get up to, based on family allegiances. It's these allegiances that keep FF/FG on life support.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,328 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    The usual waffle..Family allegiances yada yada.

    Shinners took a good tonking ..time to own up and stop the auld flapping around being outraged.

    Good opposition doesn't owe its success by stuff like " We think they should have given more" We think it is a missed opportunity" "it showed lack of ambition" and other types of crud.

    The taxpayer has to fund these projects, there is a limited sum to the taxpayers contribution, people are not stupid enough to believe that Shinners in Govt will suddenly, as they try to portray , solve everything at the drop of a hat.

    Any family knows that you have to cut your cloth to suit your means otherwise its trouble.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 774 ✭✭✭Dan Steely


    Heard Pearse giving out in the Dail about an issue I'm personally involved in.

    Thought I'd drop him a line with my thoughts so went on the oireachtas website.

    Clicked on the link to his personal website. 404.

    Sent an email to his listed Gmail address. Bounced.

    Sent an email to his listed oireachtas address. No reply 10 weeks later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,328 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    There you go…..exactly as I described…. full flapper mode… no substance.

    Pure facade.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,938 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    You seem to be talking in circles on the one hand you agree that SF are "two different animals" in the two jurisdictions. That is a fact in my view. But At least we agree on that much.

    In my mind that is one party in theory, but two parties in practice.

    You mention the SDLP Alliance etc. It's my view that only when those parties are favoured by the electorate basically the "middle ground" NI cannot move forward. The DUP and SF are just two sides of the same coin. They just drag each other down together. Trying to get constant oneupmanship.

    From a ROI point of view what is SF's next move? Start getting back in touch with the working class roots and accept the the "New SF" vote will not materialise enough to get them in government? I heard mention by one of the left parties saying all of the left parties should make a pact to work together to keep FG/FF out of government.

    But let's be honest that is not really likely they are too mixed. And out for their own parties interests.

    I think SF would honestly be better off in opposition for the next 15 years or so, until they find their feet from a strategic point of view. And the more shady aspects of SF have literally died off. Talk of governance is way too soon for them.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    The online SF accounts on boards are going back into full force at the moment, it's back to the good old days of McMurphy tactics to shut down SF threads across boards.

    Seems to be the same across all social media, it looks like SF didn't take the results of the local election as well as some people are claiming, so they think the best option is to start attacking everyone online that doesn't agree with them.

    Slow to learn SF, they haven't figured that online abuse for the last 4 years is not really getting the rewards they thought, so instead of stopping it they go full force



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    No. They are the same party operating in two different jurisdictions. Of course they have to adapt, due to the different rules and regulations.

    That's fine, but MLMD is the leader in fact.

    No idea. I would like to see them push on housing and health. Like all the other ongoing crises, immigration will likely drop from the headlines in the coming days. When they were at 30+ in the polls they were no different than what they are now. I don't see a need for any rebrand, just less jumping on band wagons. The hate speech bill will be the next disaster for anyone who openly supports it.

    I'm more interested in the good of the country. Sitting in opposition, by choice, for strategy isn't very honourable IMO. We need FF/FG out yesterday. As expected, the Greens are all but shutting the door behind themselves.

    Too soon? When you look at Harris and McEntee, all the time in the world won't make them competent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    That's the one, but it seems the model is back. Personal attacks on posters, snide comments, spamming threads with nonsense to stop discussing the topic

    Pulling posts from one thread and copying them onto another was the carry on today

    Absolute nonsense and that's just on boards. It's like the wild west on other platforms

    the results of the election really haven't gone down well.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Even if the online stuff had nothing to do with the actual SF political party who knows, the fact SF attract an almost deranged level of online support is an issue in its self.

    All political parties have online support but SF online support seems to be different.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,409 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    It's that the support is so unwilling to actually talk about SF policies, it's all deflection and empty statements.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭mikethecop


    Not really worth the while stating clear policies when you change them to catch every passing headline, jump on any bandwagon



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,034 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,050 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Judging by the local election results and SFs heavy drop in support, it would appear most people do not want FFG out at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 774 ✭✭✭Dan Steely




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    I doubt you will, Pearse is good at the faux outrage in Dail to get a few clicks, apart from that he seems to struggle with doing his actual job



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    While it was a massive drop from what had been expected some weeks prior, the fact is SF gained seats in the LE. FF/FG/Green all lost seats.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    To be fair, if you look over at the FF/FG/Green thread, virtually every response to a new scandal is met with a SF anecdote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,050 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    true but both parties still had more than double the number of seats that SF got. An October election seems likley, so that FFG can capitalise on the results and continue in govt for the next 5 yrs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Just pointing out they gained, FF/FG/Green lost.

    You are likely right. It will cement FF/FG as the same party. This will damage them as the grass roots will likely begin to drift off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,050 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I think FFGs main focus now is just to stay in govt and avoid SF taking power. They then have 5 years to grow their imdividual party identities.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Why would it damage grass roots?

    It either party joined SF it would send them beyond repair.

    No it's not.



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